Trump Cancels Deposition In BBC Defamation Case
The president's lawyers confirmed he will not be questioned under oath in the defamation lawsuit regarding a 2020 election documentary.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by politico.com, 1h 04m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 14% |
| 15 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 14% |
| 7 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 19% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 18% |
| 5 Oct, 20:52 UTC | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 13:33 UTC | 17% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Before 2028 respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 13 Oct 2026. politico.com published first, on 13 October at 19:45 UTC; The Guardian Business followed 1h 05m later. The most recent article, from The Hill News, appeared on 15 October at 12:50 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: politico.com (major outlet), The Guardian Business (major outlet), The Hill News (major outlet).
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Before 2028 — the market puts it at 14%, closing 1 Jan 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump wins the trial-level ruling in his lawsuit against the British Broadcasting Corporation. It resolves to No if he does not achieve that superior outcome at this specific court level. Readers often mistake the deadline or confuse this case with other lawsuits involving Trump and media outlets.
- Before Trump's term ends — the market puts it at 14%, closing 20 Jan 2029. The market resolves to 'Yes' if the President suspends the writ of habeas corpus before January 20, 2029. It resolves to 'No' if this event does not occur by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about media bans for the triggering event, but only a suspension of habeas corpus counts.
- Before his term ends — the market puts it at 20%, with $707 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Jan 2029. The outcome is Yes if the U.S. President is impeached by the House of Representatives and convicted by the Senate before January 20, 2029. The outcome is No if this does not happen within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about firing aides for the actual impeachment process.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Before 2028 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Before 2028 14%
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- Kalshi Before Trump's term ends 14%
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- Kalshi Before his term ends 20% +4
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In this story
- Donald Trump
- BBC