Oklahoma Stuns No. 1 Texas With Last-Second Field Goal in Red River Rivalry
Tate Sandell kicks a 47-yard field goal as time expires to give Oklahoma a 27-24 victory over the top-ranked Longhorns.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 5 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 31 Oct, 20:07 UTC | 3% |
| 31 Oct, 14:16 UTC | 7% |
| 28 Oct, 19:26 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 10:48 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 15:42 UTC | 1% |
| 27 Oct, 00:17 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 23:35 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 01:38 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 15:16 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Oct, 08:30 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 5% |
| 18 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 1% |
| 18 Oct, 17:10 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 04:50 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 5% |
| 18 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 15% |
| 18 Oct, 02:31 UTC | 18% |
| 18 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 21% |
| 17 Oct, 23:22 UTC | 20% |
| 17 Oct, 18:36 UTC | 20% |
| 17 Oct, 04:30 UTC | 23% |
| 16 Oct, 18:31 UTC | 20% |
| 15 Oct, 16:56 UTC | 23% |
| 15 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 20% |
| 15 Oct, 14:43 UTC | 23% |
| 15 Oct, 13:17 UTC | 22% |
| 15 Oct, 03:10 UTC | 22% |
| 14 Oct, 19:50 UTC | 20% |
| 13 Oct, 14:56 UTC | 22% |
| 13 Oct, 04:48 UTC | 21% |
| 13 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 20% |
| 12 Oct, 22:33 UTC | 35% |
| 12 Oct, 20:43 UTC | 21% |
| 12 Oct, 17:30 UTC | 22% |
| 12 Oct, 17:12 UTC | 21% |
| 12 Oct, 16:32 UTC | 20% |
| 12 Oct, 14:04 UTC | 16% |
| 12 Oct, 12:43 UTC | 17% |
| 12 Oct, 07:47 UTC | 21% |
| 12 Oct, 07:28 UTC | 19% |
| 12 Oct, 06:15 UTC | 19% |
| 12 Oct, 04:48 UTC | 17% |
| 12 Oct, 03:18 UTC | 22% |
| 12 Oct, 00:15 UTC | 26% |
| 11 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 32% |
| 11 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 25% |
| 11 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 22% |
| 11 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 27% |
| 11 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 21% |
| 11 Oct, 17:30 UTC | 28% |
| 11 Oct, 16:32 UTC | 26% |
| 11 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 25% |
| 11 Oct, 15:40 UTC | 6% |
| 11 Oct, 12:14 UTC | 5% |
| 11 Oct, 00:20 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 14:20 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Oct, 00:42 UTC | 3% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch 9+ wins respond.
The story so far
4 publishers have covered this in 59 articles since 4 Oct 2026. SI Feed published first, on 4 October at 19:41 UTC; CBS Sports Headlines followed 48h 21m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 16 October at 11:00 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Guardian US (major outlet), www.espn.com (major outlet), SI Feed, CBS Sports Headlines.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- 9+ wins — resolved “No” on 1 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Oklahoma wins nine or more games during the 2026 college football regular season. It resolves to No if the team finishes with fewer than nine wins. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the count includes bowl games or that the season ends before the final regular-season matchups.
- 7+ wins — the market puts it at 82%, with $284 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Oklahoma State achieves seven or more victories during the 2026 college football regular season. It resolves to No if the team finishes with fewer than seven wins. Readers often mistake the linked game against Texas for the sole determinant, but only the total count of regular-season wins matters.
