Trump Creates Committee to Probe Fed Governor Lisa Cook Over Mortgage Allegations
President Trump established a committee to investigate mortgage fraud allegations against Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, renewing efforts to remove her despite a Supreme Court ruling.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by News Feed, 4 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 65% |
| 14 Oct, 00:48 UTC | 65% |
| 13 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 71% |
| 13 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 63% |
| 13 Oct, 16:47 UTC | 59% |
| 12 Oct, 17:30 UTC | 54% |
| 12 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 60% |
| 12 Oct, 07:47 UTC | 64% |
| 12 Oct, 04:41 UTC | 63% |
| 12 Oct, 04:10 UTC | 61% |
| 12 Oct, 02:28 UTC | 63% |
| 12 Oct, 00:34 UTC | 63% |
| 12 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 62% |
| 11 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 64% |
| 11 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 63% |
| 11 Oct, 18:07 UTC | 59% |
| 11 Oct, 14:02 UTC | 50% |
| 11 Oct, 10:27 UTC | 67% |
| 11 Oct, 03:45 UTC | 58% |
| 10 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 65% |
| 10 Oct, 00:39 UTC | 48% |
| 9 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 53% |
| 9 Oct, 17:32 UTC | 58% |
| 9 Oct, 17:03 UTC | 70% |
| 9 Oct, 16:44 UTC | 60% |
| 9 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 53% |
| 9 Oct, 15:07 UTC | 59% |
| 9 Oct, 14:52 UTC | 52% |
| 8 Oct, 14:15 UTC | 51% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Before Jan 1, 2027 respond.
The story so far
13 publishers have covered this in 17 articles since 9 Oct 2026. News Feed published first, on 9 October at 14:10 UTC; politico.com followed 4 min later. The most recent article, from politico.com, appeared on 9 October at 21:40 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: News Feed (major outlet), politico.com (major outlet), The New York Times (major outlet), The Hill (major outlet), The Guardian (major outlet), CBS News Politics (major outlet), Bloomberg.com (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), Washington Post (major outlet), Quartz, Fox News Politics, MarketWatch and 1 more, all listed under Sources below.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Before Jan 1, 2027 — resolved “Yes” on 14 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the President attempts to fire Lisa Cook from her role on the Federal Reserve Board before January 1, 2027. The outcome depends solely on whether such an attempt occurs within this timeframe. Readers often mistake a formal removal or resignation for an attempted firing.
- Lisa Cook — the market puts it at 13%, with $273 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Lisa Cook faces formal federal criminal charges between now and January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if she does not meet this condition by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a committee investigation for an actual criminal charge.
- Before 2027 — the market puts it at 7%, with $4 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if President Trump fires Jerome Powell before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if he does not fire him by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a probe as the resolution event, but only an actual firing counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Before Jan 1, 2027 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- News FeedDonald Trump launches committee to investigate Fed governor Lisa Cook51%
- politico.comTrump sets up committee to investigate, potentially remove the Fed's Lisa Cook51%
- The New York TimesTrump Announces White House Inquiry Into Fed Governor Lisa Cook59%▲8 points since the previous source
- The HillTrump establishes 'committee of inquiry' for Federal Reserve Gov. Lisa Cook59%
- The GuardianTrump establishes committee to investigate Fed governor Lisa Cook59%
- CBS News PoliticsTrump creates committee to investigate Fed's Lisa Cook59%
- Bloomberg.comTrump Committee to Probe Fed's Cook, Isaias Shuts Some Oil Ports59%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraTrump launches probe into Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook53%▼6 points since the previous source
- Washington PostTrump escalates effort to fire Federal Reserve governor Lisa Cook53%
- Bloomberg.comFed's Cook to Face Trump Committee, Isaias Threatens Gulf Ports53%
Show 7 later sources
- QuartzTrump is forming a White House committee to investigate Fed Governor Lisa Cook53%
- Fox News PoliticsTrump sets up committee to investigate Fed Governor Lisa Cook over mortgage fraud allegations53%
- Bloomberg.comTrump Creates Committee to Probe Cook, Isaias Shuts Oil Ports70%▲17 points since the previous source
- MarketWatchTrump ramps up battle to fire Fed’s Lisa Cook. Her lawyers say there’s no basis to remove her.58%▼12 points since the previous source
- Mother JonesTrump Tries—Yet Again—to Fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook58%
- Bloomberg.comTrump Sets Up Committee Focusing on Cook, Isaias Shuts Oil Ports58%
- politico.comFed’s Warsh faces fresh challenge from Trump58%
- Market resolved: Yes
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Fed’s Warsh faces fresh challenge from Trump politico.com ·
- Trump Sets Up Committee Focusing on Cook, Isaias Shuts Oil Ports Bloomberg.com ·
- Trump Creates Committee to Probe Cook, Isaias Shuts Oil Ports Bloomberg.com ·
- Fed's Cook to Face Trump Committee, Isaias Threatens Gulf Ports Bloomberg.com ·
- Trump escalates effort to fire Federal Reserve governor Lisa Cook Washington Post ·
- Trump launches probe into Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
Show 11 more sources
- Trump Committee to Probe Fed's Cook, Isaias Shuts Some Oil Ports Bloomberg.com ·
- Trump creates committee to investigate Fed's Lisa Cook CBS News Politics ·
- Trump establishes committee to investigate Fed governor Lisa Cook The Guardian ·
- Trump establishes 'committee of inquiry' for Federal Reserve Gov. Lisa Cook The Hill ·
- Trump Announces White House Inquiry Into Fed Governor Lisa Cook The New York Times ·
- Trump sets up committee to investigate, potentially remove the Fed's Lisa Cook politico.com ·
- Donald Trump launches committee to investigate Fed governor Lisa Cook News Feed ·
- Trump Tries—Yet Again—to Fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook Mother Jones
- Trump ramps up battle to fire Fed’s Lisa Cook. Her lawyers say there’s no basis to remove her. MarketWatch
- Trump sets up committee to investigate Fed Governor Lisa Cook over mortgage fraud allegations Fox News Politics
- Trump is forming a White House committee to investigate Fed Governor Lisa Cook Quartz
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Before Jan 1, 2027 Yes 24d ago
The market favoured Yes at 54% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Lisa Cook 13% −5
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Before 2027 7% −2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
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In this story
- Donald Trump
- Lisa Cook
- Federal Reserve