Solana Sets Oct. 21 for Alpenglow Upgrade Targeting 150-Millisecond Finality
The network will replace its validator voting system and remove vote transactions from blocks to achieve faster finality.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 19 Oct, 03:16 UTC | 1% |
| 19 Oct, 02:49 UTC | 1% |
| 19 Oct, 02:29 UTC | 1% |
| 18 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 2% |
| 18 Oct, 22:07 UTC | 2% |
| 18 Oct, 21:07 UTC | 2% |
| 18 Oct, 16:24 UTC | 2% |
| 18 Oct, 14:34 UTC | 2% |
| 18 Oct, 13:37 UTC | 1% |
| 18 Oct, 10:52 UTC | 1% |
| 18 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 2% |
| 18 Oct, 08:20 UTC | 2% |
| 18 Oct, 07:01 UTC | 2% |
| 18 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 2% |
| 18 Oct, 01:23 UTC | 2% |
| 17 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 2% |
| 17 Oct, 20:12 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Oct, 18:10 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Oct, 17:14 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Oct, 16:52 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Oct, 16:09 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 2% |
| 17 Oct, 11:47 UTC | 2% |
| 17 Oct, 11:26 UTC | 2% |
| 17 Oct, 09:52 UTC | 2% |
| 17 Oct, 08:39 UTC | 2% |
| 17 Oct, 04:09 UTC | 2% |
| 17 Oct, 03:56 UTC | 2% |
| 17 Oct, 03:16 UTC | 2% |
| 17 Oct, 02:36 UTC | 2% |
| 17 Oct, 02:17 UTC | 2% |
| 17 Oct, 01:44 UTC | 2% |
| 17 Oct, 01:05 UTC | 2% |
| 17 Oct, 00:58 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 22:37 UTC | 2% |
| 16 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 2% |
| 16 Oct, 21:16 UTC | 2% |
| 16 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 2% |
| 16 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 2% |
| 16 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 2% |
| 16 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 2% |
| 16 Oct, 13:45 UTC | 2% |
| 16 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 12:56 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 12:26 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 11:58 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 11:09 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 10:55 UTC | 2% |
| 16 Oct, 10:28 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 09:54 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 08:59 UTC | 4% |
| 16 Oct, 08:20 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 07:46 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 07:16 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 06:56 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 05:55 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 05:21 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 04:56 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 03:36 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 03:22 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 02:48 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 01:56 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 01:22 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 4% |
| 16 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 23:56 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 23:28 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 22:29 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 21:20 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 19:49 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 19:28 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 17:25 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 16:56 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 15:52 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 15:19 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 14:57 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Oct, 13:59 UTC | 6% |
| 15 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Oct, 12:51 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 12:16 UTC | 2% |
| 15 Oct, 11:53 UTC | 2% |
| 15 Oct, 11:27 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 10:52 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Oct, 09:58 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 08:49 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Oct, 08:29 UTC | 6% |
| 15 Oct, 07:55 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Oct, 07:26 UTC | 8% |
| 15 Oct, 06:53 UTC | 9% |
| 15 Oct, 06:28 UTC | 8% |
| 15 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 9% |
| 15 Oct, 05:16 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Oct, 04:56 UTC | 8% |
| 15 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 10% |
| 15 Oct, 03:25 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 02:43 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 02:29 UTC | 4% |
| 14 Oct, 22:52 UTC | 2% |
| 14 Oct, 17:03 UTC | 2% |
| 14 Oct, 16:49 UTC | 2% |
| 14 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 2% |
| 14 Oct, 15:32 UTC | 2% |
| 14 Oct, 15:13 UTC | 2% |
| 14 Oct, 14:52 UTC | 2% |
| 14 Oct, 14:03 UTC | 2% |
| 14 Oct, 13:33 UTC | 2% |
| 14 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 2% |
| 14 Oct, 10:36 UTC | 2% |
| 14 Oct, 07:16 UTC | 2% |
| 14 Oct, 06:49 UTC | 3% |
| 14 Oct, 04:48 UTC | 3% |
| 14 Oct, 04:27 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Oct, 04:27 UTC | 3% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will Solana dip to $90 October 12-18? respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 14 Oct 2026. CoinDesk published first, on 14 October at 04:11 UTC; decrypt.co followed 15h 05m later. The most recent article, from decrypt.co, appeared on 15 October at 12:07 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: CoinDesk (major outlet), decrypt.co.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Solana dip to $90 October 12-18? — resolved “No” on 20 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the lowest price on any one-minute Binance candle for SOL/USDT between October 12 and October 18 hits $90 or lower. It resolves to No if that specific low never occurs within the defined timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about the Alpenglow upgrade as relevant, but only the Binance price data matters.
- Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 14? — resolved “Yes” on 14 Oct 2026. The market resolves to "Yes" if the Binance 1-minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at noon ET on October 14 has a final close price above $100. Otherwise, it resolves to "No." Readers often mistakenly check prices from other exchanges or trading pairs instead of Binance's specific SOL/USDT data.
- Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? — the market puts it at 9%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the highest price on any one-minute Binance candle for SOL/USDT reaches $180 between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026. It resolves to No if that specific high is never met within the defined window. Readers often mistakenly check prices from other exchanges or different timeframes instead of the designated Binance one-minute candles.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Solana dip to $90 October 12-18? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- CoinDeskSolana sets Oct. 21 for Alpenglow upgrade targeting 150-millisecond finality3%
- decrypt.coSolana Sets a Date for Its Next Major Upgrade2%▼2 points since the previous source
- decrypt.coMorning Minute: Solana Is About To Get Faster2%▲1 points since the previous source
- Market resolved: No
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Will Solana dip to $90 October 12-18? No 18d ago
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 14? Yes 24d ago
The market favoured Yes at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? 9%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
In this story
- Solana