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Trump Plans to Clear 400 Trees for East Potomac Golf Course Redevelopment

The president intends to redevelop the public space into a championship-level course, though the project is not yet underway.

1 publisher · 1 article · first seen 18 Oct 2026 · updated 20d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

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The odds

How the odds moved · 2
0%50%100%1%10 Oct, 20:17 UTCnowThe Guardian US: If Trump fells 430 trees in the middle of a golf course, do they make a sound? · 18 Oct, 10:00 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now1%
12 Oct, 14:21 UTC1%
12 Oct, 12:24 UTC2%
11 Oct, 21:43 UTC9%
11 Oct, 20:27 UTC10%
10 Oct, 20:17 UTC1%

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 18 Oct 2026. The Guardian US published first, on 18 October at 10:00 UTC.

One prediction market prices this story:

  • 2 — resolved “No” on 26 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump makes exactly two trips to the specified golf club in October 2026. It resolves to No for any other number of trips or if he does not visit at all during that month. Readers often mistake the requirement for "at least" two trips, but the rule specifies exactly two.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. If Trump fells 430 trees in the middle of a golf course, do they make a sound? The Guardian US ·

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  • Resolved 2 No 12d ago

    The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

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