Tarik Skubal Emerges as Top MLB Free Agent Amid Dodgers Competition
The two-time Cy Young winner is projected to sign a historic deal with multiple suitors including the Dodgers and Mets this winter.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 26% |
| 22 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 26% |
| 20 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 63% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 62% |
| 16 Oct, 11:44 UTC | 20% |
| 15 Oct, 11:13 UTC | 30% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch New York M respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 20 articles since 16 Oct 2026. CBS Sports Headlines published first, on 16 October at 04:29 UTC; feeds.bleacherreport.com followed 6h 31m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 22 October at 17:41 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: CBS Sports Headlines, feeds.bleacherreport.com, SI Feed.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- New York M — the market puts it at 26%, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 25 Mar 2027. The market resolves to "Yes" if Tarik Skubal signs with the New York Mets before March 25, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to "No." Readers often mistake the deadline for when he enters free agency rather than the signing date.
- Tarik Skubal — the market puts it at 1%, closing 8 Dec 2026. The outcome is Yes if Tarik Skubal wins the American League Cy Young Award during the 2026 baseball season. The outcome is No if he does not win that specific award in that year. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the award must be won before the season ends rather than after it concludes.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on New York M at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- CBS Sports HeadlinesWhat Tarik Skubal said about his pending free agency after Dodgers' playoff elimination30%
- feeds.bleacherreport.comPredicting the 10 Biggest Contracts Handed Out to 2026-27 MLB Free Agents30%
- feeds.bleacherreport.comRanking Dodgers SP Tarik Skubal's Top 5 Landing Spots Ahead of MLB Free Agency30%
- SI FeedThe Long-Awaited Tarik Skubal Sweepstakes Is Here and Could Get Pricey20%▼10 points since the previous source
- feeds.bleacherreport.comTarik Skubal Reacts to Dodgers' MLB Playoff Exit in Video After NLCS Sweep, 'So Hard to Win'20%
- SI FeedLatest Dodgers Prediction Gives Tigers Hope for a Tarik Skubal Reunion20%
- SI FeedDodgers' Blake Snell Makes Plea to Tarik Skubal Ahead of Free Agency20%
- SI FeedDodgers Notes: LA Losing 9 Players to Free Agency, Tarik Skubal Pushed to Re-Sign, Shohei Ohtani Surgery?20%
- SI FeedWhat Tarik Skubal Said (and Didn't Say) About His Future After Dodgers' NLCS Loss20%
- SI FeedDodgers Predicted to Compete With 6 Teams, Including Biggest Rival, for Tarik Skubal20%
Show 10 later sources
- feeds.bleacherreport.comThe Most Likely Trade For All 30 MLB Teams in 2026-27 Offseason20%
- SI FeedDodgers Notes: Tarik Skubal Landing Spots, Kiké Hernandez Addresses Future, LA Must Bring Back One Player20%
- SI FeedProjecting Tarik Skubal's Historic Deal, Bo Bichette Payday, More MLB Free Agency20%
- SI FeedTarik Skubal Prediction Would Be MLB's Worst-Case Scenario63%▲43 points since the previous source
- SI FeedProjecting What a Tarik Skubal Contract Would Look Like From Mets63%
- feeds.bleacherreport.com2026 MLB Free Agents Rumors, Predictions for Tarik Skubal, Jazz Chisholm Jr., More63%
- SI FeedTarik Skubal Rumors Begin With 6 Landing Spots, Including Blue Jays63%
- feeds.bleacherreport.comTarik Skubal and the Next 10 Players to Sign $200 Million Contracts63%
- SI FeedRanking the Los Angeles Dodgers' Biggest Offseason Needs63%
- SI FeedMLB Free Agency Rumors: Tarik Skubal Reveals Why Stan Kroenke Makes Los Angeles Angels a Top Destination63%
- Current odds26%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- MLB Free Agency Rumors: Tarik Skubal Reveals Why Stan Kroenke Makes Los Angeles Angels a Top Destination SI Feed
- Ranking the Los Angeles Dodgers' Biggest Offseason Needs SI Feed
- Tarik Skubal and the Next 10 Players to Sign $200 Million Contracts feeds.bleacherreport.com
- Tarik Skubal Rumors Begin With 6 Landing Spots, Including Blue Jays SI Feed
- 2026 MLB Free Agents Rumors, Predictions for Tarik Skubal, Jazz Chisholm Jr., More feeds.bleacherreport.com
- Projecting What a Tarik Skubal Contract Would Look Like From Mets SI Feed
Show 14 more sources
- Tarik Skubal Prediction Would Be MLB's Worst-Case Scenario SI Feed
- Projecting Tarik Skubal's Historic Deal, Bo Bichette Payday, More MLB Free Agency SI Feed
- Dodgers Notes: Tarik Skubal Landing Spots, Kiké Hernandez Addresses Future, LA Must Bring Back One Player SI Feed
- The Most Likely Trade For All 30 MLB Teams in 2026-27 Offseason feeds.bleacherreport.com
- Dodgers Predicted to Compete With 6 Teams, Including Biggest Rival, for Tarik Skubal SI Feed
- What Tarik Skubal Said (and Didn't Say) About His Future After Dodgers' NLCS Loss SI Feed
- Dodgers Notes: LA Losing 9 Players to Free Agency, Tarik Skubal Pushed to Re-Sign, Shohei Ohtani Surgery? SI Feed
- Dodgers' Blake Snell Makes Plea to Tarik Skubal Ahead of Free Agency SI Feed
- Latest Dodgers Prediction Gives Tigers Hope for a Tarik Skubal Reunion SI Feed
- Tarik Skubal Reacts to Dodgers' MLB Playoff Exit in Video After NLCS Sweep, 'So Hard to Win' feeds.bleacherreport.com
- The Long-Awaited Tarik Skubal Sweepstakes Is Here and Could Get Pricey SI Feed
- Predicting the 10 Biggest Contracts Handed Out to 2026-27 MLB Free Agents feeds.bleacherreport.com
- Ranking Dodgers SP Tarik Skubal's Top 5 Landing Spots Ahead of MLB Free Agency feeds.bleacherreport.com
- What Tarik Skubal said about his pending free agency after Dodgers' playoff elimination CBS Sports Headlines
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi New York M 26%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Tarik Skubal 1%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Tarik Skubal
- Los Angeles Dodgers
- New York Mets