USC Beats Penn State 31-23, Keeps College Football Playoff Hopes Alive
The No. 19 USC Trojans defeat Penn State 31-23 in Happy Valley, maintaining their slim chance to reach the College Football Playoff despite a brutal remaining schedule.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 45% |
| 14 Oct, 22:31 UTC | 45% |
| 14 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 41% |
| 14 Oct, 09:51 UTC | 44% |
| 14 Oct, 05:15 UTC | 41% |
| 13 Oct, 23:39 UTC | 38% |
| 13 Oct, 21:44 UTC | 33% |
| 13 Oct, 17:07 UTC | 46% |
| 12 Oct, 20:03 UTC | 42% |
| 12 Oct, 16:00 UTC | 44% |
| 12 Oct, 15:07 UTC | 45% |
| 12 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 42% |
| 12 Oct, 09:07 UTC | 41% |
| 12 Oct, 02:28 UTC | 42% |
| 11 Oct, 20:47 UTC | 37% |
| 11 Oct, 14:29 UTC | 41% |
| 11 Oct, 13:51 UTC | 37% |
| 11 Oct, 03:26 UTC | 34% |
| 11 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 35% |
| 10 Oct, 12:54 UTC | 34% |
| 10 Oct, 06:13 UTC | 37% |
| 10 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 33% |
| 9 Oct, 13:12 UTC | 31% |
| 9 Oct, 05:20 UTC | 69% |
| 9 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 33% |
| 9 Oct, 00:30 UTC | 32% |
| 8 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 33% |
| 8 Oct, 17:01 UTC | 35% |
| 8 Oct, 15:53 UTC | 32% |
| 8 Oct, 15:13 UTC | 32% |
| 8 Oct, 12:52 UTC | 34% |
| 2 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 38% |
| 1 Oct, 19:48 UTC | 36% |
| 30 Sept, 23:53 UTC | 39% |
| 30 Sept, 14:23 UTC | 38% |
| 30 Sept, 07:22 UTC | 37% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 38% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 37% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 30% |
| 28 Sept, 01:28 UTC | 39% |
| 27 Sept, 00:41 UTC | 40% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch 9+ wins respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 24 articles since 8 Oct 2026. SI Feed published first, on 8 October at 17:19 UTC; CBS Sports Headlines followed 2h 37m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 13 October at 15:00 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: SI Feed, CBS Sports Headlines.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- 9+ wins — the market puts it at 45%, with $216 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the USC college football team achieves at least nine wins during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if the team finishes with fewer than nine wins in that same period. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it includes postseason games, but only the regular season counts.
- USC — the market puts it at 7%, closing 25 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if USC qualifies for the College Football Playoff National Championship Game. Otherwise, the outcome is No.
- USC — the market puts it at 14%, with $894 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 29 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the University of Southern California football team qualifies for the College Football Playoff. It resolves to No if USC does not make the playoff field. Readers often mistake the final regular-season standings or conference championships for the actual qualification criteria.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on 9+ wins at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- SI FeedPenn State vs. USC Game Predictions: Week 6 Stress Test for the Nittany Lions35%
- CBS Sports HeadlinesUSC vs. Penn State prediction, pick, odds, spread: Trojans, Nittany Lions clash at Happy Valley33%▼2 points since the previous source
- SI FeedWhy Penn State Is Primed to Deliver an Upset Against USC31%▼2 points since the previous source
- SI FeedUSC Trojans vs. Penn State Final Preview and Prediction31%
- SI FeedPenn State Football Stock Up, Stock Down Report Ahead of the White Out vs. USC37%▲6 points since the previous source
- SI FeedLincoln Riley Faces Critical Test as USC Battles Penn State on Recruiting Trail34%▼3 points since the previous source
