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BYU Upsets No. 2 Notre Dame to Reach No. 2 in College Football Playoff Rankings

No. 8 BYU defeated No. 2 Notre Dame 28-24 on a final defensive stop, moving the Cougars to second in the rankings while the Irish remain in contention.

5 publishers · 62 articles · first seen 7 Oct 2026 · updated 12d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

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The odds

How the odds moved · 11+ wins
0%50%100%42%17 Oct, 11:47 UTCnowwww.espn.com: Heisman and CFP market watch: Notre Dame new favorites, the Big 12 and Week 7 chaos · 20 Oct, 13:30 UTCwww.espn.com: 'We're a real contender:' Beating Notre Dame has BYU firmly in the spotlight · 20 Oct, 11:35 UTCwww.espn.com: BYU outlasts Notre Dame, caps upset with stop in end zone · 18 Oct, 04:09 UTCSI Feed: Notre Dame's Updated ESPN FPI Odds After Wild College Football Weekend · 26 Oct, 18:07 UTCSI Feed: How Notre Dame Lost its Bye Week Following BYU Upset · 25 Oct, 00:40 UTCSI Feed: Notre Dame Football Bye Week: Who Should Irish Fans Root For? · 23 Oct, 20:48 UTCSI Feed: Why the UCF Game Is a Pivotal Crossroads for BYU's Big 12 Title, Playoff Hopes · 22 Oct, 22:04 UTCSI Feed: Good News For Notre Dame Fans: A Chance At Redemption Is Near · 22 Oct, 07:37 UTCSI Feed: Notre Dame Fails On The Big Stage In BYU Loss · 21 Oct, 00:36 UTCSI Feed: BYU's Win Over Notre Dame Becomes the Most Viewed Game in Modern School History · 20 Oct, 23:33 UTCSI Feed: Is Notre Dame Still in the Playoff After BYU Loss? Latest Projections · 20 Oct, 19:37 UTCSI Feed: Every Anti-Notre Dame Talking Point Proven True vs BYU · 20 Oct, 19:30 UTCSI Feed: If You're Worried About Notre Dame's Playoff Chances, You Shouldn't Be · 20 Oct, 07:00 UTCSI Feed: The Pros and Cons of Notre Dame's Bye Week Following Loss at BYU · 20 Oct, 00:32 UTCCBS Sports Headlines: How CJ Carr's rough night vs. BYU raises new doubts about Notre Dame's title ceiling · 19 Oct, 20:32 UTCSI Feed: ESPN FPI Predicts Potential Trap Game for BYU vs. UCF, Updates BYU's Playoff Chances · 19 Oct, 13:30 UTCSI Feed: Sunday Notebook Thoughts on BYU Upsetting Notre Dame in Historic Game · 18 Oct, 20:02 UTCSI Feed: Seven Takeaways From an Unforgettable BYU win over No. 2 Notre Dame · 18 Oct, 17:24 UTCSI Feed: PFF Grades and Advanced Metric Breakdown From BYU Upset Over Notre Dame · 18 Oct, 14:41 UTCSI Feed: The Biggest Reason Notre Dame Fell to BYU on Saturday · 18 Oct, 12:31 UTCfeeds.bleacherreport.com: Notre Dame Trolled by BYU, Big 12 After Loss with Pop-Tarts Bowl Opt-Out, McAfee & Steve Young Photo · 18 Oct, 12:21 UTCSI Feed: BYU’s Biggest Win Was a Reminder of What College Football Is About to Lose · 18 Oct, 11:00 UTCSI Feed: Social Media Reacts to Notre Dame vs BYU Finish: Was That Pass Interference? · 18 Oct, 07:16 UTCSI Feed: Inside the Final Six Minutes of BYU's Dramatic Win Over Notre Dame · 18 Oct, 05:51 UTCSI Feed: How Far Should Notre Dame Fall After Stunning Loss at BYU? · 18 Oct, 05:18 UTCSI Feed: Social Media Explodes After Instant Classic, Controversial Ending Between BYU and Notre Dame · 18 Oct, 04:50 UTCSI Feed: Biggest Losers from Notre Dame's Stunning Loss at BYU · 18 Oct, 04:22 UTCSI Feed: Notre Dame Suffers Stunning Upset at BYU: Instant Takeaways · 18 Oct, 03:54 UTCRolling Stone: Notre Dame vs. BYU Livestream: Where to Watch the College Football Game Online for Free · 17 Oct, 17:30 UTCSI Feed: Two BYU Defensive Starters Cleared to Play Against Notre Dame · 17 Oct, 14:19 UTCfeeds.bleacherreport.com: CJ Carr, Notre Dame Roasted on Viral Signs by BYU Fans with Mike Evans, Meatball Sub, Playoff Memes · 17 Oct, 13:37 UTCSI Feed: Notre Dame vs BYU Kalshi Prediction Market: Eye-Popping Spread for Top 10 Matchup · 17 Oct, 13:00 UTCSI Feed: Score Prediction for No 8 BYU vs No 2 Notre Dame in Historic Top 10 Showdown · 17 Oct, 13:00 UTCCBS Sports Headlines: Notre Dame vs. BYU prediction, odds, time: Week 7 college football picks from proven model · 17 Oct, 12:32 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 28 more published before price tracking began

