Sam Altman Calls Elon Musk a Bully, Defends Handling of Tough Questions
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman labels Elon Musk a bully while discussing his reliance on Nikesh Arora for difficult interviews.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 5 Oct, 12:50 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Oct, 12:29 UTC | 2% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Hires respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 5 Oct 2026. All Content from Business Insider published first, on 5 October at 18:09 UTC; Fortune followed 17h 28m later. The most recent article, from Inc., appeared on 6 October at 16:52 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: All Content from Business Insider, Fortune, Inc..
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Hires — the market puts it at 5%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if OpenAI’s CEO changes before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if the CEO remains the same through that date. Readers often mistake the linked story about David Robinson quitting for a change in the CEO role.
- Sam Altman — the market puts it at 1%, closing 31 Dec 2026. The outcome is Yes if Sam Altman ranks as the number one person in Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global list. The outcome is No if he does not hold that top spot. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline, but the actual trigger is only his ranking on the specific 2026 search results.
- Sam Altman — the market puts it at 7%, closing 31 Dec 2026. The outcome is Yes if Sam Altman ranks in the top five people on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global list. The outcome is No if he does not appear in that specific ranking. Readers often mistake this for a general popularity contest rather than a strict requirement to be in the official Google Year in Search 2026 People category.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Hires at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- All Content from Business InsiderSam Altman says Elon Musk is a ‘bully’ who only respects people who punch him back5%
- FortuneWhy Sam Altman takes his hardest questions to Nikesh Arora5%
- Inc.Sam Altman’s Publicist Interrupted a Tough Question. A PR Expert Says That Created a Second Problem5%
- Current odds5%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Hires 5%
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- Kalshi Sam Altman 1%
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- Kalshi Sam Altman 7%
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