NewsMarkets

Politics

Victorian public service union refuses to back Labor over job cuts and consultant spend

The Community and Public Sector Union condemns the state government's $1.2bn consultant expenditure and workforce reductions while declining electoral support.

1 publisher · 1 article · first seen 3 Nov 2026 · updated 4d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day

The odds

How the odds moved · Will Labor win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
0%50%100%93%2 Nov, 14:25 UTCnowThe Guardian: Public service union refuses to back Labor at Victorian election, condemning job cuts and $1.2bn consultant spend · 3 Nov, 14:00 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now93%
5 Nov, 03:30 UTC93%
4 Nov, 16:57 UTC92%
4 Nov, 15:50 UTC90%
3 Nov, 15:36 UTC90%
3 Nov, 14:25 UTC89%
2 Nov, 14:25 UTC86%

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 3 Nov 2026. The Guardian published first, on 3 November at 14:00 UTC.

One prediction market prices this story:

  • Will Labor win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election? — the market puts it at 93%, with $600 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 29 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if Labor wins the second-most seats in Victoria's Legislative Assembly after the 2026 state election. The outcome is No if any other party or coalition takes that position. Readers often mistake the deadline for the election day itself, but the market resolves based on results known by March 31, 2027, using official data from the Victorian Electoral Commission.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Public service union refuses to back Labor at Victorian election, condemning job cuts and $1.2bn consultant spend The Guardian ·

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Polymarket Will Labor win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election? 93% +4 $600 24hends 29 Nov 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

Have your say

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

In this story

  • Community and Public Sector Union
  • Labor
  • Victoria
Embed this story

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.