Venezia stun Napoli to end Serie A winless run under new manager Davide Nicola
Venezia secure their first Serie A victory of the season with a remarkable win against Napoli, leaving manager Massimiliano Allegri facing mounting pressure.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 01:45 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Oct, 07:09 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 18:17 UTC | 4% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 19 Oct 2026. The Guardian Sport published first, on 19 October at 16:25 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Napoli — the market puts it at 2%, closing 14 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Napoli wins the 2026-2027 Serie A title. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake the linked story about Venezia for a relevant event, but only the final league standings determine the outcome.
- Venezia — resolved “No” on 25 Oct 2026. Venezia must win the match against Genoa within the standard 90 minutes of play, including any added stoppage time. The outcome does not depend on extra time or penalty shootouts. Readers often mistake the final result after extra time as the deciding factor for resolution.
- Napoli — the market puts it at 1%, closing 19 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Napoli wins the 2026-27 Champions League. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific tournament. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of Napoli winning Serie A or any other competition.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Napoli 2%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Venezia No 13d ago
The market favoured No at 74% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Napoli 1%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Massimiliano Allegri
- Napoli
- Venezia
- Davide Nicola