Noem Blames GOP Election Losses on Trump's First-Year Success
Former Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem attributes unfavorable GOP election outcomes to the second Trump administration being too successful in its first year.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 28 Sept, 16:55 UTC | 0% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 4 Nov 2026. The Hill published first, on 4 November at 03:58 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Kristi Noem — the market puts it at 0%, with $11k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Nov 2028. The outcome is Yes if Kristi Noem wins and accepts the Republican presidential nomination in 2028. The outcome is No if she does not win or accept that nomination. Readers often mistake the linked divorce filing for a relevant event, but only the 2028 nomination matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Kristi Noem 0%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Kristi Noem
- Donald Trump
- Larry Kudlow