Fallon Sherrock beats Luke Littler to win £501,000 prize in Netflix darts event
Amateur player Fallon Sherrock defeated world champion Luke Littler during a live televised match on Netflix, securing the second-largest prize in darts history.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by SkySports, 1h 43m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 52% |
| 2 Nov, 01:24 UTC | 52% |
| 2 Nov, 00:04 UTC | 50% |
| 1 Nov, 22:10 UTC | 54% |
| 31 Oct, 22:35 UTC | 57% |
| 31 Oct, 21:53 UTC | 56% |
| 31 Oct, 20:50 UTC | 57% |
| 31 Oct, 04:35 UTC | 54% |
| 30 Oct, 21:46 UTC | 48% |
| 30 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 55% |
| 30 Oct, 09:22 UTC | 54% |
| 30 Oct, 04:08 UTC | 48% |
| 29 Oct, 14:07 UTC | 54% |
| 26 Oct, 02:48 UTC | 48% |
| 25 Oct, 07:11 UTC | 55% |
| 24 Oct, 14:20 UTC | 56% |
| 24 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 47% |
| 21 Oct, 01:03 UTC | 48% |
| 20 Oct, 22:38 UTC | 50% |
| 20 Oct, 10:35 UTC | 57% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 51% |
| 18 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 52% |
| 16 Oct, 16:39 UTC | 57% |
| 16 Oct, 08:13 UTC | 52% |
| 16 Oct, 07:16 UTC | 55% |
| 16 Oct, 06:43 UTC | 53% |
| 16 Oct, 06:02 UTC | 57% |
| 16 Oct, 05:28 UTC | 51% |
| 16 Oct, 03:43 UTC | 52% |
| 16 Oct, 03:22 UTC | 58% |
| 15 Oct, 02:22 UTC | 53% |
| 14 Oct, 14:38 UTC | 58% |
| 13 Oct, 21:51 UTC | 57% |
| 13 Oct, 01:42 UTC | 52% |
| 11 Oct, 22:27 UTC | 55% |
| 11 Oct, 20:47 UTC | 61% |
| 11 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 54% |
| 11 Oct, 17:30 UTC | 47% |
| 11 Oct, 14:29 UTC | 63% |
| 11 Oct, 06:43 UTC | 61% |
| 11 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 54% |
| 10 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 54% |
| 10 Oct, 05:33 UTC | 52% |
| 10 Oct, 04:47 UTC | 59% |
| 10 Oct, 03:05 UTC | 57% |
| 10 Oct, 00:39 UTC | 52% |
| 9 Oct, 16:37 UTC | 59% |
| 8 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 50% |
| 8 Oct, 13:00 UTC | 49% |
| 8 Oct, 09:16 UTC | 53% |
| 8 Oct, 04:37 UTC | 55% |
| 8 Oct, 03:22 UTC | 51% |
| 8 Oct, 02:02 UTC | 51% |
| 7 Oct, 22:51 UTC | 57% |
| 7 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 55% |
| 7 Oct, 20:50 UTC | 51% |
| 7 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 52% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 55% |
| 6 Oct, 06:07 UTC | 57% |
| 6 Oct, 00:43 UTC | 51% |
| 5 Oct, 07:49 UTC | 57% |
| 4 Oct, 13:46 UTC | 58% |
| 3 Oct, 07:06 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Oct, 06:46 UTC | 74% |
| 2 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 73% |
| 2 Oct, 04:09 UTC | 56% |
| 1 Oct, 15:00 UTC | 54% |
| 1 Oct, 11:26 UTC | 51% |
| 1 Oct, 00:58 UTC | 60% |
| 30 Sept, 20:24 UTC | 67% |
| 30 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 68% |
| 30 Sept, 19:24 UTC | 66% |
| 30 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 60% |
| 30 Sept, 16:59 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Sept, 13:48 UTC | 60% |
| 30 Sept, 09:18 UTC | 58% |
| 30 Sept, 07:29 UTC | 61% |
| 30 Sept, 02:21 UTC | 55% |
| 30 Sept, 01:44 UTC | 60% |
| 29 Sept, 19:33 UTC | 61% |
| 29 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 56% |
| 29 Sept, 10:45 UTC | 55% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 61% |
| 28 Sept, 05:19 UTC | 55% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Luke Littler respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 6 articles since 30 Oct 2026. SkySports published first, on 30 October at 21:55 UTC; BBC Sport followed 1h 43m later. The most recent article, from The Guardian, appeared on 31 October at 10:17 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Guardian (major outlet), SkySports, BBC Sport.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Luke Littler — the market puts it at 52%, with $197 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 22 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Luke Littler wins the 2026-27 PDC World Championship. The outcome is No if he does not win that specific title. Readers often mistake the linked story about his exit from the World Grand Prix as the deciding factor, but only the final result of the World Championship counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Luke Littler at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- SkySportsSherrock wins leg to beat Littler and claim £501,000 prize48%
- SkySportsWINNING MOMENT! Sherrock beats Littler to claim £501,000 prize!48%
- BBC SportSherrock upsets Littler to claim £501,000 prize48%
- SkySportsAGONISING! Student has dart at the bull to beat Littler and win £501,000!54%▲6 points since the previous source
- SkySportsSherrock 'happy to overcome hate' after lucrative Littler win54%
- The GuardianFallon Sherrock pulls off shock defeat of world darts No 1 Luke Littler in live TV battle54%
- Current odds52%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Fallon Sherrock pulls off shock defeat of world darts No 1 Luke Littler in live TV battle The Guardian ·
- Sherrock 'happy to overcome hate' after lucrative Littler win SkySports
- AGONISING! Student has dart at the bull to beat Littler and win £501,000! SkySports
- Sherrock upsets Littler to claim £501,000 prize BBC Sport
- WINNING MOMENT! Sherrock beats Littler to claim £501,000 prize! SkySports
- Sherrock wins leg to beat Littler and claim £501,000 prize SkySports
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Luke Littler 52% −5
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Fallon Sherrock
- Luke Littler
- Netflix