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now42%
27 Oct, 17:07 UTC42%
27 Oct, 04:13 UTC49%
25 Oct, 16:21 UTC41%
24 Oct, 20:51 UTC53%
24 Oct, 15:41 UTC48%
24 Oct, 12:18 UTC55%
23 Oct, 17:24 UTC48%
23 Oct, 13:37 UTC50%
22 Oct, 14:24 UTC47%
21 Oct, 22:02 UTC46%
21 Oct, 12:56 UTC49%
21 Oct, 11:45 UTC47%
21 Oct, 07:56 UTC50%
21 Oct, 06:51 UTC52%
21 Oct, 02:55 UTC49%
20 Oct, 22:17 UTC47%
20 Oct, 12:25 UTC42%
20 Oct, 05:47 UTC45%
19 Oct, 02:29 UTC46%
19 Oct, 00:04 UTC48%
18 Oct, 15:02 UTC44%
18 Oct, 14:55 UTC51%
18 Oct, 12:48 UTC52%
17 Oct, 11:47 UTC63%

The story so far

5 publishers have covered this in 62 articles since 7 Oct 2026. SI Feed published first, on 7 October at 10:58 UTC; CBS Sports Headlines followed 53h 05m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 26 October at 18:07 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), SI Feed, CBS Sports Headlines, feeds.bleacherreport.com, Rolling Stone.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • 11+ wins — the market puts it at 42%, closing 20 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Notre Dame finishes the 2026 regular season with 11 or more wins. It resolves to No if they have fewer than 11 wins. Readers often mistake the final regular-season record for the total number of wins including playoffs.
  • Notre Dame — the market puts it at 58%, with $35 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Notre Dame is selected as a top four seed in the 2026-27 College Football Playoff. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake current rankings or playoff projections for the final selection.
  • Notre Dame — the market puts it at 10%, closing 14 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Notre Dame ranks number one in the AP Top 25 poll at any point during the 2026-27 season. It resolves to No if the team never reaches that top spot within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the specific week of ranking for a game result, but only the official AP poll standings matter.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on 11+ wins at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. SI FeedStanford Is A Perfect Opponent For Notre Dame This Week—
  2. SI FeedNotre Dame Must Create Its Own Juice Against Stanford—
  3. CBS Sports HeadlinesNotre Dame vs. Stanford prediction, odds, time: Week 6 college football picks by proven model—
  4. SI FeedNotre Dame's Program Maturity Will Be Tested Against Stanford—
  5. SI FeedNotre Dame Obliterates Stanford: Instant Takeaways for Title Contenders—
  6. SI FeedNotre Dame's Biggest Winners in Blowout Win Over Stanford—
  7. SI FeedNotre Dame vs. BYU: Initial Thoughts on the Irish’s Biggest Test Yet—
  8. CBS Sports HeadlinesCollege football odds, lines, schedule for Week 7: Notre Dame opens as favorite in top-10 battle at BYU—
  9. SI FeedNotre Dame Dominates Stanford, Appears Ready For BYU Test—
  10. SI FeedNotre Dame Soars to No. 1 in Latest ESPN FPI Ratings—
  11. Show 52 later sources
    1. SI FeedFive Questions Notre Dame Must Answer Against BYU—
    2. SI FeedNotre Dame's Season Credibility Is On The Line Against BYU—
    3. SI FeedKey Matchups and Advanced Analytics That Favor BYU Against Notre Dame—
