US Gas Prices Hit Record High for Election Day Amid Global Fuel Squeeze

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Above $7.40 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

1. 20 Sept, 23:45CBS News PoliticsTariffs, inflation, trade wars taking toll on American farmers—
2. 21 Sept, 00:33Bloomberg MarketsUS Diesel Tops $6.50 a Gallon as Wars Worsen Global Fuels Crunch—
3. 21 Sept, 08:40NPR WorldHow a national farm leader is dealing with record diesel prices—
4. 21 Sept, 13:10QuartzRepublican senator is urging Trump to ban diesel exports as fuel prices soar—
5. 21 Sept, 13:30QuartzRecord diesel prices are hammering transport stocks and threatening to reignite inflation—
6. 21 Sept, 14:54Bloomberg MarketsUS Diesel Tops Record as Global Crunch Feeds Inflation—
7. 21 Sept, 18:20QuartzGlobal diesel shortage is expected to drag on into 2027 as U.S. prices top $6 a gallon—
8. 21 Sept, 20:56The Hill NewsDiesel is over $6 in 49 states: Where prices are highest and lowest—
9. 22 Sept, 10:00The HillA diesel-powered panic for GOP in Iowa—
10. 22 Sept, 11:49Times of IndiaDiesel prices hit records as Iran, Ukraine wars disrupt fuel supplies—
11. Show 95 later sources

    1. 22 Sept, 19:59MarketWatchJet fuel is following diesel’s price jump as the Hormuz supply shock hits the skies—
    2. 23 Sept, 04:00News FeedDiesel surge costs European drivers €203mn per day—
    3. 23 Sept, 19:49MarketWatchRecord-breaking diesel prices look set to push grocery bills even higher — and Thanksgiving is getting closer—
    4. 23 Sept, 21:47Bloomberg.comDiesel Price Spike Hits Farms, Food Prices, Battleground States—
    5. 24 Sept, 13:42Bloomberg MarketsBig Take: Why Everyone Is Talking About High Diesel Prices—
    6. 24 Sept, 14:45Scientific AmericanDiesel fuel prices are rising—chemistry can help explain why—
    7. 25 Sept, 11:46The Guardian BusinessPeople in the Shetlands or the Outer Hebrides: how are you coping with the diesel prices?—
    8. 25 Sept, 13:41FortuneGas topped the equivalent of $12 a gallon in parts of Europe—and consumers are spending an extra $231 million a day on diesel—
    9. 27 Sept, 10:00Washington PostSoaring diesel prices are clobbering Trump’s MAGA faithful, exposing rifts—
    10. 27 Sept, 20:03The HillGOP rep says Americans feel 'fatigue' in diesel prices increasing—
    11. 27 Sept, 21:15Hacker NewsEV Sales Are Booming in Europe with Gasoline at $10 a Gallon—
    12. 28 Sept, 10:35Deutsche WelleDiesel prices are surging. Ukraine is only part of the story—
    13. 28 Sept, 10:35Deutsche WelleDiesel prices are surging putting further pressure on Europe. Ukraine is only part of the story.—
    14. 28 Sept, 10:35Deutsche WelleDiesel prices are surging putting further pressure on Europe—
    15. 28 Sept, 10:45The Guardian BusinessPrice of diesel on UK forecourts reaches all-time high—
    16. 28 Sept, 12:20businessinsider.comTop 10 African countries with the lowest diesel prices in September 2026—
    17. 29 Sept, 12:34News FeedAverage UK diesel price set to reach £2 per litre within days—
    18. 29 Sept, 18:30businessinsider.com10 African countries with the highest diesel prices in September 2026—
    19. 29 Sept, 19:30africa.businessinsider.com10 African countries with the highest fuel prices in September 2026—
    20. 29 Sept, 22:58National ReviewThe World Runs on Diesel—
    21. 30 Sept, 16:20News FeedUS oil industry warns diesel prices will not return to normal for a year—
    22. 1 Oct, 20:58MarketWatchHere’s how much more groceries, clothing and household appliances could cost as diesel prices keep surging—
    23. 2 Oct, 10:20The Guardian BusinessUK diesel price hits record high of £2 a litre—
    24. 2 Oct, 15:10France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesA grim winter ahead? EU states asked to prepare gas and electricity savings—
    25. 2 Oct, 16:41The Guardian BusinessPeople in the UK: how is the cost of diesel affecting you?—
