Sherrod Brown Defeats Jon Husted in Ohio Senate Race
The Democrat unseats the Republican incumbent, dealing a significant blow to crypto interests that spent millions against him.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 5 Nov, 15:05 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 12:40 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 10:21 UTC | 6% |
| 4 Nov, 07:41 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Nov, 07:04 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 06:57 UTC | 26% |
| 4 Nov, 04:10 UTC | 22% |
| 4 Nov, 03:48 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Nov, 02:12 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 01:49 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Nov, 01:05 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Nov, 23:46 UTC | 24% |
| 3 Nov, 23:10 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 20:27 UTC | 16% |
| 3 Nov, 18:29 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 15:57 UTC | 16% |
| 3 Nov, 14:18 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 12:14 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Nov, 10:38 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Nov, 06:15 UTC | 19% |
| 2 Nov, 20:30 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Nov, 18:11 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 13:17 UTC | 16% |
| 31 Oct, 12:19 UTC | 15% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Sherrod Brown, 2-4% respond.
The story so far
12 publishers have covered this in 14 articles since 1 Nov 2026. CoinDesk published first, on 1 November at 13:00 UTC; politico.com followed 20h 46m later. The most recent article, from The Block, appeared on 5 November at 04:28 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: CoinDesk (major outlet), politico.com (major outlet), CBS News Politics (major outlet), The Guardian US (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), The Hill (major outlet), The New York Times (major outlet), Fox News Politics, The Block, Mother Jones, Quartz, Roll Call.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Sherrod Brown, 2-4% — the market puts it at 2%, with $355 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome is Yes if Sherrod Brown wins the 2026 Ohio Senate special election by a margin between 2% and 4%. The outcome is No if his margin of victory falls outside that specific range. Readers often mistake the deadline for the election date rather than the official certification of results.
- Republican party — the market puts it at 42%, closing 7 Nov 2029. The market resolves to Yes if a Republican is sworn in as an Ohio Senator for the term starting in 2029. It resolves to No if that specific condition does not happen. Readers often mistake the timing of the election or the current officeholder for the resolution criteria, but only the person sworn in for the 2029 term counts.
- At least 68% — the market puts it at 94%, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Sherrod Brown receives at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Cuyahoga County, Ohio. It resolves to No if he receives less than 68%. Readers often mistake the geographic scope, assuming the rule applies to the entire state rather than just Cuyahoga County.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Sherrod Brown, 2-4% at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- CoinDeskSherrod Brown's Ohio edge threatens a rough go for crypto next year15%
- politico.comBig Tech faces a political reckoning in Ohio16%▲1 points since the previous source
- Fox News PoliticsLongtime Dem Sen who lost his seat 2 years ago projected to secure comeback victory in midterm battleground3%▼13 points since the previous source
- CBS News PoliticsSherrod Brown wins Ohio Senate race, flipping seat for Democrats22%▲19 points since the previous source
- The Guardian USDemocrat Sherrod Brown wins Ohio Senate race in major blow to Republicans22%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraSherrod Brown, an Ohio Democrat, wins return to US Senate22%
- The HillBrown pulls off Senate comeback bid, beating Husted in Ohio22%
- The BlockFormer Sen. Sherrod Brown defeats Jon Husted, dealing a blow to crypto PAC Fairshake22%
- Mother JonesSherrod Brown Reclaims Senate Seat in Ohio22%
- QuartzSherrod Brown besiegt Senator Jon Husted bei der Sonderwahl zum Senat von Ohio.22%
Show 4 later sources
- QuartzDer Demokrat Sherrod Brown besiegte Senator Jon Husted im US-Senatsrennen in Ohio.5%▼16 points since the previous source
- Roll CallNew Senate class includes experienced lawmakers, ex-governor1%▼4 points since the previous source
- The New York TimesSherrod Brown’s Win in Ohio Is a Rare Loss for Crypto Under Trump1%
- The BlockThe Digital Chamber calls Sherrod Brown’s win ‘most consequential unfavorable result’ for crypto1%
- Current odds2%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Sherrod Brown’s Win in Ohio Is a Rare Loss for Crypto Under Trump The New York Times ·
- Brown pulls off Senate comeback bid, beating Husted in Ohio The Hill ·
- Sherrod Brown, an Ohio Democrat, wins return to US Senate Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Democrat Sherrod Brown wins Ohio Senate race in major blow to Republicans The Guardian US ·
- Sherrod Brown wins Ohio Senate race, flipping seat for Democrats CBS News Politics ·
- Big Tech faces a political reckoning in Ohio politico.com ·
Show 8 more sources
- Sherrod Brown's Ohio edge threatens a rough go for crypto next year CoinDesk ·
- The Digital Chamber calls Sherrod Brown’s win ‘most consequential unfavorable result’ for crypto The Block
- New Senate class includes experienced lawmakers, ex-governor Roll Call
- Der Demokrat Sherrod Brown besiegte Senator Jon Husted im US-Senatsrennen in Ohio. Quartz
- Sherrod Brown besiegt Senator Jon Husted bei der Sonderwahl zum Senat von Ohio. Quartz
- Sherrod Brown Reclaims Senate Seat in Ohio Mother Jones
- Former Sen. Sherrod Brown defeats Jon Husted, dealing a blow to crypto PAC Fairshake The Block
- Longtime Dem Sen who lost his seat 2 years ago projected to secure comeback victory in midterm battleground Fox News Politics
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Sherrod Brown, 2-4% 2%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Republican party 42%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi At least 68% 94%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Sherrod Brown
- Jon Husted
- Fairshake
- JD Vance