    4. SI FeedNotre Dame Football Playoff Projections: Championship Game Bound?—
    5. CBS Sports HeadlinesSeven burning questions for Week 7: Can Notre Dame pass its first test, is Texas' offense broken?—
    6. SI FeedNotre Dame Gets Perfect Weather Forecast for BYU Showdown—
    7. SI FeedTop 10 Matchup Notre Dame vs BYU Is What Makes College Football So Special—
    8. SI FeedAfter Years of Avoiding BYU, Notre Dame Will Finally Make a Trip to Provo for Top 10 Clash—
    9. CBS Sports HeadlinesWeek 7 College Football Playoff impact games: Notre Dame-BYU, Ohio State-Indiana lead monster slate—
    10. CBS Sports HeadlinesAlabama, Notre Dame among top-25 teams on upset alert in a Week 7 full of top-flight showdowns—
    11. CBS Sports HeadlinesNotre Dame vs. BYU prediction, pick, odds, spread: Irish hit the road for top-10 showdown with Cougars—
    12. www.espn.comConnelly breaks down a loaded Week 7: Notre Dame-BYU, Ohio State-Indiana and more—
    13. CBS Sports HeadlinesNotre Dame vs. BYU prediction, odds, time: Week 7 college football picks from proven model—
    14. SI FeedBYU Set to Host High Profile Recruits for Historic Notre Dame Game—
    15. SI FeedRece Davis Predicts Notre Dame-BYU Winner Ahead of Historic College GameDay Visit—
    16. CBS Sports HeadlinesHow BYU booked a program-defining date with Notre Dame in Provo—
    17. SI FeedFive Reasons BYU Can Upset Notre Dame—
    18. SI FeedHow BYU Can Pull Off a Historic Home Upset Against Notre Dame—
    19. CBS Sports HeadlinesNotre Dame vs. BYU prediction, odds, time: Week 7 college football picks from proven model63%
    20. SI FeedScore Prediction for No 8 BYU vs No 2 Notre Dame in Historic Top 10 Showdown63%
    21. SI FeedNotre Dame vs BYU Kalshi Prediction Market: Eye-Popping Spread for Top 10 Matchup63%
    22. feeds.bleacherreport.comCJ Carr, Notre Dame Roasted on Viral Signs by BYU Fans with Mike Evans, Meatball Sub, Playoff Memes63%
    23. SI FeedTwo BYU Defensive Starters Cleared to Play Against Notre Dame63%
    24. Rolling StoneNotre Dame vs. BYU Livestream: Where to Watch the College Football Game Online for Free63%
    25. SI FeedNotre Dame Suffers Stunning Upset at BYU: Instant Takeaways63%
    26. www.espn.comBYU outlasts Notre Dame, caps upset with stop in end zone63%
    27. SI FeedBiggest Losers from Notre Dame's Stunning Loss at BYU63%
    28. SI FeedSocial Media Explodes After Instant Classic, Controversial Ending Between BYU and Notre Dame63%
    29. SI FeedHow Far Should Notre Dame Fall After Stunning Loss at BYU?63%
    30. SI FeedInside the Final Six Minutes of BYU's Dramatic Win Over Notre Dame63%
    31. SI FeedSocial Media Reacts to Notre Dame vs BYU Finish: Was That Pass Interference?63%
    32. SI FeedBYU’s Biggest Win Was a Reminder of What College Football Is About to Lose63%
    33. feeds.bleacherreport.comNotre Dame Trolled by BYU, Big 12 After Loss with Pop-Tarts Bowl Opt-Out, McAfee & Steve Young Photo63%
    34. SI FeedThe Biggest Reason Notre Dame Fell to BYU on Saturday63%
    35. SI FeedPFF Grades and Advanced Metric Breakdown From BYU Upset Over Notre Dame52%▼11 points since the previous source
    36. SI FeedSeven Takeaways From an Unforgettable BYU win over No. 2 Notre Dame44%▼8 points since the previous source
    37. SI FeedSunday Notebook Thoughts on BYU Upsetting Notre Dame in Historic Game44%
    38. SI FeedESPN FPI Predicts Potential Trap Game for BYU vs. UCF, Updates BYU's Playoff Chances46%▲2 points since the previous source
    39. CBS Sports HeadlinesHow CJ Carr's rough night vs. BYU raises new doubts about Notre Dame's title ceiling46%
    40. SI FeedThe Pros and Cons of Notre Dame's Bye Week Following Loss at BYU46%
