Philippine Senate Clears Motion to Lower Voting Threshold in Vice-President Trial
The Philippine Senate approved a motion changing the conviction threshold, intensifying the political battle between President Marcos and impeached Vice-President Duterte.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 66% |
| 22 Sept, 06:57 UTC | 66% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 23 Sept 2026. South China Morning Post published first, on 23 September at 06:22 UTC; Latest articles followed 57 min later. The most recent article, from South China Morning Post, appeared on 24 September at 09:06 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: South China Morning Post, Latest articles.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Sara Duterte — the market puts it at 66%, with $37 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 May 2029. The market resolves to Yes if Sara Duterte wins the next Philippine presidential election. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked Senate news for the deciding event, but only the presidential election result matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Sara Duterte at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- South China Morning PostMarcos’ ‘existential battle’ with Sara Duterte intensifies in Philippines66%
- Latest articlesPhilippine Senate’s lowering of voting threshold raises stakes for Sara Duterte66%
- South China Morning PostPhilippines impeachment: is path now clear to convict Sara Duterte?66%
- South China Morning PostPhilippines weighs pardon for death row inmate repatriated from Indonesia66%
- Current odds66%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Philippines weighs pardon for death row inmate repatriated from Indonesia South China Morning Post
- Philippines impeachment: is path now clear to convict Sara Duterte? South China Morning Post
- Philippine Senate’s lowering of voting threshold raises stakes for Sara Duterte Latest articles
- Marcos’ ‘existential battle’ with Sara Duterte intensifies in Philippines South China Morning Post
Related prediction markets
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- Kalshi Sara Duterte 66%
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In this story
- Sara Duterte
- Ferdinand Marcos Jnr
- Rodante Marcoleta
- Jinggoy Estrada