Rahm Emanuel Says Trump's Policies Upended President's Coalition
Former Obama chief of staff Rahm Emanuel argues that Donald Trump's policies have fundamentally shifted the political coalition supporting the presidency.
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The odds
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Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 17:42 UTC | 0% |
| 3 Nov, 03:08 UTC | 3% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 4 Nov 2026. NPR Politics published first, on 4 November at 03:41 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Rahm Emanuel — the market puts it at 0%, closing 23 Feb 2028. The outcome is Yes if Rahm Emanuel wins the 2027 Chicago Mayoral Election. The outcome is No if he does not win that specific election. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about his current political influence rather than the official result of the 2027 race.
- Rahm Emanuel — the market puts it at 0%, closing 23 Feb 2028. The outcome is Yes if Rahm Emanuel wins the 2027 Chicago mayoral election. The outcome is No if he does not win. Readers often mistake the linked news story about his political views for the actual resolution criteria, which depends solely on the election result.
- Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — the market puts it at 0%, with $40k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Nov 2028. The 'Yes' outcome occurs if Rahm Emanuel wins the 2028 US Presidential Election, while 'No' applies if he does not. The market resolves once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate, or by who is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, if no consensus is reached earlier.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Related prediction markets
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- Kalshi Rahm Emanuel 0%
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- Polymarket Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election? 0%
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In this story
- Rahm Emanuel
- Donald Trump
- Obama