    41. SI FeedIf You're Worried About Notre Dame's Playoff Chances, You Shouldn't Be45%▼1 points since the previous source
    42. www.espn.com'We're a real contender:' Beating Notre Dame has BYU firmly in the spotlight45%
    43. www.espn.comHeisman and CFP market watch: Notre Dame new favorites, the Big 12 and Week 7 chaos42%▼3 points since the previous source
    44. SI FeedEvery Anti-Notre Dame Talking Point Proven True vs BYU42%
    45. SI FeedIs Notre Dame Still in the Playoff After BYU Loss? Latest Projections42%
    46. SI FeedBYU's Win Over Notre Dame Becomes the Most Viewed Game in Modern School History47%▲5 points since the previous source
    47. SI FeedNotre Dame Fails On The Big Stage In BYU Loss47%
    48. SI FeedGood News For Notre Dame Fans: A Chance At Redemption Is Near46%▼1 points since the previous source
    49. SI FeedWhy the UCF Game Is a Pivotal Crossroads for BYU's Big 12 Title, Playoff Hopes47%▲1 points since the previous source
    50. SI FeedNotre Dame Football Bye Week: Who Should Irish Fans Root For?48%▲1 points since the previous source
    51. SI FeedHow Notre Dame Lost its Bye Week Following BYU Upset53%▲5 points since the previous source
    52. SI FeedNotre Dame's Updated ESPN FPI Odds After Wild College Football Weekend41%▼12 points since the previous source
  12. Current odds42%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Heisman and CFP market watch: Notre Dame new favorites, the Big 12 and Week 7 chaos www.espn.com ·
  2. 'We're a real contender:' Beating Notre Dame has BYU firmly in the spotlight www.espn.com ·
  3. BYU outlasts Notre Dame, caps upset with stop in end zone www.espn.com ·
  4. Connelly breaks down a loaded Week 7: Notre Dame-BYU, Ohio State-Indiana and more www.espn.com ·
  5. Notre Dame's Updated ESPN FPI Odds After Wild College Football Weekend SI Feed
  6. How Notre Dame Lost its Bye Week Following BYU Upset SI Feed
Show 56 more sources
  1. Notre Dame Football Bye Week: Who Should Irish Fans Root For? SI Feed
  2. Why the UCF Game Is a Pivotal Crossroads for BYU's Big 12 Title, Playoff Hopes SI Feed
  3. Good News For Notre Dame Fans: A Chance At Redemption Is Near SI Feed
  4. Notre Dame Fails On The Big Stage In BYU Loss SI Feed
  5. BYU's Win Over Notre Dame Becomes the Most Viewed Game in Modern School History SI Feed
  6. Is Notre Dame Still in the Playoff After BYU Loss? Latest Projections SI Feed
  7. Every Anti-Notre Dame Talking Point Proven True vs BYU SI Feed
  8. If You're Worried About Notre Dame's Playoff Chances, You Shouldn't Be SI Feed
  9. The Pros and Cons of Notre Dame's Bye Week Following Loss at BYU SI Feed
  10. How CJ Carr's rough night vs. BYU raises new doubts about Notre Dame's title ceiling CBS Sports Headlines
  11. ESPN FPI Predicts Potential Trap Game for BYU vs. UCF, Updates BYU's Playoff Chances SI Feed
  12. Sunday Notebook Thoughts on BYU Upsetting Notre Dame in Historic Game SI Feed
  13. Seven Takeaways From an Unforgettable BYU win over No. 2 Notre Dame SI Feed
  14. PFF Grades and Advanced Metric Breakdown From BYU Upset Over Notre Dame SI Feed
  15. The Biggest Reason Notre Dame Fell to BYU on Saturday SI Feed
  16. Notre Dame Trolled by BYU, Big 12 After Loss with Pop-Tarts Bowl Opt-Out, McAfee & Steve Young Photo feeds.bleacherreport.com
  17. BYU’s Biggest Win Was a Reminder of What College Football Is About to Lose SI Feed
  18. Social Media Reacts to Notre Dame vs BYU Finish: Was That Pass Interference? SI Feed
  19. Inside the Final Six Minutes of BYU's Dramatic Win Over Notre Dame SI Feed
  20. How Far Should Notre Dame Fall After Stunning Loss at BYU? SI Feed