- Oklahoma — the market puts it at 2%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 29 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Oklahoma qualifies for the College Football Playoffs. It resolves to No if Oklahoma does not qualify. Readers often mistake the linked game result for the resolution criteria, but only playoff qualification matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on 9+ wins at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- SI FeedWhat Texas Cannot Afford to Carry Into the Red River Rivalry—
- SI FeedRed River Rivalry: 5 Early Texas vs. Oklahoma Storylines to Watch—
- SI FeedHow to Watch Oklahoma vs. No. 1 Texas—
- SI FeedCan Oklahoma Win the Rushing Battle Against Texas?—
- SI FeedOklahoma Doesn't Care That Texas Is No. 1 and That's What Makes Saturday Dangerous—
- CBS Sports HeadlinesBrent Venables blasts Oklahoma's offensive line woes before Red River Rivalry vs. Texas3%
- SI FeedTexas Has Earned The Right to Make Oklahoma Chase5%▲2 points since the previous source
- SI FeedTexas Legend Goes Inside the Red River Rivalry vs. Oklahoma: ‘It’s Just Electric’5%
- SI FeedOklahoma HC Brent Venables 'Wouldn't Change' Anything About Red River Rivalry5%
- SI FeedWhere Does Oklahoma's OL Stand According to Initial SEC Availability Report Ahead of Red River Shootout?5%
Show 49 later sources
- SI FeedDoes Oklahoma's Offense Have Any Surprises in Store for Texas?5%
- SI FeedTexas Can’t Let Oklahoma Turn Red River Into a Rock Fight5%
- CBS Sports HeadlinesTexas vs. Oklahoma prediction, pick, odds, spread: Longhorns, Sooners clash in Red River Rivalry5%
- SI FeedHow Special Teams has Shaped Oklahoma Red River Rivalry Success5%
- SI FeedOklahoma Threads: Running Backs in the Red River Rivalry5%
- SI FeedOklahoma Star Defenders Trending to Return vs. No. 1 Texas5%
- SI FeedOklahoma's One Big Thing Might Be Too Big to Overcome Against No. 1 Texas5%
- SI FeedThe Pressure Is All on Oklahoma in the Red River Rivalry vs. Texas5%
- SI FeedStaff Picks: Can Oklahoma Pull a Red River Upset Against No. 1 Texas?5%
- SI FeedNo. 1 Texas vs. Oklahoma: How to Watch, Odds, Injuries, and More5%
- SI FeedTexas Special Teams Could Play an Outsized Role Against Oklahoma5%
- SI FeedTexas Can Force Oklahoma Into One of the Most Embarrassing Streaks in College Football5%
- SI FeedTexas Longhorns vs. Oklahoma Sooners: Who Wins and Why?5%
- CBS Sports HeadlinesTexas vs. Oklahoma prediction, odds, time: Week 6 college football picks from proven model5%
- SI FeedWhat Rabbits Will Oklahoma Pull out of its hat in Red River Rivalry?5%
- SI FeedOklahoma Defense Dealt a Blow Ahead of Red River Rivalry5%
- SI FeedTexas vs Oklahoma Final Injury Report Includes Major Red River Absences5%
- SI FeedWhich Under the Radar Sooners Could Help Seize Momentum for Oklahoma Against Texas?5%
- SI Feed3 Bold Predictions for Texas vs. Oklahoma5%
- SI FeedWhat X-Factors Could Shape Oklahoma's Upset Bid in the Red River Rivalry?5%
- SI FeedThree Questions Texas Must Answer vs. Oklahoma7%▲2 points since the previous source
- CBS Sports HeadlinesTexas vs. Oklahoma prediction, odds, time: Week 6 college football picks from proven model7%
- SI FeedFive Things That Will Decide Texas vs. Oklahoma7%
- SI FeedCollege GameDay Makes Official Predictions for Texas vs. Oklahoma7%
- SI FeedKirk Herbstreit Hesitatingly Picks Winner for Texas-Oklahoma Week 6 College Football Game7%
- SI FeedNo. 1 Texas vs. Oklahoma Live In-Game Updates: Live Updates and Box Score7%
- SI FeedLive Updates From Oklahoma's Battle With No. 1 Texas in the Red River Rivalry7%
- The Guardian USOklahoma stun No 1 Texas as Sandell’s last-second kick seals Red River upset7%
- SI FeedOklahoma-Texas Stock Report: Who's Up, Who's Down After Another Red River Classic7%
