Post-Tropical Cyclone Gonzalo Degenerates in Atlantic
The National Hurricane Center confirms Gonzalo has lost tropical characteristics and is moving north-northwest near Cabo Verde.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 26 Sept, 03:08 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Sept, 03:17 UTC | 23% |
| 24 Sept, 03:05 UTC | 46% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Gonzalo respond.
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 35 articles since 25 Sept 2026. NOAA NHC Atlantic published first, on 25 September at 02:46 UTC. The most recent article, from NOAA NHC Atlantic, appeared on 26 September at 20:40 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Gonzalo — the market puts it at 1%, closing 1 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if a storm named Gonzalo becomes a hurricane in the Atlantic Ocean between May 15, 2026, and December 1, 2026. It resolves to No if no such hurricane forms during that period. Readers often mistake the formation of the tropical storm itself for the resolution condition, but only its intensification into a hurricane counts.
- Gonzalo — resolved “No” on 8 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if a storm named Gonzalo becomes the first Atlantic hurricane between May 15, 2026, and December 1, 2026. It resolves to No if no such storm occurs within that timeframe or if another storm reaches hurricane status first. Readers often mistake the formation of a tropical storm for the resolution condition, but Gonzalo must specifically be categorized as a hurricane.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Gonzalo at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- NOAA NHC AtlanticSummary for Tropical Storm Gonzalo (AT2/AL072026)46%
- NOAA NHC AtlanticTropical Storm Gonzalo Public Advisory Number 1a23%▼23 points since the previous source
- NOAA NHC AtlanticTropical Storm Gonzalo Forecast Advisory Number 223%
- NOAA NHC AtlanticTropical Storm Gonzalo Wind Speed Probabilities Number 223%
- NOAA NHC AtlanticTropical Storm Gonzalo Public Advisory Number 223%
- NOAA NHC AtlanticTropical Storm Gonzalo Forecast Discussion Number 223%
- NOAA NHC AtlanticTropical Storm Gonzalo Public Advisory Number 2a23%
- NOAA NHC AtlanticTropical Storm Gonzalo Forecast Advisory Number 323%
- NOAA NHC AtlanticTropical Storm Gonzalo Wind Speed Probabilities Number 323%
- NOAA NHC AtlanticTropical Storm Gonzalo Public Advisory Number 323%
Show 25 later sources
- NOAA NHC AtlanticTropical Storm Gonzalo Forecast Discussion Number 323%
- NOAA NHC AtlanticTropical Storm Gonzalo Public Advisory Number 3a23%
- NOAA NHC AtlanticTropical Storm Gonzalo Forecast Advisory Number 423%
- NOAA NHC AtlanticTropical Storm Gonzalo Wind Speed Probabilities Number 423%
- NOAA NHC AtlanticTropical Storm Gonzalo Public Advisory Number 423%
- NOAA NHC AtlanticTropical Storm Gonzalo Forecast Discussion Number 423%
- NOAA NHC AtlanticTropical Storm Gonzalo Public Advisory Number 4a23%
- NOAA NHC AtlanticTropical Storm Gonzalo Forecast Advisory Number 523%
- NOAA NHC AtlanticTropical Storm Gonzalo Wind Speed Probabilities Number 523%
- NOAA NHC AtlanticSummary for Tropical Storm Gonzalo (AT2/AL072026)23%
- NOAA NHC AtlanticTropical Storm Gonzalo Forecast Discussion Number 523%
- NOAA NHC AtlanticTropical Storm Gonzalo Graphics23%
- NOAA NHC AtlanticTropical Storm Gonzalo Forecast Advisory Number 61%▼22 points since the previous source
- NOAA NHC AtlanticTropical Storm Gonzalo Wind Speed Probabilities Number 61%
- NOAA NHC AtlanticTropical Storm Gonzalo Public Advisory Number 61%
- NOAA NHC AtlanticTropical Storm Gonzalo Forecast Discussion Number 61%
- NOAA NHC AtlanticTropical Storm Gonzalo Forecast Advisory Number 71%
