Ferrari Backs Vasseur Amid Horner Speculation
The team reaffirms its confidence in Fred Vasseur after Christian Horner expressed interest in the role, with Lewis Hamilton also backing the Frenchman.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 2 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 3 Nov, 08:46 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Nov, 05:39 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Nov, 19:54 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Nov, 21:34 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Nov, 19:30 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Nov, 13:54 UTC | 1% |
| 31 Oct, 21:17 UTC | 2% |
| 31 Oct, 20:36 UTC | 1% |
| 31 Oct, 14:53 UTC | 2% |
| 31 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 1% |
| 31 Oct, 01:46 UTC | 2% |
| 28 Oct, 14:35 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Oct, 06:27 UTC | 2% |
| 27 Oct, 14:07 UTC | 1% |
| 27 Oct, 05:13 UTC | 2% |
| 26 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 02:48 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 22:06 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 21:03 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 20:40 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 20:19 UTC | 3% |
| 25 Oct, 15:53 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 15:10 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 13:03 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 03:44 UTC | 3% |
| 25 Oct, 00:14 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 22:12 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 18:43 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 13:57 UTC | 2% |
| 13 Oct, 01:35 UTC | 1% |
| 12 Oct, 16:25 UTC | 2% |
| 12 Oct, 04:16 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Oct, 10:27 UTC | 2% |
| 9 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 1% |
| 9 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Oct, 01:37 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Oct, 18:07 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Oct, 17:59 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Oct, 12:17 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Oct, 03:00 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 15:05 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Oct, 02:37 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 19:29 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Oct, 15:54 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Oct, 03:35 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 05:09 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Sept, 15:00 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Sept, 13:27 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 10:45 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Sept, 10:29 UTC | 3% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Ferrari respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 10 articles since 27 Sept 2026. BBC Sport published first, on 27 September at 11:44 UTC; SkySports followed 18h 02m later. The most recent article, from SkySports, appeared on 2 October at 11:54 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), BBC Sport, SkySports.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Ferrari — the market puts it at 1%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 21 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Ferrari wins the Formula One Constructors Championship. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific title. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of Ferrari winning a single race or their driver taking the Drivers' Championship.
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? — resolved “No” on 2 Nov 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if Lewis Hamilton finishes first in the 2026 F1 Drivers' standings, with ties broken by standard F1 rules. The No outcome applies if any other driver wins or if Hamilton is mathematically eliminated from contention. Readers often mistake the final race date for the resolution deadline; the market actually resolves once official results are known, provided the season completes by March 31, 2027.
- Lewis Hamilton — resolved “No” on 3 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if Lewis Hamilton wins the Formula 1 Drivers Championship. The outcome is No if he does not win the championship. Readers often mistake the final race date for the resolution deadline, but the market resolves based on the official championship standings.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Ferrari at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- BBC SportHorner a distraction for Ferrari says Vassuer—
- SkySportsVasseur responds after Horner's 'dream' Ferrari job comments—
- BBC SportDoes Horner have a chance of Ferrari job? F1 Q&A3%
- BBC SportFerrari back Vasseur amid speculation over future3%
- SkySports'Ferrari has made its choices' - Vasseur given full backing after Horner speculation3%
- The Guardian SportFerrari say team has ‘made its choices’ and there’s no vacancy for Christian Horner2%▼1 points since the previous source
- SkySports'Point fingers somewhere else!' - Hamilton backs Vasseur but calls for other Ferrari change1%▼1 points since the previous source
- SkySports'Fred is the guy to lead us' | Hamilton backs Vasseur despite 'negative' outside sources1%
- The Guardian SportLewis Hamilton backs Vasseur but believes Ferrari leadership structure could change1%
- SkySportsVasseur admits 'big issue' with Ferrari distractions3%▲2 points since the previous source
- Current odds1%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Lewis Hamilton backs Vasseur but believes Ferrari leadership structure could change The Guardian Sport ·
- Ferrari say team has ‘made its choices’ and there’s no vacancy for Christian Horner The Guardian Sport ·
- Vasseur admits 'big issue' with Ferrari distractions SkySports
- 'Fred is the guy to lead us' | Hamilton backs Vasseur despite 'negative' outside sources SkySports
- 'Point fingers somewhere else!' - Hamilton backs Vasseur but calls for other Ferrari change SkySports
- 'Ferrari has made its choices' - Vasseur given full backing after Horner speculation SkySports
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Ferrari 1%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No 5d ago
Wrong market?
- Resolved Lewis Hamilton No 4d ago
The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
Have your say
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In this story
- Ferrari
- Fred Vasseur
- Christian Horner
- Lewis Hamilton