- SI FeedCollege GameDay Makes Picks For USC vs. Penn State Whiteout34%
- SI FeedCollege GameDay Favors USC Trojans in Road Matchup vs. Penn State34%
- SI FeedLive Score Updates: USC Trojans vs. Penn State Nittany Lions34%
- SI FeedSeven Biggest Winners and Losers From USC's Statement Victory Over Penn State34%
Show 14 later sources
- SI FeedAt Penn State, Matt Campbell Continues to Confront Talent Gap in Loss to USC34%
- SI FeedWhat We Learned About What Went Wrong in Penn State's Loss to USC34%
- SI FeedUSC Trojans Earn Viral Moment With Marching Band After Beating Penn State41%▲7 points since the previous source
- SI FeedUSC Marching Band Earns Viral Moment After Trojans Win Over Penn State41%
- SI FeedThe Most Telling Quotes From Penn State's Loss to USC in the White Out41%
- SI FeedPenn State’s Matt Campbell Names What Hurt Most Against USC41%
- SI FeedMatt Campbell Divulges Biggest Missed Opportunities in Loss to USC41%
- SI FeedUSC Trojans Defense Erases Multiple Doubts in Win Over Penn State37%▼4 points since the previous source
- SI FeedTrojans Report Card: Grading Every Position Group Against Penn State42%▲5 points since the previous source
- SI FeedOne Controversial Call That Sealed USC’s Win Over Penn State44%▲2 points since the previous source
- SI FeedUSC Trojans' Playoff Path Raises Questions After Penn State Win44%
- SI FeedPenn State Week 6 Stock Up, Stock Down Report: QB Rises, Coach Falls42%▼2 points since the previous source
- SI FeedUSC’s College Football Playoff Path Hinges on Two Major Hurdles42%
- SI FeedUSC Trojans Bowl Projection Changes Following Signature Win Over Penn State42%
- Current odds45%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- USC Trojans Bowl Projection Changes Following Signature Win Over Penn State SI Feed
- USC’s College Football Playoff Path Hinges on Two Major Hurdles SI Feed
- Penn State Week 6 Stock Up, Stock Down Report: QB Rises, Coach Falls SI Feed
- USC Trojans' Playoff Path Raises Questions After Penn State Win SI Feed
- One Controversial Call That Sealed USC’s Win Over Penn State SI Feed
- Trojans Report Card: Grading Every Position Group Against Penn State SI Feed
Show 18 more sources
- USC Trojans Defense Erases Multiple Doubts in Win Over Penn State SI Feed
- Penn State’s Matt Campbell Names What Hurt Most Against USC SI Feed
- Matt Campbell Divulges Biggest Missed Opportunities in Loss to USC SI Feed
- The Most Telling Quotes From Penn State's Loss to USC in the White Out SI Feed
- USC Trojans Earn Viral Moment With Marching Band After Beating Penn State SI Feed
- USC Marching Band Earns Viral Moment After Trojans Win Over Penn State SI Feed
- What We Learned About What Went Wrong in Penn State's Loss to USC SI Feed
- At Penn State, Matt Campbell Continues to Confront Talent Gap in Loss to USC SI Feed
- Seven Biggest Winners and Losers From USC's Statement Victory Over Penn State SI Feed
- Live Score Updates: USC Trojans vs. Penn State Nittany Lions SI Feed
- College GameDay Makes Picks For USC vs. Penn State Whiteout SI Feed
- College GameDay Favors USC Trojans in Road Matchup vs. Penn State SI Feed
- Lincoln Riley Faces Critical Test as USC Battles Penn State on Recruiting Trail SI Feed
- Penn State Football Stock Up, Stock Down Report Ahead of the White Out vs. USC SI Feed
- USC Trojans vs. Penn State Final Preview and Prediction SI Feed
- Why Penn State Is Primed to Deliver an Upset Against USC SI Feed
- USC vs. Penn State prediction, pick, odds, spread: Trojans, Nittany Lions clash at Happy Valley CBS Sports Headlines
- Penn State vs. USC Game Predictions: Week 6 Stress Test for the Nittany Lions SI Feed
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi 9+ wins 45% +4
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi USC 7%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi USC 14% −4
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- USC
- Penn State
- Lincoln Riley
- Matt Campbell