Waymo to end Uber robotaxi partnership in January 2028
The company cites customer feedback as the reason for ending the exclusive deal, which will create direct competition in shared markets.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Bloomberg Technology, 5h 07m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 27% |
| 3 Nov, 19:21 UTC | 27% |
The story so far
4 publishers have covered this in 6 articles since 4 Nov 2026. Bloomberg Technology published first, on 4 November at 13:04 UTC; TechCrunch followed 5h 08m later. The most recent article, from www.theregister.com, appeared on 5 November at 01:45 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Technology (major outlet), TechCrunch (major outlet), Inc., www.theregister.com.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Before Jan 1, 2028 — the market puts it at 27%, closing 1 Jan 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Waymo publicly confirms an initial public offering before January 1, 2028. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news headline about ending a partnership for the actual IPO confirmation.
- Denver, CO — the market puts it at 76%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Waymo launches commercial self-driving ride-hailing for the general public in Denver before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if this service does not launch by that deadline. Readers often mistake the linked headline about a 2028 partnership end date as the resolution deadline.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Before Jan 1, 2028 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Bloomberg TechnologyWaymo Co-CEO Says Uber App Deal Was ‘Crapshoot’ for Riders27%
- TechCrunchWaymo confirms it will split with Uber in January 202827%
- TechCrunchWaymo confirms it will start splitting with Uber in January 202827%
- TechCrunchWaymo confirms it’s shaking up its Uber relationship in January 202827%
- Inc.Waymo Used Uber to Build Scale. Now It Wants Robotaxi Riders on Its Own App27%
- www.theregister.comUber says it alone can make robotaxis pay, hours after Waymo quit its app27%
- Current odds27%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Waymo confirms it will split with Uber in January 2028 TechCrunch ·
- Waymo confirms it will start splitting with Uber in January 2028 TechCrunch ·
- Waymo confirms it’s shaking up its Uber relationship in January 2028 TechCrunch ·
- Waymo Co-CEO Says Uber App Deal Was ‘Crapshoot’ for Riders Bloomberg Technology ·
- Uber says it alone can make robotaxis pay, hours after Waymo quit its app www.theregister.com
- Waymo Used Uber to Build Scale. Now It Wants Robotaxi Riders on Its Own App Inc.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Before Jan 1, 2028 27%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Denver, CO 76% −12
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Waymo
- Uber
- Tekedra Mawakana
- Alphabet Inc.