Obama to Campaign in Cleveland for Democratic Candidates
The former president will join Ohio Senate candidate Sherrod Brown and gubernatorial hopeful Amy Acton on October 24.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 97% |
| 4 Nov, 04:10 UTC | 98% |
| 4 Nov, 03:55 UTC | 95% |
| 4 Nov, 03:26 UTC | 96% |
| 4 Nov, 02:56 UTC | 93% |
| 4 Nov, 02:19 UTC | 94% |
| 4 Nov, 01:57 UTC | 92% |
| 4 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 92% |
| 4 Nov, 00:43 UTC | 85% |
| 4 Nov, 00:29 UTC | 80% |
| 3 Nov, 23:46 UTC | 75% |
| 3 Nov, 23:24 UTC | 71% |
| 3 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Nov, 20:56 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Nov, 20:27 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Nov, 19:57 UTC | 69% |
| 3 Nov, 18:44 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Nov, 18:13 UTC | 71% |
| 3 Nov, 16:40 UTC | 68% |
| 3 Nov, 15:43 UTC | 71% |
| 3 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Nov, 14:18 UTC | 69% |
| 3 Nov, 13:55 UTC | 68% |
| 3 Nov, 07:48 UTC | 69% |
| 3 Nov, 07:20 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Nov, 06:37 UTC | 69% |
| 3 Nov, 06:23 UTC | 68% |
| 3 Nov, 04:43 UTC | 68% |
| 3 Nov, 03:33 UTC | 69% |
| 3 Nov, 03:12 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Nov, 01:54 UTC | 70% |
| 3 Nov, 00:12 UTC | 69% |
| 2 Nov, 23:01 UTC | 68% |
| 2 Nov, 19:33 UTC | 70% |
| 2 Nov, 19:26 UTC | 69% |
| 2 Nov, 17:04 UTC | 70% |
| 2 Nov, 16:49 UTC | 68% |
| 2 Nov, 16:12 UTC | 70% |
| 2 Nov, 15:34 UTC | 69% |
| 2 Nov, 12:56 UTC | 69% |
| 2 Nov, 07:47 UTC | 70% |
| 1 Nov, 22:10 UTC | 68% |
| 1 Nov, 21:34 UTC | 67% |
| 1 Nov, 03:26 UTC | 69% |
| 1 Nov, 00:41 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 69% |
| 31 Oct, 00:57 UTC | 71% |
| 31 Oct, 00:02 UTC | 70% |
| 30 Oct, 20:51 UTC | 71% |
| 30 Oct, 18:03 UTC | 69% |
| 30 Oct, 15:06 UTC | 68% |
| 30 Oct, 13:42 UTC | 67% |
| 30 Oct, 12:38 UTC | 66% |
| 30 Oct, 06:14 UTC | 67% |
| 29 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 66% |
| 29 Oct, 20:38 UTC | 63% |
| 29 Oct, 18:42 UTC | 66% |
| 29 Oct, 17:11 UTC | 65% |
| 29 Oct, 13:46 UTC | 64% |
| 29 Oct, 01:45 UTC | 65% |
| 29 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 66% |
| 29 Oct, 00:20 UTC | 65% |
| 28 Oct, 19:33 UTC | 67% |
| 28 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 68% |
| 28 Oct, 14:06 UTC | 67% |
| 28 Oct, 08:50 UTC | 68% |
| 28 Oct, 07:08 UTC | 69% |
| 28 Oct, 06:05 UTC | 64% |
| 28 Oct, 04:42 UTC | 66% |
| 28 Oct, 03:56 UTC | 63% |
| 28 Oct, 02:51 UTC | 64% |
| 27 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 67% |
| 27 Oct, 21:33 UTC | 64% |
| 27 Oct, 21:19 UTC | 66% |
| 27 Oct, 19:19 UTC | 66% |
| 27 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 64% |
| 27 Oct, 17:50 UTC | 66% |
| 27 Oct, 17:00 UTC | 64% |
| 27 Oct, 05:27 UTC | 69% |
| 27 Oct, 03:52 UTC | 68% |
| 27 Oct, 01:32 UTC | 67% |
| 26 Oct, 23:52 UTC | 66% |
| 26 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 69% |
| 26 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 65% |
| 26 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 67% |
| 26 Oct, 15:39 UTC | 66% |
| 26 Oct, 15:09 UTC | 67% |
| 26 Oct, 14:03 UTC | 66% |
| 26 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 66% |
| 26 Oct, 11:24 UTC | 65% |
| 26 Oct, 07:31 UTC | 66% |
| 25 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 67% |
| 25 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 66% |
| 25 Oct, 13:49 UTC | 66% |
| 25 Oct, 12:03 UTC | 67% |
| 25 Oct, 05:03 UTC | 65% |
| 25 Oct, 03:58 UTC | 70% |
| 25 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 67% |
| 24 Oct, 23:48 UTC | 67% |
| 24 Oct, 23:05 UTC | 66% |
| 24 Oct, 21:19 UTC | 68% |
| 24 Oct, 19:30 UTC | 67% |
| 24 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 68% |
| 24 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 69% |
| 24 Oct, 14:20 UTC | 68% |
| 24 Oct, 07:27 UTC | 69% |
| 24 Oct, 04:03 UTC | 70% |
| 23 Oct, 23:17 UTC | 69% |
| 23 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 70% |
| 23 Oct, 12:43 UTC | 69% |
| 23 Oct, 10:46 UTC | 68% |
