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Notre Dame Faces No. 1 Miami in Must-Win College Football Showdown Hot: Odds moved 23 points in 24 hours

No. 11 Notre Dame hosts undefeated No. 1 Miami in a critical Week 10 matchup with College Football Playoff implications.

3 publishers · 22 articles · first seen 2 Nov 2026 · updated 12h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

The odds

How the odds moved · Notre Dame
0%50%100%26%31 Oct, 18:24 UTCnowSI Feed: Can Notre Dame be Trusted to Win a Close Game against Miami? · 6 Nov, 19:21 UTCSI Feed: Notre Dame Needs a Ted Lasso Pep Talk Before Its Huge Showdown With Miami · 6 Nov, 17:19 UTCSI Feed: Notre Dame vs. Miami Prediction: Can Irish Upset No. 1 Hurricanes? · 6 Nov, 16:28 UTCSI Feed: Notre Dame Faces Major Concern as No. 1 Miami Comes to South Bend · 6 Nov, 16:02 UTCCBS Sports Headlines: Miami vs. Notre Dame prediction, odds, time: Week 10 college football picks from proven model · 6 Nov, 14:55 UTCSI Feed: Greg McElroy Predicts Notre Dame Hands Miami First Loss in Must-Win Game · 6 Nov, 12:00 UTCSI Feed: Three Storylines I'm Watching Ahead of No. 1 Miami at No. 11 Notre Dame · 6 Nov, 05:26 UTCSI Feed: Notre Dame-Miami Tickets Soar to Record Prices as Demand Reaches New Heights · 6 Nov, 02:21 UTCSI Feed: Time for Notre Dame Football to Actually 'Leave No Doubt' vs Miami · 5 Nov, 21:08 UTCSI Feed: The Pressure Is 100% On Notre Dame To Beat Miami · 5 Nov, 20:49 UTCCBS Sports Headlines: Miami vs. Notre Dame prediction, pick, odds, spread: Hurricanes, Irish meet with CFP stakes on line · 5 Nov, 20:42 UTCSI Feed: Is Notre Dame Under The Most Pressure This Week? | Others Receiving Votes · 5 Nov, 18:47 UTCfeeds.bleacherreport.com: Expert CFB Locks, Predictions for Miami vs. Notre Dame and Week 10's Biggest Games · 5 Nov, 12:00 UTCSI Feed: Why This Miami Defensive Lineman Must Step Up Against Notre Dame · 4 Nov, 21:11 UTCSI Feed: The CFP Committee Just Did Notre Dame A Big Favor · 4 Nov, 19:08 UTCCBS Sports Headlines: CJ Carr faces defining moment as Notre Dame's CFP hopes ride on showdown vs. No. 1 Miami · 4 Nov, 18:48 UTCSI Feed: Kirk Herbstreit Surprised by Historic College Football Powerhouse’s CFP Ranking · 4 Nov, 12:00 UTCSI Feed: Notre Dame Gets a Clear Message From College Football Playoff Committee · 4 Nov, 06:34 UTCSI Feed: Notre Dame Got One Clear Message From the College Football Playoff Committee · 4 Nov, 03:48 UTCSI Feed: Rece Davis Predicts Notre Dame Playoff Problem Ahead of Top-5 Miami Showdown · 3 Nov, 14:13 UTCSI Feed: Greg McElroy Says One Game Will Decide Notre Dame's College Football Playoff Fate · 2 Nov, 19:30 UTCSI Feed: Greg McElroy Names Major Threat to Indiana’s College Football Playoff Spot · 2 Nov, 16:00 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now26%
6 Nov, 19:25 UTC26%
4 Nov, 12:40 UTC3%
1 Nov, 19:16 UTC37%
31 Oct, 18:24 UTC52%