    26. 3 Oct, 09:11Times of IndiaNayara hikes petrol by Rs 5, diesel by Rs 3 amid pressure from rising oil prices—
    27. 3 Oct, 12:00The Guardian USSoaring diesel prices take their toll on US farmers in midwest corn belt—
    28. 4 Oct, 14:49FortuneDiesel prices are so high that commercial fishermen sometimes can’t even afford to leave the dock. ‘It’s huge. It’s crazy. Thank you, Donald Trump’—
    29. 5 Oct, 08:20The Guardian BusinessCoach services could be cut due to record diesel prices, operators warn—
    30. 5 Oct, 19:54AxiosHow states are tackling midterm pump pain—
    31. 6 Oct, 00:24Hacker NewsHigh Diesel Prices Bankrupted 16 Trucking Companies in Just 30 Days—
    32. 6 Oct, 05:00The Guardian Business‘It really hammers people’: Scottish islanders hit by highest diesel prices in UK—
    33. 6 Oct, 12:42AxiosThe midterms are an energy election — and here are five places to look—
    34. 7 Oct, 02:00Bloomberg.comDiesel Price Surge Hits Farmers, Raising Food Inflation Risk—
    35. 7 Oct, 19:02News FeedDiesel price jumps after IEA says no additional fuel will be released—
    36. 7 Oct, 22:15Bloomberg.comHigh Court coal decision, Firmus IPO, diesel prices—
    37. 8 Oct, 16:42Fortune‘Lipstick on a pig’: Trump’s red-dyed diesel plan is more midterms appeal than gas price solution, experts say—and even truckers are calling his bluff—
    38. 9 Oct, 11:01Bloomberg.comKeeping Farmers Fueled Is Mission Critical for Governments—
    39. 9 Oct, 11:47Bloomberg.comHere's Why Expensive Diesel is Wreaking Economic Havoc (Podcast)—
    40. 9 Oct, 18:36Inc.States Like Illinois Want to Make Diesel Cheaper. Truckers Say the Fine Print Could Cost Them—
    41. 10 Oct, 11:00Fox News PoliticsAmerica's truckers issue dire warning as soaring diesel costs threaten 'domino effect'—
    42. 12 Oct, 06:00The GuardianUK van drivers face extra £2.5bn in diesel costs this year, figures show—
    43. 12 Oct, 15:08Bloomberg MarketsTotalEnergies Pledges More Price Cuts to Ease Diesel-Surge Pain—
    44. 14 Oct, 12:00QuartzIEA warned diesel supply will stay tight well into 2027 as prices hit records—
    45. 14 Oct, 12:25News FeedGlobal diesel prices set to rise again, warns IEA—
    46. 14 Oct, 16:07MarketWatchRising diesel prices have helped fuel inflation — and we’re about to see how much worse it could get—
    47. 15 Oct, 05:36Bloomberg MarketsAustralians Cut Fuel Purchases as Iran War Drives Prices Higher—
    48. 15 Oct, 09:11All Content from Business InsiderGet ready for grocery prices to get even more painful—
    49. 15 Oct, 13:10Bloomberg MarketsIndia May Raise Fuel Prices in November, Oxford Economics Says—
    50. 16 Oct, 02:12Bloomberg MarketsIndia Hikes Petrol Export Levy, Slashes Diesel Duty—
    51. 16 Oct, 04:35Times of IndiaIndia raises petrol export duty fivefold to Rs 2.5/litre, cuts diesel levy to Rs 8.5—
    52. 16 Oct, 05:30BBC BusinessFuel costs squeezing margins for some businesses—
    53. 16 Oct, 16:39FortuneFor one grocery chain, the cost to ship lettuce now tops the lettuce itself, showing how high fuel prices are sinking their teeth across the economy—
    54. 16 Oct, 17:33News FeedFuel-price surge turbocharges global EV sales and spells end for diesel in Europe—
    55. 16 Oct, 21:22Roll CallDiesel dilemma squeezes Republicans in America’s heartland—
    56. 17 Oct, 09:53All Content from Business InsiderWalmart sees current diesel prices wiping out $2.9 billion tariff refund by end of 2027, Deutsche Bank says.—
    57. 18 Oct, 07:09FortuneFuel prices dominate midterm election discussions, but spiking utility bills may be the difference maker—
    58. 18 Oct, 08:30South China Morning PostEconomic realities threaten Asia’s green aviation ambitions—
    59. 20 Oct, 07:28France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesAnger at rising fuel prices bolsters Europe's far right as unrest sweeps France—
    60. 20 Oct, 15:00The HillThe high cost of Trump’s backward fuel policy—