| 23 Oct, 06:11 UTC | 69% |
| 23 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 67% |
| 22 Oct, 23:41 UTC | 70% |
| 22 Oct, 23:13 UTC | 69% |
| 22 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 65% |
| 22 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 69% |
| 22 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 70% |
| 22 Oct, 15:43 UTC | 71% |
| 22 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 67% |
| 22 Oct, 14:17 UTC | 72% |
| 22 Oct, 05:46 UTC | 68% |
| 22 Oct, 05:02 UTC | 67% |
| 22 Oct, 04:55 UTC | 66% |
| 22 Oct, 04:27 UTC | 64% |
| 22 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 66% |
| 22 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 63% |
| 22 Oct, 01:44 UTC | 65% |
| 22 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 65% |
| 21 Oct, 23:14 UTC | 66% |
| 21 Oct, 21:55 UTC | 64% |
| 21 Oct, 21:12 UTC | 63% |
| 21 Oct, 20:20 UTC | 64% |
| 21 Oct, 19:31 UTC | 66% |
| 21 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 64% |
| 21 Oct, 15:25 UTC | 66% |
| 21 Oct, 14:32 UTC | 67% |
| 21 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 72% |
| 21 Oct, 06:16 UTC | 66% |
| 21 Oct, 04:19 UTC | 66% |
| 21 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 67% |
| 21 Oct, 00:22 UTC | 63% |
| 20 Oct, 23:49 UTC | 63% |
| 20 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 65% |
| 20 Oct, 19:48 UTC | 62% |
| 20 Oct, 14:33 UTC | 61% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 60% |
| 18 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 65% |
| 18 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 66% |
| 17 Oct, 23:34 UTC | 63% |
| 17 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 60% |
| 17 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 63% |
| 17 Oct, 16:16 UTC | 62% |
| 17 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 65% |
| 17 Oct, 13:48 UTC | 63% |
| 17 Oct, 07:27 UTC | 64% |
| 17 Oct, 05:02 UTC | 63% |
| 17 Oct, 01:23 UTC | 60% |
| 17 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 65% |
| 16 Oct, 21:42 UTC | 64% |
| 16 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 78% |
| 16 Oct, 19:13 UTC | 62% |
| 16 Oct, 14:45 UTC | 59% |
| 16 Oct, 14:08 UTC | 60% |
| 16 Oct, 05:21 UTC | 61% |
| 16 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 58% |
| 15 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 57% |
| 15 Oct, 14:57 UTC | 56% |
| 14 Oct, 08:03 UTC | 57% |
| 13 Oct, 19:38 UTC | 58% |
| 13 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 56% |
| 12 Oct, 18:04 UTC | 61% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 13 Oct 2026. The Hill published first, on 13 October at 18:41 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown win — resolved “Yes” on 4 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if a Democrat wins both the Ohio governor and Senate races. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake the linked story about Obama's campaign as the deciding factor, but only the actual election results matter.
- Barack Obama — the market puts it at 5%, closing 1 Jan 2028. The outcome is Yes if Barack Obama announces a campaign for the Democratic nomination in the 2028 U.S. presidential election before January 1, 2028. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake any public appearance or speech for an official announcement.
- Sherrod Brown — resolved “Yes” on 4 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if a Democrat takes office as an Ohio Senator starting in 2027. It resolves to No if someone else holds that seat or if no one is sworn in for that term. Readers often mistake the linked campaign event for the actual election result.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown win Yes 3d ago
The market favoured Yes at 69% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Barack Obama 5%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Sherrod Brown Yes 3d ago
The market favoured Yes at 72% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
Have your say
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In this story
- Obama
- Sherrod Brown
- Amy Acton