Trump Confident Republicans Will Pass Next Farm Bill Vote
President Trump expresses optimism that the Senate will approve the farm bill after it narrowly cleared a key committee hurdle.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 03:55 UTC | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 03:18 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 02:56 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 02:26 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 01:57 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Nov, 00:15 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 23:53 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Nov, 23:24 UTC | 23% |
| 3 Nov, 22:34 UTC | 27% |
| 3 Nov, 20:12 UTC | 26% |
| 3 Nov, 19:14 UTC | 25% |
| 3 Nov, 18:59 UTC | 27% |
| 3 Nov, 18:13 UTC | 27% |
| 3 Nov, 17:10 UTC | 25% |
| 3 Nov, 16:55 UTC | 25% |
| 3 Nov, 15:50 UTC | 23% |
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| 3 Nov, 14:53 UTC | 23% |
| 3 Nov, 14:18 UTC | 24% |
| 3 Nov, 13:48 UTC | 23% |
| 3 Nov, 13:25 UTC | 22% |
| 3 Nov, 12:21 UTC | 23% |
| 3 Nov, 11:52 UTC | 22% |
| 3 Nov, 08:39 UTC | 24% |
| 3 Nov, 08:25 UTC | 23% |
| 3 Nov, 07:12 UTC | 23% |
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| 3 Nov, 05:32 UTC | 23% |
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| 3 Nov, 02:37 UTC | 25% |
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| 3 Nov, 00:26 UTC | 26% |
| 2 Nov, 23:01 UTC | 25% |
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| 2 Nov, 21:55 UTC | 24% |
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| 2 Nov, 20:16 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Nov, 19:18 UTC | 25% |
| 2 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 27% |
| 2 Nov, 11:36 UTC | 28% |
| 2 Nov, 06:35 UTC | 28% |
| 2 Nov, 05:53 UTC | 28% |
| 2 Nov, 04:54 UTC | 30% |
| 2 Nov, 03:42 UTC | 28% |
| 2 Nov, 03:06 UTC | 30% |
| 31 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 28% |
| 31 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 29% |
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| 31 Oct, 11:21 UTC | 28% |
| 31 Oct, 10:52 UTC | 29% |
| 30 Oct, 19:53 UTC | 30% |
| 30 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 28% |
| 30 Oct, 15:43 UTC | 28% |
| 30 Oct, 13:06 UTC | 28% |
| 30 Oct, 12:59 UTC | 30% |
| 30 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 31% |
| 29 Oct, 22:32 UTC | 32% |
| 29 Oct, 18:06 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 16:35 UTC | 32% |
| 28 Oct, 23:40 UTC | 33% |
| 28 Oct, 18:14 UTC | 34% |
| 28 Oct, 17:47 UTC | 33% |
| 28 Oct, 12:29 UTC | 34% |
| 28 Oct, 00:14 UTC | 33% |
| 27 Oct, 23:52 UTC | 33% |
| 27 Oct, 23:19 UTC | 34% |
| 27 Oct, 22:51 UTC | 34% |
| 27 Oct, 19:34 UTC | 34% |
| 27 Oct, 11:22 UTC | 35% |
| 27 Oct, 09:22 UTC | 34% |
| 27 Oct, 08:54 UTC | 35% |
| 27 Oct, 06:01 UTC | 34% |
| 27 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 35% |
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| 26 Oct, 20:32 UTC | 35% |
| 26 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 36% |
| 26 Oct, 11:31 UTC | 35% |
| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 36% |
| 25 Oct, 19:18 UTC | 35% |
