Pearl Jam Unveil Abe Laboriel Jr. as New Drummer at Ohana Festival
The band revealed the longtime Paul McCartney drummer during a surprise set, marking their first performance since Matt Cameron's departure.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 1 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 17:16 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Sept, 04:03 UTC | 4% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Pearl Jam respond.
The story so far
4 publishers have covered this in 13 articles since 24 Sept 2026. Rolling Stone published first, on 24 September at 14:40 UTC; Consequence followed 37h 49m later. The most recent article, from Rolling Stone, appeared on 29 September at 17:35 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Rolling Stone, Consequence, Stereogum, NME.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Pearl Jam — resolved “No” on 21 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Pearl Jam headlines the Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival in 2027. It resolves to No if they do not headline that specific event. Readers often mistake other festival appearances or lineup announcements for the required resolution condition.
- Pearl Jam — resolved “No” on 27 Oct 2026. The outcome is Yes if Pearl Jam is officially announced as the headliner for the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show before February 15, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake other festival appearances or news stories for the official halftime show announcement.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Pearl Jam at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Rolling StoneWho Will Pearl Jam Hire As Their New Drummer? We Have Suggestions—
- ConsequencePearl Jam Unveil Abe Laboriel Jr. as New Drummer at Ohana Festival4%
- Rolling StonePearl Jam Surprise Reveal Abe Laboriel Jr. as New Drummer at Ohana Festival4%
- StereogumPearl Jam Reveal New Drummer At Ohana Festival4%
- NMELongtime Paul McCartney drummer Abe Laboriel Jr. joins Pearl Jam at Ohana Festival4%
- Rolling StoneTyler Childers Brings the Wild, Eddie Vedder Surprise Performs at Ohana Festival4%
- Rolling StoneJeff Ament Looks Back at Pearl Jam’s Early Days — and Explains How They Picked Their New Drummer4%
- Rolling StonePearl Jam Officially Welcome Abe Laboriel Jr. as New Drummer During Thunderous Ohana Headlining Set4%
- ConsequenceEddie Vedder Performs with Pixies, Bad Religion, and Everyone Else at Ohana Fest4%
- ConsequencePearl Jam Play First Full Show of 2026 with Abe Laboriel Jr. on Drums: Video + Setlist4%
Show 3 later sources
- StereogumPearl Jam Share Statement About New Drummer At Ohana, Eddie Vedder Performs With Pixies, Bad Religion, Billy Strings, Stephen Wilson Jr., & More4%
- NMEWatch Pixies perform ‘Wave Of Mutilation’ with Pearl Jam’s Eddie Vedder4%
- Rolling StoneWhat The Hell Is Going on With the Pearl Jam Drummer Situation?4%
- Market resolved: No
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- What The Hell Is Going on With the Pearl Jam Drummer Situation? Rolling Stone
- Watch Pixies perform ‘Wave Of Mutilation’ with Pearl Jam’s Eddie Vedder NME
- Pearl Jam Share Statement About New Drummer At Ohana, Eddie Vedder Performs With Pixies, Bad Religion, Billy Strings, Stephen Wilson Jr., & More Stereogum
- Pearl Jam Play First Full Show of 2026 with Abe Laboriel Jr. on Drums: Video + Setlist Consequence
- Eddie Vedder Performs with Pixies, Bad Religion, and Everyone Else at Ohana Fest Consequence
- Pearl Jam Officially Welcome Abe Laboriel Jr. as New Drummer During Thunderous Ohana Headlining Set Rolling Stone
Show 7 more sources
- Jeff Ament Looks Back at Pearl Jam’s Early Days — and Explains How They Picked Their New Drummer Rolling Stone
- Tyler Childers Brings the Wild, Eddie Vedder Surprise Performs at Ohana Festival Rolling Stone
- Longtime Paul McCartney drummer Abe Laboriel Jr. joins Pearl Jam at Ohana Festival NME
- Pearl Jam Reveal New Drummer At Ohana Festival Stereogum
- Pearl Jam Surprise Reveal Abe Laboriel Jr. as New Drummer at Ohana Festival Rolling Stone
- Pearl Jam Unveil Abe Laboriel Jr. as New Drummer at Ohana Festival Consequence
- Who Will Pearl Jam Hire As Their New Drummer? We Have Suggestions Rolling Stone
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Pearl Jam No 16d ago
The market favoured No at 96% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Pearl Jam No 11d ago
The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Pearl Jam
- Abe Laboriel Jr.
- Eddie Vedder
- Matt Cameron
- Ohana Festival