Spain, Portugal, Luxembourg Urge EU to Set 2040 Renewables Goal
The three nations are pushing the bloc to establish a target to reduce dependence on imported fuel.
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The odds
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Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 17% |
| 29 Sept, 21:32 UTC | 17% |
| 29 Sept, 13:35 UTC | 23% |
| 28 Sept, 05:21 UTC | 14% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 29 Sept 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 29 September at 06:16 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Portugal — the market puts it at 17%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Pope Leo XIV physically travels to and is present in Portugal before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistakenly link this outcome to the linked news story about EU renewables goals.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
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- Kalshi Portugal 17%
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In this story
- Spain
- Portugal
- Luxembourg
- European Union