Florida Upsets No. 7 Texas, Ending Longhorns' CFP Hopes
The Florida Gators defeated the No. 7 Texas Longhorns 27-24 in Austin, handing Texas its second consecutive loss and damaging its College Football Playoff prospects.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by CBS Sports Headlines, 27 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 62% |
| 20 Oct, 20:10 UTC | 62% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 61% |
| 18 Oct, 22:07 UTC | 63% |
| 18 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 65% |
| 18 Oct, 13:16 UTC | 55% |
| 18 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 56% |
| 18 Oct, 04:50 UTC | 57% |
| 17 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 58% |
| 17 Oct, 21:45 UTC | 90% |
| 17 Oct, 20:25 UTC | 53% |
| 17 Oct, 19:44 UTC | 46% |
| 17 Oct, 18:43 UTC | 43% |
| 17 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 40% |
| 17 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 26% |
| 17 Oct, 13:34 UTC | 25% |
| 17 Oct, 04:30 UTC | 32% |
| 17 Oct, 04:02 UTC | 31% |
| 17 Oct, 03:49 UTC | 32% |
| 16 Oct, 19:13 UTC | 29% |
| 16 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 32% |
| 15 Oct, 22:01 UTC | 30% |
| 14 Oct, 19:36 UTC | 32% |
| 14 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 27% |
| 14 Oct, 08:50 UTC | 34% |
| 13 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 30% |
| 13 Oct, 15:17 UTC | 29% |
| 13 Oct, 11:34 UTC | 28% |
| 13 Oct, 01:35 UTC | 32% |
| 13 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 33% |
| 12 Oct, 20:42 UTC | 29% |
| 12 Oct, 16:25 UTC | 30% |
| 12 Oct, 12:56 UTC | 32% |
| 12 Oct, 09:20 UTC | 36% |
| 12 Oct, 03:18 UTC | 34% |
| 11 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 33% |
| 11 Oct, 20:02 UTC | 35% |
| 11 Oct, 19:52 UTC | 31% |
| 11 Oct, 17:39 UTC | 37% |
| 11 Oct, 14:02 UTC | 33% |
| 11 Oct, 12:47 UTC | 35% |
| 11 Oct, 11:20 UTC | 32% |
| 11 Oct, 10:56 UTC | 39% |
| 11 Oct, 08:25 UTC | 42% |
| 11 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 40% |
| 11 Oct, 05:42 UTC | 39% |
| 11 Oct, 05:00 UTC | 40% |
| 11 Oct, 03:13 UTC | 34% |
| 11 Oct, 01:46 UTC | 31% |
| 10 Oct, 21:25 UTC | 52% |
| 10 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 46% |
| 10 Oct, 19:50 UTC | 66% |
| 10 Oct, 18:52 UTC | 78% |
| 10 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 77% |
| 10 Oct, 16:41 UTC | 69% |
| 10 Oct, 15:34 UTC | 66% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 62% |
| 6 Oct, 06:27 UTC | 66% |
| 6 Oct, 05:41 UTC | 67% |
| 6 Oct, 02:10 UTC | 64% |
| 5 Oct, 22:28 UTC | 66% |
| 5 Oct, 21:33 UTC | 71% |
| 5 Oct, 00:05 UTC | 69% |
| 4 Oct, 23:58 UTC | 65% |
| 4 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 69% |
| 4 Oct, 17:54 UTC | 71% |
| 1 Oct, 05:40 UTC | 81% |
| 30 Sept, 10:36 UTC | 82% |
| 30 Sept, 05:24 UTC | 85% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 84% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 77% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 79% |
| 27 Sept, 13:38 UTC | 72% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch 8+ wins respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 12 articles since 16 Oct 2026. CBS Sports Headlines published first, on 16 October at 12:47 UTC; SI Feed followed 27 min later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 19 October at 15:45 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), CBS Sports Headlines, SI Feed.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- 8+ wins — the market puts it at 62%, with $18 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the Florida college football team achieves at least eight wins during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if they fall short of that win total. Readers often mistakenly include playoff games or bowl games in the count, but only regular-season results matter.
- 7+ wins — the market puts it at 31%, closing 20 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the Florida State college football team records at least seven wins during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if the team finishes with fewer than seven wins in that specific season. Readers often mistake the linked story about a past defeat for the final outcome, but only the total win count from the entire 2026 regular season determines the result.
- 10+ wins — the market puts it at 15%, with $792 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the Texas college football team achieves at least 10 wins during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if they win fewer than 10 games in that same period. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it depends on playoff results rather than just the regular season record.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on 8+ wins at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- CBS Sports HeadlinesTexas vs. Florida prediction, odds, time: Week 7 college football picks from proven model32%
- SI FeedNo. 7 Texas vs. Florida: How to Watch, Odds, Injury Report, and More32%
- SI FeedHow to Watch Florida's Week 7 Matchup Against Texas32%
- SI FeedTexas Longhorns vs. Florida Gators Score Predictions: Who Wins and Why?32%
- SI FeedGators Get Big Jump in Recruiting Rankings after 5-Star Flip32%
- CBS Sports HeadlinesTexas vs. Florida prediction, odds, time: Week 7 college football picks from proven model32%
- SI FeedGators Legend Chris Doering Predicts 'Nasty' Gators vs. No. 7 Longhorns Outcome32%
- SI FeedNo. 7 Texas Longhorns vs. Florida Gators: Live Updates and Box Score25%▼7 points since the previous source
- CBS Sports HeadlinesFlorida stuns No. 7 Texas in Austin, handing tumbling Longhorns second-consecutive loss43%▲18 points since the previous source
- www.espn.comFlorida puts No. 7 Texas' CFP hopes in peril with upset in Austin46%▲3 points since the previous source
- SI FeedJon Sumrall Reveals 'Most Important Thing' Coming out of Gators Win at Texas55%▲9 points since the previous source
- SI FeedGators Get Bump in Latest Bowl Projections after Beating No. 7 Texas63%▲8 points since the previous source
- Current odds62%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Florida puts No. 7 Texas' CFP hopes in peril with upset in Austin www.espn.com ·
- Gators Get Bump in Latest Bowl Projections after Beating No. 7 Texas SI Feed
- Jon Sumrall Reveals 'Most Important Thing' Coming out of Gators Win at Texas SI Feed
- Florida stuns No. 7 Texas in Austin, handing tumbling Longhorns second-consecutive loss CBS Sports Headlines
- No. 7 Texas Longhorns vs. Florida Gators: Live Updates and Box Score SI Feed
- Gators Legend Chris Doering Predicts 'Nasty' Gators vs. No. 7 Longhorns Outcome SI Feed
Show 6 more sources
- Texas vs. Florida prediction, odds, time: Week 7 college football picks from proven model CBS Sports Headlines
- Gators Get Big Jump in Recruiting Rankings after 5-Star Flip SI Feed
- Texas Longhorns vs. Florida Gators Score Predictions: Who Wins and Why? SI Feed
- How to Watch Florida's Week 7 Matchup Against Texas SI Feed
- No. 7 Texas vs. Florida: How to Watch, Odds, Injury Report, and More SI Feed
- Texas vs. Florida prediction, odds, time: Week 7 college football picks from proven model CBS Sports Headlines
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi 8+ wins 62% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi 7+ wins 31%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi 10+ wins 15% +6
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Florida
- Texas
- Tramell Jones Jr.
- Jon Sumrall
- Chris Doering