Trump's New AI Website Confirms He Lost the 2020 Election
The America.gov platform generated by an artificial intelligence model acknowledges that Joe Biden won the 2020 presidential election.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Variety, 1h 44m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 02:00 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 00:44 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 17:51 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 13:57 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 12:24 UTC | 2% |
| 26 Sept, 13:50 UTC | 2% |
| 26 Sept, 06:00 UTC | 2% |
| 26 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 2% |
| 26 Sept, 03:08 UTC | 2% |
| 26 Sept, 01:37 UTC | 2% |
| 26 Sept, 00:08 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Sept, 07:27 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Sept, 06:57 UTC | 3% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Donald J. Trump respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 29 Sept 2026. Variety published first, on 29 September at 17:36 UTC; The Hill followed 1h 44m later. The most recent article, from Fortune, appeared on 29 September at 20:34 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Variety (major outlet), The Hill (major outlet), Fortune.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Donald J. Trump — the market puts it at 3%, with $28 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Nov 2029. The outcome is Yes if Donald J. Trump is inaugurated as President for the term starting in 2029. The outcome is No if he is not inaugurated for that specific term. Readers often mistake the date of inauguration for the date of election or assume prior terms count toward this resolution.
- Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — the market puts it at 0%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Nov 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump Jr. wins the 2028 US Presidential Election and No otherwise. The outcome depends on the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC calling the race for the same candidate, or who is inaugurated if they do not agree by January 20, 2029. Readers often mistake the linked story about the 2020 election as relevant to this market's resolution.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Donald J. Trump at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Donald J. Trump 3%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? 0%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Donald Trump
- Joe Biden
- America.gov