    61. 21 Oct, 06:18The Guardian BusinessUK inflation jumps to 3.5% on rising motor fuels costs; UK approves Jackdaw gasfield – business live—
    62. 21 Oct, 06:21BBC BusinessSurging fuel prices push UK inflation rate to 3.5% ahead of Budget—
    63. 21 Oct, 22:34Bloomberg MarketsMichigan, Ohio Gas Prices Jump After Illinois Refinery Upset—
    64. 22 Oct, 14:35The HillMarshall blames Ukraine war for high diesel prices—
    65. 22 Oct, 17:03Bloomberg MarketsValero Sees Fuel Margins Rising Again Despite Price-Cut Efforts—
    66. 23 Oct, 09:15AxiosWhy soaring prices aren't breaking America's diesel habit—
    67. 25 Oct, 07:30businessinsider.com10 African countries with the highest fuel prices in October 2026—
    68. 25 Oct, 18:04All Content from Business InsiderTrump on high gas prices: 'We're making a freaking fortune'—
    69. 26 Oct, 13:37Fortune‘We’re making a freaking fortune’: Trump touts how much ‘money’ the U.S. is making from the Iran war as gas hits $4.29 a gallon and diesel tops $6—
    70. 26 Oct, 15:14Bloomberg MarketsGasoline Prices Under Trump Surpass Biden-Era Average—
    71. 26 Oct, 17:40QuartzTrump's average gas price has overtaken Biden's, piling pressure on Republicans—
    72. 26 Oct, 21:58The HillRepublicans face a midterm reckoning over prices at the pump—
    73. 27 Oct, 11:30businessinsider.comTop 10 African countries with the lowest diesel prices in October 2026—
    74. 27 Oct, 15:38Bloomberg MarketsPork Slump Worsens as High Gas Prices Curb Road Trip Pit Stops—
    75. 27 Oct, 18:16FortuneThe Trump admin said energy costs were a small price to pay in Iran war, but U.S. consumers are paying nearly 8x more than anyone else in fuel costs—
    76. 29 Oct, 06:17BBC BusinessHaulier blames fuel prices for diesel theft—
    77. 29 Oct, 17:32Bloomberg MarketsAmerica’s Farm Firms Signal More Murky Times With Soaring Costs—
    78. 29 Oct, 20:07The HillOne issue, different bills: Energy costs shape key midterm races—
    79. 30 Oct, 10:40France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesTotalEnergies posts record profits as it keeps a lid on fuel prices—
    80. 30 Oct, 14:30africa.businessinsider.com10 African countries with the highest diesel prices in October 2026—
    81. 31 Oct, 12:30businessinsider.comTop 10 African countries with the lowest fuel prices in October 2026—
    82. 2 Nov, 04:09Bloomberg MarketsTokyo, Chubu Power Price Hit Multi-Year High as Fuel Costs Climb—
    83. 2 Nov, 05:00ft.comPetrol prices set to hit record high under Trump on eve of US elections—
    84. 2 Nov, 06:00Bloomberg MarketsRyanair Initiates Cost Drive to Offset $2 Billion Jet-Fuel Surge—
    85. 2 Nov, 11:00The Guardian USTexas voters on high gas prices under Trump: ‘Probably made me go more Democrat’—
    86. 2 Nov, 18:32Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraUS petrol prices dip ahead of midterms as voters eye costs—
    87. 3 Nov, 10:02The New York TimesHis Business Was Tough. Diesel Prices Made It Impossible.—
    88. 3 Nov, 16:04All Content from Business InsiderGas prices could shape the midterms. See the US states where prices have risen the most.—
    89. 3 Nov, 18:23The HillGas prices reach record high for an Election Day—
    90. 3 Nov, 19:44The VergeThis Election Day, remember which party ran against EVs and tethered us all to the gas pump—
    91. 4 Nov, 12:41Bloomberg MarketsSunExpress Paring Back Winter Schedule on Higher Jet Fuel Prices—
    92. 4 Nov, 18:54News FeedTrump diesel deal with Russia falters as US fuel supplies hit 20-year low12%
    93. 5 Nov, 13:28Bloomberg MarketsSoaring Gas Costs Squeeze Out Europe’s Negative Power Prices12%
    94. 5 Nov, 14:52404 MediaRepublicans Learn X Is an Echo Chamber3%▼9 points since the previous source
    95. 6 Nov, 20:15FortuneGas was pricier on this Election Day than any before it — up almost 40% to $4.15 a gallon since the Iran war began3%
12. NowCurrent odds3%