r/opensource bans AI projects in new submission rules
Moderators of the r/opensource subreddit have implemented new rules prohibiting submissions for projects that use, are made by, or are intended for artificial intelligence.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 10% |
| 27 Oct, 02:42 UTC | 10% |
| 26 Oct, 21:45 UTC | 6% |
| 26 Oct, 17:36 UTC | 11% |
| 25 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Oct, 13:31 UTC | 6% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Yes respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 25 Oct 2026. The Verge published first, on 25 October at 13:25 UTC; Latest from Tom's Hardware in News followed 20h 34m later. The most recent article, from www.theregister.com, appeared on 26 October at 17:00 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Verge (major outlet), Latest from Tom's Hardware in News, www.theregister.com.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Yes — the market puts it at 10%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the US government enacts a federal ban on public access to open-source AI models via legislation, executive order, or regulation before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake this for a ban on AI development rather than public access, or they ignore the strict deadline.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Yes at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- The Verger/opensource just banned AI, non-English speakers, and more6%
- Latest from Tom's Hardware in NewsReddit’s r/opensource bans AI-made and AI-focused projects, also bans non-English speakers7%▲1 points since the previous source
- www.theregister.comReddit's r/opensource bans AI slop, and quite a few humans for good measure7%
- Current odds10%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Yes 10%
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In this story
- r/opensource