- www.espn.comRed River redemption: Oklahoma's last-second FG stuns No. 1 Texas7%
- SI FeedSpecial Teams Helps Turn the Tide as Oklahoma Stuns Top-Ranked Texas7%
- CBS Sports HeadlinesOklahoma's upset of No. 1 Texas, by the numbers: Inside the Sooners' Red River stunner3%▼4 points since the previous source
- CBS Sports HeadlinesA loss to rival Oklahoma hurts, but it will take a lot more to derail Texas' College Football Playoff path3%
- CBS Sports HeadlinesTexas spent weeks escaping its flaws, and Oklahoma exposed all of them in Red River3%
- SI FeedOklahoma's Offense Laid a Foundation it Needs to Build on in Second Half of Red River Rivalry3%
- www.espn.comA Red River game winner and upsets galore in the SEC3%
- SI FeedOklahoma's PFF Grades, Snap Counts for the Sooners' Stunning Upset of Texas3%
- SI FeedOklahoma's Peyton Bowen Savors 'Surreal' Red River Rivalry Moment5%▲2 points since the previous source
- SI FeedPutting Oklahoma's Win Over No. 1 Texas in Historical Perspective Is Tough, but I Stayed Up All Night Trying6%▲2 points since the previous source
- SI FeedThe Moments That Defined Oklahoma's Unexpected Win Over No. 1 Texas28%▲22 points since the previous source
- SI FeedOklahoma Looking to Build Recruiting Momentum After Win Over Texas22%▼6 points since the previous source
- SI FeedTexas Stock Report: Who Helped and Hurt Themselves vs. Oklahoma in Stunning 27-24 Loss25%▲3 points since the previous source
- SI FeedTexas Loss to Oklahoma Exposes a Much Bigger Concern32%▲7 points since the previous source
- SI FeedThree Texas Longhorns Who Stood Out in Loss to Oklahoma21%▼11 points since the previous source
- SI FeedOklahoma Looks to Turn the Page Quickly to Avoid Letdown After Beating No. 1 Texas21%
- SI FeedTexas Cannot Let One Loss Become Two22%▲1 points since the previous source
- SI Feed'Throw the Records Out': Lessons from Other Rivalry Games No.3 Miami Won't Make22%
- SI FeedOklahoma Threads: The Last Time the Sooners Met Kentucky23%▲1 points since the previous source
- SI FeedWhy Oklahoma's Seniors Are the One Big Thing That Can Put Texas in the Rearview Mirror23%
- Market resolved: No
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- A Red River game winner and upsets galore in the SEC www.espn.com ·
- Red River redemption: Oklahoma's last-second FG stuns No. 1 Texas www.espn.com ·
- Oklahoma stun No 1 Texas as Sandell’s last-second kick seals Red River upset The Guardian US ·
- Why Oklahoma's Seniors Are the One Big Thing That Can Put Texas in the Rearview Mirror SI Feed
- Oklahoma Threads: The Last Time the Sooners Met Kentucky SI Feed
- 'Throw the Records Out': Lessons from Other Rivalry Games No.3 Miami Won't Make SI Feed
Show 53 more sources
- Texas Cannot Let One Loss Become Two SI Feed
- Oklahoma Looks to Turn the Page Quickly to Avoid Letdown After Beating No. 1 Texas SI Feed
- Three Texas Longhorns Who Stood Out in Loss to Oklahoma SI Feed
- Texas Loss to Oklahoma Exposes a Much Bigger Concern SI Feed
- Texas Stock Report: Who Helped and Hurt Themselves vs. Oklahoma in Stunning 27-24 Loss SI Feed
- Oklahoma Looking to Build Recruiting Momentum After Win Over Texas SI Feed
- The Moments That Defined Oklahoma's Unexpected Win Over No. 1 Texas SI Feed
- Putting Oklahoma's Win Over No. 1 Texas in Historical Perspective Is Tough, but I Stayed Up All Night Trying SI Feed
- Oklahoma's Peyton Bowen Savors 'Surreal' Red River Rivalry Moment SI Feed
- Oklahoma's PFF Grades, Snap Counts for the Sooners' Stunning Upset of Texas SI Feed
- Oklahoma's Offense Laid a Foundation it Needs to Build on in Second Half of Red River Rivalry SI Feed
- Texas spent weeks escaping its flaws, and Oklahoma exposed all of them in Red River CBS Sports Headlines