- NOAA NHC AtlanticTropical Storm Gonzalo Wind Speed Probabilities Number 71%
- NOAA NHC AtlanticTropical Storm Gonzalo Public Advisory Number 71%
- NOAA NHC AtlanticTropical Storm Gonzalo Forecast Discussion Number 71%
- NOAA NHC AtlanticPost-Tropical Cyclone Gonzalo Forecast Advisory Number 81%
- NOAA NHC AtlanticPost-Tropical Cyclone Gonzalo Wind Speed Probabilities Number 81%
- NOAA NHC AtlanticSummary for Post-Tropical Cyclone Gonzalo (AT2/AL072026)1%
- NOAA NHC AtlanticPost-Tropical Cyclone Gonzalo Forecast Discussion Number 81%
- NOAA NHC AtlanticPost-Tropical Cyclone Gonzalo Graphics1%
- Current odds1%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Post-Tropical Cyclone Gonzalo Graphics NOAA NHC Atlantic ·
- Post-Tropical Cyclone Gonzalo Forecast Discussion Number 8 NOAA NHC Atlantic ·
- Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone Gonzalo (AT2/AL072026) NOAA NHC Atlantic ·
- Post-Tropical Cyclone Gonzalo Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8 NOAA NHC Atlantic ·
- Post-Tropical Cyclone Gonzalo Forecast Advisory Number 8 NOAA NHC Atlantic ·
- Tropical Storm Gonzalo Forecast Discussion Number 7 NOAA NHC Atlantic ·
Show 29 more sources
- Tropical Storm Gonzalo Public Advisory Number 7 NOAA NHC Atlantic ·
- Tropical Storm Gonzalo Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7 NOAA NHC Atlantic ·
- Tropical Storm Gonzalo Forecast Advisory Number 7 NOAA NHC Atlantic ·
- Tropical Storm Gonzalo Forecast Discussion Number 6 NOAA NHC Atlantic ·
- Tropical Storm Gonzalo Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6 NOAA NHC Atlantic ·
- Tropical Storm Gonzalo Public Advisory Number 6 NOAA NHC Atlantic ·
- Tropical Storm Gonzalo Forecast Advisory Number 6 NOAA NHC Atlantic ·
- Tropical Storm Gonzalo Graphics NOAA NHC Atlantic ·
- Tropical Storm Gonzalo Forecast Discussion Number 5 NOAA NHC Atlantic ·
- Summary for Tropical Storm Gonzalo (AT2/AL072026) NOAA NHC Atlantic ·
- Tropical Storm Gonzalo Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5 NOAA NHC Atlantic ·
- Tropical Storm Gonzalo Forecast Advisory Number 5 NOAA NHC Atlantic ·
- Tropical Storm Gonzalo Public Advisory Number 4a NOAA NHC Atlantic ·
- Tropical Storm Gonzalo Forecast Discussion Number 4 NOAA NHC Atlantic ·
- Tropical Storm Gonzalo Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4 NOAA NHC Atlantic ·
- Tropical Storm Gonzalo Public Advisory Number 4 NOAA NHC Atlantic ·
- Tropical Storm Gonzalo Forecast Advisory Number 4 NOAA NHC Atlantic ·
- Tropical Storm Gonzalo Public Advisory Number 3a NOAA NHC Atlantic ·
- Tropical Storm Gonzalo Forecast Discussion Number 3 NOAA NHC Atlantic ·
- Tropical Storm Gonzalo Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3 NOAA NHC Atlantic ·
- Tropical Storm Gonzalo Public Advisory Number 3 NOAA NHC Atlantic ·
- Tropical Storm Gonzalo Forecast Advisory Number 3 NOAA NHC Atlantic ·
- Tropical Storm Gonzalo Public Advisory Number 2a NOAA NHC Atlantic ·
- Tropical Storm Gonzalo Forecast Discussion Number 2 NOAA NHC Atlantic ·
- Tropical Storm Gonzalo Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2 NOAA NHC Atlantic ·
- Tropical Storm Gonzalo Public Advisory Number 2 NOAA NHC Atlantic ·
- Tropical Storm Gonzalo Forecast Advisory Number 2 NOAA NHC Atlantic ·
- Tropical Storm Gonzalo Public Advisory Number 1a NOAA NHC Atlantic ·
- Summary for Tropical Storm Gonzalo (AT2/AL072026) NOAA NHC Atlantic ·
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Gonzalo 1%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Gonzalo No 29d ago
The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
Have your say
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In this story
- NHC
- Gonzalo
- Cabo Verde Islands