SCOTUS Hands Trump Loss in Bloomberg Law Podcast Discussion
A Bloomberg Law podcast discusses the Supreme Court's recent ruling against Donald Trump alongside updates on Tesla and SpaceX.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 59% |
| 23 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 59% |
| 23 Oct, 17:38 UTC | 56% |
| 23 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 59% |
| 23 Oct, 06:11 UTC | 56% |
| 22 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 58% |
| 22 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 56% |
| 22 Oct, 14:17 UTC | 62% |
| 22 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 53% |
| 22 Oct, 12:14 UTC | 49% |
| 22 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 42% |
| 22 Oct, 10:09 UTC | 44% |
| 22 Oct, 09:18 UTC | 45% |
| 22 Oct, 07:00 UTC | 48% |
| 22 Oct, 06:39 UTC | 67% |
| 22 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 68% |
| 22 Oct, 04:05 UTC | 62% |
| 22 Oct, 03:45 UTC | 64% |
| 21 Oct, 02:29 UTC | 65% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 22 Oct 2026. Bloomberg.com published first, on 22 October at 03:32 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Before May 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 59%, with $427 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 May 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for one company to acquire the other or for them to merge before May 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake this deadline for the date of the announcement rather than the date the agreement becomes official.
- Trump — resolved “No” on 22 Oct 2026.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Before May 1, 2027 59% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Trump No 16d ago
The market favoured No at 91% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
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