| 25 Oct, 18:18 UTC | 34% |
| 25 Oct, 16:21 UTC | 35% |
| 25 Oct, 15:25 UTC | 34% |
| 24 Oct, 18:08 UTC | 34% |
| 24 Oct, 16:01 UTC | 33% |
| 24 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 33% |
| 24 Oct, 13:00 UTC | 33% |
| 24 Oct, 11:43 UTC | 33% |
| 24 Oct, 09:36 UTC | 33% |
| 24 Oct, 09:29 UTC | 33% |
| 23 Oct, 13:37 UTC | 33% |
| 23 Oct, 11:48 UTC | 32% |
| 23 Oct, 11:06 UTC | 32% |
| 23 Oct, 10:10 UTC | 33% |
| 23 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 32% |
| 23 Oct, 09:21 UTC | 33% |
| 23 Oct, 07:26 UTC | 32% |
| 23 Oct, 06:25 UTC | 31% |
| 22 Oct, 16:12 UTC | 32% |
| 22 Oct, 15:43 UTC | 33% |
| 22 Oct, 14:17 UTC | 32% |
| 22 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 33% |
| 21 Oct, 20:20 UTC | 34% |
| 21 Oct, 14:32 UTC | 35% |
| 20 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 36% |
| 18 Oct, 17:45 UTC | 37% |
| 18 Oct, 01:23 UTC | 38% |
| 16 Oct, 16:39 UTC | 37% |
| 16 Oct, 02:55 UTC | 38% |
| 15 Oct, 08:22 UTC | 37% |
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| 15 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 37% |
| 15 Oct, 01:05 UTC | 37% |
| 14 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 37% |
| 14 Oct, 15:46 UTC | 37% |
| 14 Oct, 13:05 UTC | 38% |
| 13 Oct, 03:20 UTC | 37% |
| 12 Oct, 23:21 UTC | 38% |
| 10 Oct, 14:20 UTC | 37% |
| 10 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 38% |
| 9 Oct, 15:48 UTC | 37% |
| 6 Oct, 08:10 UTC | 36% |
| 5 Oct, 18:28 UTC | 35% |
| 4 Oct, 22:37 UTC | 34% |
| 4 Oct, 09:21 UTC | 35% |
| 2 Oct, 09:53 UTC | 36% |
| 1 Oct, 19:48 UTC | 37% |
| 29 Sept, 12:26 UTC | 38% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 39% |
| 24 Sept, 16:47 UTC | 38% |
| 24 Sept, 16:18 UTC | 37% |
| 24 Sept, 11:26 UTC | 38% |
| 24 Sept, 10:35 UTC | 36% |
| 22 Sept, 20:50 UTC | 35% |
| 22 Sept, 03:40 UTC | 36% |
| 21 Sept, 19:28 UTC | 37% |
| 21 Sept, 18:34 UTC | 38% |
| 21 Sept, 13:09 UTC | 39% |
| 21 Sept, 06:57 UTC | 40% |
| 20 Sept, 01:24 UTC | 39% |
| 19 Sept, 22:15 UTC | 40% |
| 19 Sept, 08:09 UTC | 41% |
| 18 Sept, 01:29 UTC | 42% |
| 17 Sept, 00:33 UTC | 41% |
| 16 Sept, 21:27 UTC | 41% |
| 16 Sept, 20:09 UTC | 42% |
| 16 Sept, 00:53 UTC | 43% |
| 15 Sept, 18:11 UTC | 42% |
| 15 Sept, 17:19 UTC | 43% |
| 15 Sept, 16:54 UTC | 45% |
| 15 Sept, 14:44 UTC | 47% |
| 14 Sept, 12:20 UTC | 48% |
| 13 Sept, 12:31 UTC | 47% |
| 13 Sept, 11:30 UTC | 48% |
| 13 Sept, 11:05 UTC | 47% |
| 13 Sept, 10:29 UTC | 48% |
| 12 Sept, 10:29 UTC | 49% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 17 Sept 2026. The Hill published first, on 17 September at 20:50 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? — resolved “No” on 4 Nov 2026. The market resolves based on which party holds a majority of voting seats in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterm elections. If no party wins a majority, control goes to the party holding half the seats plus the Vice Presidency, or the party of the first President Pro Tempore if the outcome remains ambiguous.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 3d ago
The market favoured No at 77% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Donald Trump
- Republicans
- Senate Agriculture Committee