OpenAI to watermark ChatGPT text in EU for AI Act compliance
The company is implementing invisible digital markers in generated content to meet European Union transparency regulations.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by OpenAI, 3h 55m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 3 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 31 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 99% |
| 31 Oct, 14:08 UTC | 99% |
| 31 Oct, 13:53 UTC | 98% |
| 31 Oct, 09:24 UTC | 98% |
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| 23 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 99% |
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| 23 Oct, 18:48 UTC | 98% |
| 23 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 97% |
| 23 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 97% |
| 23 Oct, 16:57 UTC | 97% |
| 23 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 97% |
| 23 Oct, 13:37 UTC | 97% |
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| 23 Oct, 12:50 UTC | 97% |
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| 23 Oct, 07:26 UTC | 97% |
| 23 Oct, 06:59 UTC | 97% |
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| 23 Oct, 04:17 UTC | 97% |
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| 22 Oct, 23:48 UTC | 97% |
| 22 Oct, 23:27 UTC | 97% |
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| 22 Oct, 21:16 UTC | 97% |
| 22 Oct, 20:48 UTC | 97% |
| 22 Oct, 20:13 UTC | 97% |
| 22 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 97% |
| 22 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 97% |
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| 22 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 97% |
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| 22 Oct, 15:57 UTC | 98% |
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| 21 Oct, 23:42 UTC | 98% |
| 21 Oct, 23:28 UTC | 98% |
| 21 Oct, 22:53 UTC | 98% |
| 21 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 98% |
| 21 Oct, 21:12 UTC | 98% |
| 21 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 98% |
| 21 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 98% |
| 21 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 98% |
| 21 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 98% |
| 21 Oct, 18:41 UTC | 97% |
| 21 Oct, 11:24 UTC | 96% |
| 20 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 95% |
| 20 Oct, 18:38 UTC | 95% |
| 16 Oct, 17:08 UTC | 90% |
| 15 Oct, 10:52 UTC | 89% |
| 14 Oct, 04:54 UTC | 90% |
| 14 Oct, 04:27 UTC | 89% |
| 14 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 88% |
| 13 Oct, 13:18 UTC | 89% |
| 12 Oct, 19:01 UTC | 87% |
| 11 Oct, 09:08 UTC | 87% |
| 11 Oct, 08:50 UTC | 88% |
| 11 Oct, 06:37 UTC | 87% |
| 9 Oct, 12:31 UTC | 88% |
| 7 Oct, 11:03 UTC | 87% |
| 7 Oct, 10:50 UTC | 88% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 88% |
| 6 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 93% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026? respond.
The story so far
6 publishers have covered this in 6 articles since 5 Oct 2026. OpenAI published first, on 5 October at 15:00 UTC; Engadget - Technology News & Expert Reviews followed 3h 56m later. The most recent article, from Ars Technica, appeared on 6 October at 20:50 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: TechCrunch (major outlet), Ars Technica (major outlet), OpenAI, Engadget - Technology News & Expert Reviews, www.theregister.com, Inc..
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026? — resolved “Yes” on 31 Oct 2026. The market resolves by checking the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard for the highest-ranked model at 12:00 PM ET on October 31, 2026. Only models with a visible rank count; those marked “AutoEval” are ignored. Readers often mistake the resolution source or miss the specific time and date of the check.
- Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026? — the market puts it at 76%, closing 1 Dec 2026. The market resolves by checking the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard for models on November 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. The outcome is Yes if OpenAI owns the top-ranked model and No if another company does. Readers often mistake the deadline or ignore the rule that AutoEval models are excluded from the ranking.
- Information Technology — the market puts it at 86%, closing 11 Jan 2028. The market resolves to Yes if OpenAI is officially classified in the Information Technology sector. It resolves to No if that classification does not happen. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about OpenAI's actions rather than its corporate sector assignment.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- OpenAIOur approach to EU text provenance rules—
- Engadget - Technology News & Expert ReviewsOpenAI will add a digital watermark to text and code generated in the EU—
- TechCrunchOpenAI will start watermarking ChatGPT’s text in the EU—
- www.theregister.comOpenAI rolls out weak sauce watermarking for AI text93%
- Inc.OpenAI Is Rolling Out Its New AI Watermarking Feature in a Smart Way. Here’s How It Differs From Anthropic93%
- Ars TechnicaOpenAI will watermark ChatGPT outputs by default—but only in the EU93%
- Market resolved: Yes
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- OpenAI will watermark ChatGPT outputs by default—but only in the EU Ars Technica ·
- OpenAI will start watermarking ChatGPT’s text in the EU TechCrunch ·
- OpenAI Is Rolling Out Its New AI Watermarking Feature in a Smart Way. Here’s How It Differs From Anthropic Inc.
- OpenAI rolls out weak sauce watermarking for AI text www.theregister.com
- OpenAI will add a digital watermark to text and code generated in the EU Engadget - Technology News & Expert Reviews
- Our approach to EU text provenance rules OpenAI
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026? Yes 7d ago
The market favoured Yes at 98% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026? 76% +4
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Information Technology 86%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls