Wikipedia, House Democrats Weigh In on NYT vs OpenAI Copyright Suit
The Wikimedia Foundation and House Democrats file briefs in the New York Times lawsuit against OpenAI, urging courts to balance copyright protection with AI innovation.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by The Verge, 4h 40m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 50% |
| 1 Nov, 21:19 UTC | 50% |
| 1 Nov, 20:00 UTC | 49% |
| 1 Nov, 16:36 UTC | 50% |
| 1 Nov, 09:22 UTC | 49% |
| 31 Oct, 11:21 UTC | 50% |
| 31 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 49% |
| 26 Oct, 20:40 UTC | 53% |
| 26 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 52% |
| 25 Oct, 04:36 UTC | 60% |
| 24 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 56% |
| 23 Oct, 11:13 UTC | 61% |
| 21 Oct, 17:05 UTC | 55% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 58% |
| 18 Oct, 16:38 UTC | 60% |
| 14 Oct, 15:39 UTC | 62% |
| 11 Oct, 15:40 UTC | 55% |
| 11 Oct, 12:22 UTC | 63% |
| 10 Oct, 15:48 UTC | 55% |
| 10 Oct, 04:00 UTC | 55% |
| 9 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 55% |
| 9 Oct, 11:22 UTC | 51% |
| 9 Oct, 02:55 UTC | 58% |
| 6 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 57% |
| 4 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 52% |
| 4 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 53% |
| 4 Oct, 00:41 UTC | 53% |
| 3 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 53% |
| 2 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 61% |
| 1 Oct, 00:58 UTC | 54% |
| 30 Sept, 02:21 UTC | 53% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 54% |
| 26 Sept, 21:41 UTC | 54% |
| 26 Sept, 02:24 UTC | 55% |
| 25 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 55% |
| 25 Sept, 17:27 UTC | 56% |
| 25 Sept, 16:44 UTC | 65% |
| 25 Sept, 07:35 UTC | 23% |
| 24 Sept, 15:03 UTC | 65% |
| 22 Sept, 23:09 UTC | 66% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch New York Times wins respond.
The story so far
5 publishers have covered this in 5 articles since 30 Oct 2026. The Verge published first, on 30 October at 09:00 UTC; The A.V. Club followed 4h 41m later. The most recent article, from Variety, appeared on 30 October at 22:52 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Verge (major outlet), The New York Times (major outlet), Variety (major outlet), The A.V. Club, RSS 2.0.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- New York Times wins — the market puts it at 50%, with $279 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2028. The market resolves to Yes if the Southern District of New York finds OpenAI liable for copyright infringement or any other counts alleged by the New York Times. It resolves to No if that specific court does not issue such a finding. Readers often mistake the linked lawsuit against the New York Times for the actual resolution criteria, but the outcome depends entirely on the legal judgment against OpenAI.
- Information Technology — the market puts it at 86%, closing 11 Jan 2028. The market resolves to Yes if OpenAI is officially classified in the Information Technology sector. It resolves to No if that classification does not happen. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about OpenAI's actions rather than its corporate sector assignment.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on New York Times wins at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- The VergeWikipedia’s operator says a bad AI copyright ruling could threaten the open web53%
- The A.V. ClubWikipedia chooses the middle ground in New York Times and OpenAI lawsuit53%
- RSS 2.0The Wikimedia Foundation weighs in on the NYT's case against OpenAI53%
- The New York TimesHouse Democrats Criticize Justice Dept. Support of OpenAI in Copyright Suit53%
- VarietyCate Blanchett-Backed Group and Collection of Hollywood Stars Support the New York Times in OpenAI Lawsuit Filing: Hollywood Has ‘Proven Infrastructure’ to License Content53%
- Current odds50%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Cate Blanchett-Backed Group and Collection of Hollywood Stars Support the New York Times in OpenAI Lawsuit Filing: Hollywood Has ‘Proven Infrastructure’ to License Content Variety ·
- House Democrats Criticize Justice Dept. Support of OpenAI in Copyright Suit The New York Times ·
- Wikipedia’s operator says a bad AI copyright ruling could threaten the open web The Verge ·
- The Wikimedia Foundation weighs in on the NYT's case against OpenAI RSS 2.0
- Wikipedia chooses the middle ground in New York Times and OpenAI lawsuit The A.V. Club
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi New York Times wins 50%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Information Technology 86%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- New York Times
- OpenAI
- Wikimedia Foundation
- House Democrats