- A loss to rival Oklahoma hurts, but it will take a lot more to derail Texas' College Football Playoff path CBS Sports Headlines
- Oklahoma's upset of No. 1 Texas, by the numbers: Inside the Sooners' Red River stunner CBS Sports Headlines
- Special Teams Helps Turn the Tide as Oklahoma Stuns Top-Ranked Texas SI Feed
- Oklahoma-Texas Stock Report: Who's Up, Who's Down After Another Red River Classic SI Feed
- No. 1 Texas vs. Oklahoma Live In-Game Updates: Live Updates and Box Score SI Feed
- Live Updates From Oklahoma's Battle With No. 1 Texas in the Red River Rivalry SI Feed
- Kirk Herbstreit Hesitatingly Picks Winner for Texas-Oklahoma Week 6 College Football Game SI Feed
- College GameDay Makes Official Predictions for Texas vs. Oklahoma SI Feed
- Five Things That Will Decide Texas vs. Oklahoma SI Feed
- Texas vs. Oklahoma prediction, odds, time: Week 6 college football picks from proven model CBS Sports Headlines
- Three Questions Texas Must Answer vs. Oklahoma SI Feed
- What X-Factors Could Shape Oklahoma's Upset Bid in the Red River Rivalry? SI Feed
- 3 Bold Predictions for Texas vs. Oklahoma SI Feed
- Which Under the Radar Sooners Could Help Seize Momentum for Oklahoma Against Texas? SI Feed
- Texas vs Oklahoma Final Injury Report Includes Major Red River Absences SI Feed
- Oklahoma Defense Dealt a Blow Ahead of Red River Rivalry SI Feed
- What Rabbits Will Oklahoma Pull out of its hat in Red River Rivalry? SI Feed
- Texas vs. Oklahoma prediction, odds, time: Week 6 college football picks from proven model CBS Sports Headlines
- Texas Longhorns vs. Oklahoma Sooners: Who Wins and Why? SI Feed
- Texas Can Force Oklahoma Into One of the Most Embarrassing Streaks in College Football SI Feed
- Texas Special Teams Could Play an Outsized Role Against Oklahoma SI Feed
- No. 1 Texas vs. Oklahoma: How to Watch, Odds, Injuries, and More SI Feed
- Staff Picks: Can Oklahoma Pull a Red River Upset Against No. 1 Texas? SI Feed
- The Pressure Is All on Oklahoma in the Red River Rivalry vs. Texas SI Feed
- Oklahoma's One Big Thing Might Be Too Big to Overcome Against No. 1 Texas SI Feed
- Oklahoma Star Defenders Trending to Return vs. No. 1 Texas SI Feed
- Oklahoma Threads: Running Backs in the Red River Rivalry SI Feed
- How Special Teams has Shaped Oklahoma Red River Rivalry Success SI Feed
- Texas vs. Oklahoma prediction, pick, odds, spread: Longhorns, Sooners clash in Red River Rivalry CBS Sports Headlines
- Texas Can’t Let Oklahoma Turn Red River Into a Rock Fight SI Feed
- Does Oklahoma's Offense Have Any Surprises in Store for Texas? SI Feed
- Where Does Oklahoma's OL Stand According to Initial SEC Availability Report Ahead of Red River Shootout? SI Feed
- Oklahoma HC Brent Venables 'Wouldn't Change' Anything About Red River Rivalry SI Feed
- Texas Legend Goes Inside the Red River Rivalry vs. Oklahoma: ‘It’s Just Electric’ SI Feed
- Texas Has Earned The Right to Make Oklahoma Chase SI Feed
- Brent Venables blasts Oklahoma's offensive line woes before Red River Rivalry vs. Texas CBS Sports Headlines
- Oklahoma Doesn't Care That Texas Is No. 1 and That's What Makes Saturday Dangerous SI Feed
- Can Oklahoma Win the Rushing Battle Against Texas? SI Feed
- How to Watch Oklahoma vs. No. 1 Texas SI Feed
- Red River Rivalry: 5 Early Texas vs. Oklahoma Storylines to Watch SI Feed
- What Texas Cannot Afford to Carry Into the Red River Rivalry SI Feed
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved 9+ wins No 6d ago
The market favoured No at 94% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Kalshi 7+ wins 82% −3
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Oklahoma 2% −4
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Tate Sandell
- Oklahoma
- Texas
- Manning