  21. Social Media Explodes After Instant Classic, Controversial Ending Between BYU and Notre Dame SI Feed
  22. Biggest Losers from Notre Dame's Stunning Loss at BYU SI Feed
  23. Notre Dame Suffers Stunning Upset at BYU: Instant Takeaways SI Feed
  24. Notre Dame vs. BYU Livestream: Where to Watch the College Football Game Online for Free Rolling Stone
  25. Two BYU Defensive Starters Cleared to Play Against Notre Dame SI Feed
  26. CJ Carr, Notre Dame Roasted on Viral Signs by BYU Fans with Mike Evans, Meatball Sub, Playoff Memes feeds.bleacherreport.com
  27. Notre Dame vs BYU Kalshi Prediction Market: Eye-Popping Spread for Top 10 Matchup SI Feed
  28. Score Prediction for No 8 BYU vs No 2 Notre Dame in Historic Top 10 Showdown SI Feed
  29. Notre Dame vs. BYU prediction, odds, time: Week 7 college football picks from proven model CBS Sports Headlines
  30. How BYU Can Pull Off a Historic Home Upset Against Notre Dame SI Feed
  31. Five Reasons BYU Can Upset Notre Dame SI Feed
  32. How BYU booked a program-defining date with Notre Dame in Provo CBS Sports Headlines
  33. Rece Davis Predicts Notre Dame-BYU Winner Ahead of Historic College GameDay Visit SI Feed
  34. BYU Set to Host High Profile Recruits for Historic Notre Dame Game SI Feed
  35. Notre Dame vs. BYU prediction, odds, time: Week 7 college football picks from proven model CBS Sports Headlines
  36. Notre Dame vs. BYU prediction, pick, odds, spread: Irish hit the road for top-10 showdown with Cougars CBS Sports Headlines
  37. Alabama, Notre Dame among top-25 teams on upset alert in a Week 7 full of top-flight showdowns CBS Sports Headlines
  38. Week 7 College Football Playoff impact games: Notre Dame-BYU, Ohio State-Indiana lead monster slate CBS Sports Headlines
  39. After Years of Avoiding BYU, Notre Dame Will Finally Make a Trip to Provo for Top 10 Clash SI Feed
  40. Top 10 Matchup Notre Dame vs BYU Is What Makes College Football So Special SI Feed
  41. Notre Dame Gets Perfect Weather Forecast for BYU Showdown SI Feed
  42. Seven burning questions for Week 7: Can Notre Dame pass its first test, is Texas' offense broken? CBS Sports Headlines
  43. Notre Dame Football Playoff Projections: Championship Game Bound? SI Feed
  44. Key Matchups and Advanced Analytics That Favor BYU Against Notre Dame SI Feed
  45. Notre Dame's Season Credibility Is On The Line Against BYU SI Feed
  46. Five Questions Notre Dame Must Answer Against BYU SI Feed
  47. Notre Dame Soars to No. 1 in Latest ESPN FPI Ratings SI Feed
  48. Notre Dame Dominates Stanford, Appears Ready For BYU Test SI Feed
  49. College football odds, lines, schedule for Week 7: Notre Dame opens as favorite in top-10 battle at BYU CBS Sports Headlines
  50. Notre Dame vs. BYU: Initial Thoughts on the Irish’s Biggest Test Yet SI Feed
  51. Notre Dame's Biggest Winners in Blowout Win Over Stanford SI Feed
  52. Notre Dame Obliterates Stanford: Instant Takeaways for Title Contenders SI Feed
  53. Notre Dame's Program Maturity Will Be Tested Against Stanford SI Feed
  54. Notre Dame vs. Stanford prediction, odds, time: Week 6 college football picks by proven model CBS Sports Headlines
  55. Notre Dame Must Create Its Own Juice Against Stanford SI Feed
  56. Stanford Is A Perfect Opponent For Notre Dame This Week SI Feed

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi 11+ wins 42% $0 24hends 20 Dec 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Notre Dame 58% −6 $35 24hends 7 Feb 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Notre Dame 10% $0 24hends 14 Feb 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • BYU
  • Notre Dame
  • College Football Playoff
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