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Susan Collins Faces Scrutiny Over Kavanaugh Vote in Reelection Bid

The Maine senator's past confirmation vote remains a key issue as she seeks reelection.

1 publisher · 1 article · first seen 5 Oct 2026 · updated 33d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day

The odds

How the odds moved · Susan Collins
0%50%100%0%22 Sept, 07:00 UTCnowWashington Post: How would Susan Collins approach a new Supreme Court vacancy? · 5 Oct, 09:25 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
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The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 5 Oct 2026. Washington Post published first, on 5 October at 09:25 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Susan Collins — resolved “No” on 4 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if a Republican takes office as a U.S. Senator from Maine for the term starting in 2027. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline.
  • Olympia Snowe — resolved “No” on 3 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if Olympia Snowe publicly endorses Susan Collins in the 2026 Maine Senate election before November 3, 2026. The outcome is No if she does not make this endorsement by that deadline. Readers often mistake the linked story about Susan Collins for the resolution criteria, but only Snowe's specific action matters.
  • Susan Collins — the market puts it at 45%, closing 1 Jan 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Senator Susan Collins votes in favor of Kari Lake’s nomination as U.S. Ambassador to Jamaica before January 1, 2028. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a bribery probe for the actual voting event that triggers the resolution.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. How would Susan Collins approach a new Supreme Court vacancy? Washington Post ·

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Resolved Susan Collins No 3d ago

    The market favoured No at 73% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

  • Resolved Olympia Snowe No 4d ago

    The market favoured No at 98% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Susan Collins 45% $0 24hends 1 Jan 2028

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

Have your say

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In this story

  • Susan Collins
  • Brett Kavanaugh
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