Voters Decide Ballot Measures on Abortion, Transgender Rights and Elections
Midterm voters in dozens of states weighed in on over 140 ballot measures, with mixed results on abortion access and transgender healthcare restrictions.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 6 Nov, 01:24 UTC | 5% |
| 5 Nov, 17:28 UTC | 6% |
| 5 Nov, 16:58 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Nov, 22:27 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Nov, 18:11 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 10% |
| 4 Nov, 14:08 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Nov, 13:24 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Nov, 11:47 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Nov, 05:39 UTC | 93% |
| 4 Nov, 05:09 UTC | 86% |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | 75% |
| 4 Nov, 03:48 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Nov, 00:07 UTC | 60% |
| 3 Nov, 23:46 UTC | 50% |
| 3 Nov, 23:17 UTC | 48% |
| 2 Nov, 22:22 UTC | 37% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Ballot Measure 2 respond.
The story so far
8 publishers have covered this in 9 articles since 3 Nov 2026. The Hill published first, on 3 November at 23:10 UTC; NPR Politics followed 22h 38m later. The most recent article, from Quartz, appeared on 6 November at 19:33 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), NPR Politics (major outlet), MedPageToday.com - medical news for physicians, KFF Health News, STAT, Roll Call, National Review, Quartz.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Ballot Measure 2 — the market puts it at 5%, closing 2 Nov 2027. The outcome is Yes if Ballot Measure 2 passes in Alaska. The outcome is No if it fails or does not pass. Readers often mistake the deadline for when the vote occurs rather than when the official results are certified.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Ballot Measure 2 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- The HillWhat’s on the ballot: Abortion, transgender care37%
- NPR PoliticsWhere voters stand on state ballot measures, from abortion to LGBTQ rights to guns14%▼23 points since the previous source
- MedPageToday.com - medical news for physiciansVoters Back Abortion Rights and Transgender Restrictions in Some States14%
- NPR PoliticsFrom data centers to abortion, voters decided on a range of ballot measures8%▼6 points since the previous source
- KFF Health NewsMidterm Voters Split on Abortion and Trans Healthcare Ballot Questions8%
- STATBallot measures affirm divisions over abortion and transgender issues6%▼2 points since the previous source
- Roll CallHow 4 states voted on election-related ballot measures5%
- National ReviewBallot Initiatives Produced Many Silver Linings5%
- Quartz6 key ballot measure fights in 2026 and how voters decided them5%
- Current odds5%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- From data centers to abortion, voters decided on a range of ballot measures NPR Politics ·
- Where voters stand on state ballot measures, from abortion to LGBTQ rights to guns NPR Politics ·
- What’s on the ballot: Abortion, transgender care The Hill ·
- 6 key ballot measure fights in 2026 and how voters decided them Quartz
- Ballot Initiatives Produced Many Silver Linings National Review
- How 4 states voted on election-related ballot measures Roll Call
Show 3 more sources
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Ballot Measure 2 5%
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In this story
- Maryland
- Alaska