Out of the Park Baseball lets me enjoy baseball even when the Mets suck
A writer details their extensive experience with the simulation game, contrasting it with MLB The Show and Super Mega Baseball.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 96% |
| 23 Oct, 17:04 UTC | 96% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 95% |
| 12 Oct, 00:15 UTC | 96% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 99% |
| 26 Sept, 22:11 UTC | 60% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 27 Sept 2026. The Verge published first, on 27 September at 21:59 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- 15+ inside-the-park home runs — resolved “Yes” on 29 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if batters hit at least 15 inside-the-park home runs during the entire 2026 Pro Baseball season, including both regular games and playoffs. It resolves to No if that total is not reached by the end of those games. Readers often mistake the linked story about a video game for the actual source of truth, but only real-world baseball statistics count.
- 15+ instances of a player hitting 3+ home runs in a game — resolved “Yes” on 29 Oct 2026. Count every time any batter hits three or more home runs in a single game throughout the entire 2026 Pro Baseball season, including regular season and playoff games. The market resolves to Yes if these events total fifteen or more instances by the end of that season. Readers often mistake this for a count of individual players reaching the milestone rather than the total number of such games across all teams.
- More than 600 games — the market puts it at 83%, closing 7 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the total number of Major League Baseball regular-season games played during the 2027 season exceeds 600. It resolves to No if that total is 600 or fewer. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it depends on when the season ends rather than the final count of games played.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved 15+ inside-the-park home runs Yes 9d ago
The market favoured Yes at 96% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved 15+ instances of a player hitting 3+ home runs in a game Yes 9d ago
The market favoured Yes at 98% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Kalshi More than 600 games 83%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
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In this story
- Out of the Park Baseball
- Mets
- MLB The Show
- Super Mega Baseball