Texas Rep. Keith Self Safe After FBI Thwarts Teen's Assassination Plot
Federal agents stopped a 17-year-old suspect who planned to kill the congressman and launch an ISIS attack.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 07:56 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Nov, 06:43 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Nov, 06:28 UTC | 97% |
| 4 Nov, 05:53 UTC | 97% |
| 4 Nov, 05:17 UTC | 92% |
| 4 Nov, 04:47 UTC | 94% |
| 4 Nov, 04:25 UTC | 90% |
| 4 Nov, 03:55 UTC | 96% |
| 4 Nov, 03:26 UTC | 92% |
| 4 Nov, 02:26 UTC | 91% |
| 4 Nov, 01:57 UTC | 86% |
| 4 Nov, 01:20 UTC | 95% |
| 3 Nov, 23:31 UTC | 95% |
| 3 Nov, 23:24 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 21:41 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 20:19 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 19:35 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 18:06 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 95% |
| 3 Nov, 16:40 UTC | 93% |
| 3 Nov, 13:18 UTC | 92% |
| 3 Nov, 10:45 UTC | 95% |
| 3 Nov, 09:47 UTC | 95% |
| 3 Nov, 02:30 UTC | 94% |
| 2 Nov, 23:16 UTC | 93% |
| 2 Nov, 10:50 UTC | 94% |
| 1 Nov, 18:47 UTC | 94% |
| 1 Nov, 04:22 UTC | 93% |
| 1 Nov, 03:54 UTC | 93% |
| 31 Oct, 03:01 UTC | 94% |
| 30 Oct, 20:00 UTC | 94% |
| 30 Oct, 19:06 UTC | 93% |
| 30 Oct, 11:18 UTC | 94% |
| 29 Oct, 20:16 UTC | 95% |
| 29 Oct, 03:00 UTC | 95% |
| 28 Oct, 11:37 UTC | 94% |
| 28 Oct, 01:42 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 95% |
| 27 Oct, 05:13 UTC | 94% |
| 23 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 95% |
| 21 Oct, 07:40 UTC | 95% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 22 Oct 2026. Fox News Politics published first, on 22 October at 11:32 UTC; The Hill followed 1h 57m later. The most recent article, from The Hill, appeared on 22 October at 13:29 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), Fox News Politics.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Keith Self — resolved “Yes” on 4 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the person elected to represent Texas's 3rd congressional district for the term starting in 2027 belongs to the Republican Party. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the relevant election or swearing-in date.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Keith Self Yes 3d ago
The market favoured Yes at 94% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Keith Self
- FBI