The story so far

3 publishers have covered this in 22 articles since 2 Nov 2026. SI Feed published first, on 2 November at 16:00 UTC; CBS Sports Headlines followed 50h 48m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 6 November at 19:21 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: SI Feed, CBS Sports Headlines, feeds.bleacherreport.com.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Notre Dame — the market puts it at 26%, with $36 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 2 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Notre Dame finishes the 2026-27 regular season with more wins than Miami (FL). It resolves to No if Miami has more wins or if both teams finish with an equal number of victories. Readers often mistake this for a head-to-head game result rather than a comparison of total regular-season records.
  • Notre Dame — the market puts it at 74%, with $818 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Notre Dame is selected as a top four seed in the 2026-27 College Football Playoff. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake current rankings or playoff projections for the final selection.
  • Notre Dame — the market puts it at 10%, closing 14 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Notre Dame ranks number one in the AP Top 25 poll at any point during the 2026-27 season. It resolves to No if the team never reaches that top spot within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the specific week of ranking for a game result, but only the official AP poll standings matter.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Notre Dame at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. SI FeedGreg McElroy Names Major Threat to Indiana’s College Football Playoff Spot37%
  2. SI FeedGreg McElroy Says One Game Will Decide Notre Dame's College Football Playoff Fate37%
  3. SI FeedRece Davis Predicts Notre Dame Playoff Problem Ahead of Top-5 Miami Showdown37%
  4. SI FeedNotre Dame Got One Clear Message From the College Football Playoff Committee37%
  5. SI FeedNotre Dame Gets a Clear Message From College Football Playoff Committee37%
  6. SI FeedKirk Herbstreit Surprised by Historic College Football Powerhouse’s CFP Ranking37%
  7. CBS Sports HeadlinesCJ Carr faces defining moment as Notre Dame's CFP hopes ride on showdown vs. No. 1 Miami3%▼34 points since the previous source
  8. SI FeedThe CFP Committee Just Did Notre Dame A Big Favor3%
  9. SI FeedWhy This Miami Defensive Lineman Must Step Up Against Notre Dame3%
  10. feeds.bleacherreport.comExpert CFB Locks, Predictions for Miami vs. Notre Dame and Week 10's Biggest Games3%
  11. Show 12 later sources
    1. SI FeedIs Notre Dame Under The Most Pressure This Week? | Others Receiving Votes3%
    2. CBS Sports HeadlinesMiami vs. Notre Dame prediction, pick, odds, spread: Hurricanes, Irish meet with CFP stakes on line3%
    3. SI FeedThe Pressure Is 100% On Notre Dame To Beat Miami3%
    4. SI FeedTime for Notre Dame Football to Actually 'Leave No Doubt' vs Miami3%
    5. SI FeedNotre Dame-Miami Tickets Soar to Record Prices as Demand Reaches New Heights3%
    6. SI FeedThree Storylines I'm Watching Ahead of No. 1 Miami at No. 11 Notre Dame3%
    7. SI FeedGreg McElroy Predicts Notre Dame Hands Miami First Loss in Must-Win Game3%
    8. CBS Sports HeadlinesMiami vs. Notre Dame prediction, odds, time: Week 10 college football picks from proven model3%
    9. SI FeedNotre Dame Faces Major Concern as No. 1 Miami Comes to South Bend3%
    10. SI FeedNotre Dame vs. Miami Prediction: Can Irish Upset No. 1 Hurricanes?3%
    11. SI FeedNotre Dame Needs a Ted Lasso Pep Talk Before Its Huge Showdown With Miami3%
    12. SI FeedCan Notre Dame be Trusted to Win a Close Game against Miami?3%
  12. Current odds26%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Can Notre Dame be Trusted to Win a Close Game against Miami? SI Feed
  2. Notre Dame Needs a Ted Lasso Pep Talk Before Its Huge Showdown With Miami SI Feed
  3. Notre Dame vs. Miami Prediction: Can Irish Upset No. 1 Hurricanes? SI Feed
  4. Notre Dame Faces Major Concern as No. 1 Miami Comes to South Bend SI Feed
  5. Miami vs. Notre Dame prediction, odds, time: Week 10 college football picks from proven model CBS Sports Headlines
  6. Greg McElroy Predicts Notre Dame Hands Miami First Loss in Must-Win Game SI Feed
Show 16 more sources
  1. Three Storylines I'm Watching Ahead of No. 1 Miami at No. 11 Notre Dame SI Feed
  2. Notre Dame-Miami Tickets Soar to Record Prices as Demand Reaches New Heights SI Feed
  3. Time for Notre Dame Football to Actually 'Leave No Doubt' vs Miami SI Feed
  4. The Pressure Is 100% On Notre Dame To Beat Miami SI Feed
  5. Miami vs. Notre Dame prediction, pick, odds, spread: Hurricanes, Irish meet with CFP stakes on line CBS Sports Headlines
  6. Is Notre Dame Under The Most Pressure This Week? | Others Receiving Votes SI Feed
  7. Expert CFB Locks, Predictions for Miami vs. Notre Dame and Week 10's Biggest Games feeds.bleacherreport.com
  8. Why This Miami Defensive Lineman Must Step Up Against Notre Dame SI Feed
  9. The CFP Committee Just Did Notre Dame A Big Favor SI Feed
  10. CJ Carr faces defining moment as Notre Dame's CFP hopes ride on showdown vs. No. 1 Miami CBS Sports Headlines
  11. Kirk Herbstreit Surprised by Historic College Football Powerhouse’s CFP Ranking SI Feed
  12. Notre Dame Gets a Clear Message From College Football Playoff Committee SI Feed
  13. Notre Dame Got One Clear Message From the College Football Playoff Committee SI Feed
  14. Rece Davis Predicts Notre Dame Playoff Problem Ahead of Top-5 Miami Showdown SI Feed
  15. Greg McElroy Says One Game Will Decide Notre Dame's College Football Playoff Fate SI Feed
  16. Greg McElroy Names Major Threat to Indiana’s College Football Playoff Spot SI Feed

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Notre Dame 26% +23 $36 24hends 2 Feb 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Notre Dame 74% −2 $818 24hends 7 Feb 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Notre Dame 10% $0 24hends 14 Feb 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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