White House Defends Press Aide Who Posed With Rifle In Anti-Biden Shirt
The White House defends Beni Rae Harmony, a new press aide who previously wore a 'Fuck Joe Biden' shirt in a photo.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 8% |
| 9 Oct, 11:22 UTC | 8% |
| 3 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 7% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 4 Oct 2026. The Guardian US published first, on 4 October at 23:38 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Ben Shapiro — the market puts it at 8%, with $1 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Ben Shapiro attends a White House press briefing in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room after this question's issuance and before 2027. The outcome is No if he does not attend such a briefing within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the location, thinking any White House event counts, but only briefings in the specific Brady room matter.
- Anna Kelly — resolved “No” on 9 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Anna Kelly becomes the next White House Press Secretary after the issuance date. It resolves to No if someone else takes that role first. Readers often mistake the current press aide in the linked story for the official Press Secretary, but only the confirmed successor counts.
- Joe Biden — the market puts it at 3%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Joe Biden enters the White House between December 10, 2025, and December 31, 2026. The outcome is No if he does not visit during that window. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a press aide for the actual event required to resolve the market.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Ben Shapiro 8% +2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Anna Kelly No 29d ago
The market favoured No at 77% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Joe Biden 3%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Beni Rae Harmony
- White House
- Donald Trump
- Real America’s Voice
- Steve Bannon