No. 21 Florida Defeats No. 4 Ole Miss 52-28 Behind Baugh's Three Touchdowns
Jadan Baugh runs for 142 yards and three scores while Duke Clark adds 100 as the Gators improve to 4-0.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 53% |
| 29 Sept, 06:22 UTC | 53% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 52% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 54% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 46% |
| 27 Sept, 20:50 UTC | 47% |
| 27 Sept, 20:15 UTC | 49% |
| 27 Sept, 19:41 UTC | 47% |
| 27 Sept, 19:27 UTC | 42% |
| 27 Sept, 18:13 UTC | 55% |
| 27 Sept, 15:52 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 13:36 UTC | 66% |
| 27 Sept, 11:40 UTC | 61% |
| 27 Sept, 03:12 UTC | 51% |
| 26 Sept, 23:17 UTC | 48% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 67% |
| 26 Sept, 20:12 UTC | 55% |
| 26 Sept, 17:23 UTC | 67% |
| 25 Sept, 13:18 UTC | 58% |
| 24 Sept, 12:44 UTC | 57% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch 9+ wins respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 26 Sept 2026. SI Feed published first, on 26 September at 23:27 UTC; www.espn.com followed 1h 00m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 27 September at 12:00 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), SI Feed.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- 9+ wins — the market puts it at 53%, with $222 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Dec 2026. The outcome is Yes if the Ole Miss college football team achieves at least nine wins during the 2026 regular season. The outcome is No if the team finishes that season with fewer than nine wins. Readers often mistake the linked article about Coach Jon Sumrall as a factor in the resolution, but only the final win count from the 2026 regular season matters.
- Jadan Baugh — the market puts it at 8%, with $26k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Jadan Baugh wins the College Football Heisman Trophy during the 2026-2027 season; otherwise, it is No. Readers often mistake the linked game result as the deciding factor, but only the official Heisman award matters. The deadline for this event is the conclusion of the 2026-2027 college football season.
- Ole Miss — resolved “No” on 27 Sept 2026. Ole Miss must finish the 2026 college football regular season without any losses for the outcome to be Yes. Any defeat during that specific regular season results in a No resolution. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the market resolves after the playoffs rather than at the end of the regular season.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on 9+ wins at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- SI FeedInstant Recap: Baugh, Clark Each Rush for 100 as No. 21 Florida Downs No. 4 Ole Miss48%
- www.espn.comSurging No. 21 Florida hammers No. 4 Ole Miss as favorite48%
- SI FeedDuke Clark Solidifies Standing as Gators' RB2 in Win Over Ole Miss61%▲13 points since the previous source
- Current odds53%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi 9+ wins 53% +6
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Jadan Baugh 8% +2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Ole Miss No 41d ago
The market favoured No at 95% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls