Wolf-Krugman Podcast Examines Impact of First Year Under President Donald Trump
The latest episode explores how the first year of Donald Trump's presidency has reshaped the global economy, democracy and capitalism.
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The odds
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Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 22% |
| 27 Sept, 12:13 UTC | 22% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 2 articles since 29 Sept 2026. News Feed published first, on 29 September at 10:04 UTC. The most recent article, from News Feed, appeared on 29 September at 10:06 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- During his presidential term — the market puts it at 22%, closing 31 Dec 2031. The market resolves to Yes if income inequality in the United States is higher in 2024 than it is in 2028. It resolves to No if inequality is lower or equal in 2024 compared to 2028. Readers often mistake the linked news story about fuel economy standards as the deciding factor, but the resolution depends solely on economic inequality data.
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- Kalshi During his presidential term 22%
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