No. 5 Ohio State Beats No. 14 Iowa 31-14 Behind Sayin, Smith
Julian Sayin threw for 324 yards and three touchdowns to lead the Buckeyes past the Hawkeyes at Kinnick Stadium.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 69% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 69% |
| 4 Oct, 06:07 UTC | 71% |
| 4 Oct, 04:45 UTC | 73% |
| 4 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 71% |
| 4 Oct, 01:46 UTC | 73% |
| 4 Oct, 01:14 UTC | 75% |
| 2 Oct, 19:30 UTC | 78% |
| 2 Oct, 05:18 UTC | 74% |
| 2 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 76% |
| 30 Sept, 16:09 UTC | 77% |
| 30 Sept, 14:06 UTC | 74% |
| 29 Sept, 22:30 UTC | 75% |
| 29 Sept, 17:16 UTC | 76% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 78% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Sept, 23:09 UTC | 78% |
| 27 Sept, 18:51 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Sept, 11:33 UTC | 79% |
| 27 Sept, 03:46 UTC | 78% |
| 27 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Sept, 02:08 UTC | 78% |
| 27 Sept, 01:55 UTC | 81% |
| 27 Sept, 00:42 UTC | 75% |
| 26 Sept, 23:34 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Sept, 23:25 UTC | 62% |
| 26 Sept, 11:20 UTC | 66% |
| 25 Sept, 10:28 UTC | 65% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch 8+ wins respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 12 articles since 30 Sept 2026. SI Feed published first, on 30 September at 11:30 UTC; feeds.bleacherreport.com followed 83h 35m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 4 October at 21:30 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), SI Feed, feeds.bleacherreport.com.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- 8+ wins — the market puts it at 69%, with $2 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the Iowa college football team secures at least eight wins during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if the team finishes that season with fewer than eight wins. Readers often mistake the deadline, assuming it depends on playoff results rather than just the regular season record.
- Iowa — the market puts it at 3%, closing 10 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Iowa qualifies for the 2026 College Football Big Ten Championship Game. It resolves to No if Iowa does not qualify. Readers often mistake the linked game result as the deciding factor, but only official qualification for the championship matters.
- Iowa — the market puts it at 3%, closing 25 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Iowa qualifies for the College Football Playoff National Championship Game. The outcome is No if Iowa does not qualify. Readers often mistake the linked game result as the deciding factor, but only playoff qualification matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on 8+ wins at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- SI FeedBiggest Defensive Question for Iowa vs Ohio State: How do the Hawkeyes Handle Jeremiah Smith?75%
- SI FeedKirk Ferentz Says Iowa Will Need a Perfect Game to Upset Ohio State77%▲2 points since the previous source
- SI FeedWhat Ohio State Must Do Offensively to Take Down Iowa77%
- SI FeedJulian Sayin Reveals What Ohio State Must Improve Before Iowa77%
- SI FeedOhio State Captain Kenyatta Jackson Jr. Has a Blunt Message Before Iowa74%▼3 points since the previous source
- SI FeedOhio State on SI Week 5 Picks: Can Ohio State Ruin Iowa's Early Momentum?78%▲4 points since the previous source
- SI FeedIowa Football Keys to Victory vs Ohio State: Just Get to the 4th Quarter78%
- feeds.bleacherreport.comJeremiah Smith, Sayin's Box Score Stats, Highlights, Heisman Hype from Ohio State vs. Iowa78%
- SI FeedWhat Went Right - And Very Wrong - For Iowa Football Against Ohio State78%
- www.espn.comSayin-Smith connection leads No. 5 Ohio State past No. 14 Iowa78%
- SI FeedIowa Football Report Card: Ohio State Forces Hawkeyes to Hit the Books Harder71%▼7 points since the previous source
- SI FeedJeremiah Smith makes a BOLD statement after a dominating win over Iowa71%
- Current odds69%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Sayin-Smith connection leads No. 5 Ohio State past No. 14 Iowa www.espn.com ·
- Jeremiah Smith makes a BOLD statement after a dominating win over Iowa SI Feed
- Iowa Football Report Card: Ohio State Forces Hawkeyes to Hit the Books Harder SI Feed
- What Went Right - And Very Wrong - For Iowa Football Against Ohio State SI Feed
- Jeremiah Smith, Sayin's Box Score Stats, Highlights, Heisman Hype from Ohio State vs. Iowa feeds.bleacherreport.com
- Iowa Football Keys to Victory vs Ohio State: Just Get to the 4th Quarter SI Feed
Show 6 more sources
- Ohio State on SI Week 5 Picks: Can Ohio State Ruin Iowa's Early Momentum? SI Feed
- Ohio State Captain Kenyatta Jackson Jr. Has a Blunt Message Before Iowa SI Feed
- Julian Sayin Reveals What Ohio State Must Improve Before Iowa SI Feed
- What Ohio State Must Do Offensively to Take Down Iowa SI Feed
- Kirk Ferentz Says Iowa Will Need a Perfect Game to Upset Ohio State SI Feed
- Biggest Defensive Question for Iowa vs Ohio State: How do the Hawkeyes Handle Jeremiah Smith? SI Feed
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi 8+ wins 69% −2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Iowa 3%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Iowa 3%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Julian Sayin
- Jeremiah Smith
- Ohio State
- Iowa