New Zealand beat Australia 50-19 to retain Bledisloe Cup for 24th year
The All Blacks secured the trophy with a dominant victory at Eden Park, extending their unbeaten home record against the Wallabies.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 2 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 13% |
| 9 Oct, 08:50 UTC | 13% |
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 7 articles since 8 Oct 2026. SkySports published first, on 8 October at 14:38 UTC; The Guardian Sport followed 8h 53m later. The most recent article, from The Guardian Sport, appeared on 10 October at 19:00 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), SkySports, BBC Sport.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Australia or New Zealand — the market puts it at 13%, closing 1 Jan 2034. The market resolves to Yes if either Australia or New Zealand is officially named as a host for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup by a Source Agency. It resolves to No if neither country receives that announcement. Readers often mistake the linked rugby match result for the resolution criteria, but only the FIFA World Cup hosting decision matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Australia or New Zealand at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- SkySportsHistory on line in All Blacks vs Wallabies - can Australia be ones to write it?—
- The Guardian SportWallabies stare down Eden Park hoodoo in bid to break 23-year Bledisloe Cup drought | Jack Snape—
- The Guardian SportNew Zealand v Australia: Bledisloe Cup rugby union international – live13%
- The Guardian SportWallabies blown away by All Blacks blitz as Bledisloe Cup misery extends to 24th year13%
- SkySportsDominant All Blacks score 50 points in big win over Australia13%
- BBC SportAll Blacks power past Australia to retain Bledisloe Cup13%
- The Guardian SportWallabies mugged at their own game to leave Kiss mulling hard lessons | Angus Fontaine13%
- Current odds13%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Wallabies mugged at their own game to leave Kiss mulling hard lessons | Angus Fontaine The Guardian Sport ·
- Wallabies blown away by All Blacks blitz as Bledisloe Cup misery extends to 24th year The Guardian Sport ·
- New Zealand v Australia: Bledisloe Cup rugby union international – live The Guardian Sport ·
- Wallabies stare down Eden Park hoodoo in bid to break 23-year Bledisloe Cup drought | Jack Snape The Guardian Sport ·
- All Blacks power past Australia to retain Bledisloe Cup BBC Sport
- Dominant All Blacks score 50 points in big win over Australia SkySports
- History on line in All Blacks vs Wallabies - can Australia be ones to write it? SkySports
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Australia or New Zealand 13%
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In this story
- New Zealand
- Australia
- All Blacks
- Wallabies
- Eden Park
- Bledisloe Cup