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Voters in Nevada and Virginia approve abortion rights, Idaho rejects measure

Nevada and Virginia voters have approved ballot measures enshrining abortion protections into their state constitutions, while Idaho voters rejected a similar amendment.

2 publishers · 5 articles · first seen 4 Nov 2026 · updated 46h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

The odds

How the odds moved · Drug Legalization Authority Amendment
0%50%100%2%3 Nov, 07:44 UTCnowThe Guardian: Reproductive rights protected in several states by midterm election ballot measures · 5 Nov, 10:00 UTCThe Hill: Idaho rejects ballot measure adding abortion access protection · 4 Nov, 08:35 UTCThe Hill: Nevada approves abortion rights amendment · 4 Nov, 08:20 UTCThe Hill: Virginia passes 'reproductive freedom' ballot measure · 4 Nov, 05:28 UTCThe Hill: Virginia repeals same-sex marriage ban from state constitution · 4 Nov, 05:28 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now2%
4 Nov, 08:38 UTC2%
3 Nov, 07:44 UTC42%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 5 articles since 4 Nov 2026. The Hill published first, on 4 November at 05:28 UTC; The Guardian followed 28h 32m later. The most recent article, from The Guardian, appeared on 5 November at 10:00 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), The Guardian (major outlet).

One prediction market prices this story:

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Drug Legalization Authority Amendment at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. The HillVirginia repeals same-sex marriage ban from state constitution42%
  2. The HillVirginia passes 'reproductive freedom' ballot measure42%
  3. The HillNevada approves abortion rights amendment42%
  4. The HillIdaho rejects ballot measure adding abortion access protection42%
  5. The GuardianReproductive rights protected in several states by midterm election ballot measures2%▼40 points since the previous source
  6. Market resolved: No

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Reproductive rights protected in several states by midterm election ballot measures The Guardian ·
  2. Idaho rejects ballot measure adding abortion access protection The Hill ·
  3. Nevada approves abortion rights amendment The Hill ·
  4. Virginia passes 'reproductive freedom' ballot measure The Hill ·
  5. Virginia repeals same-sex marriage ban from state constitution The Hill ·

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Resolved Drug Legalization Authority Amendment No 3d ago

    The market favoured No at 54% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

In this story

  • Idaho
  • Nevada
  • Virginia
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