NFL Super Bowl LXI Odds Update: Bills Close Gap on Rams, Bears Tumble
Updated win totals and odds for every NFL team show the Buffalo Bills narrowing their deficit to the Los Angeles Rams while the Chicago Bears fall in the rankings.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 68% |
| 23 Sept, 09:06 UTC | 68% |
| 22 Sept, 16:02 UTC | 67% |
| 22 Sept, 15:55 UTC | 67% |
| 22 Sept, 15:17 UTC | 67% |
| 22 Sept, 14:28 UTC | 66% |
| 22 Sept, 11:38 UTC | 65% |
| 22 Sept, 10:52 UTC | 64% |
| 22 Sept, 10:26 UTC | 65% |
| 22 Sept, 09:52 UTC | 65% |
| 22 Sept, 09:27 UTC | 65% |
| 22 Sept, 08:40 UTC | 66% |
| 22 Sept, 08:22 UTC | 65% |
| 22 Sept, 07:57 UTC | 67% |
| 21 Sept, 08:08 UTC | 69% |
| 21 Sept, 05:09 UTC | 70% |
| 21 Sept, 04:50 UTC | 70% |
| 21 Sept, 04:00 UTC | 70% |
| 21 Sept, 03:42 UTC | 69% |
| 21 Sept, 02:55 UTC | 73% |
| 21 Sept, 02:27 UTC | 73% |
| 21 Sept, 01:48 UTC | 73% |
| 21 Sept, 01:19 UTC | 74% |
| 21 Sept, 00:38 UTC | 76% |
| 21 Sept, 00:24 UTC | 76% |
| 20 Sept, 23:24 UTC | 76% |
| 20 Sept, 22:22 UTC | 77% |
| 20 Sept, 21:46 UTC | 74% |
| 20 Sept, 21:07 UTC | 77% |
| 20 Sept, 20:54 UTC | 75% |
| 20 Sept, 20:03 UTC | 77% |
| 20 Sept, 19:47 UTC | 76% |
| 20 Sept, 19:07 UTC | 77% |
| 20 Sept, 18:52 UTC | 76% |
| 20 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 75% |
| 20 Sept, 17:29 UTC | 75% |
| 20 Sept, 16:57 UTC | 74% |
| 20 Sept, 16:29 UTC | 77% |
| 20 Sept, 14:32 UTC | 75% |
| 20 Sept, 10:00 UTC | 73% |
| 20 Sept, 09:47 UTC | 73% |
| 20 Sept, 00:15 UTC | 72% |
| 19 Sept, 22:55 UTC | 72% |
| 19 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 70% |
| 19 Sept, 17:56 UTC | 70% |
| 19 Sept, 17:07 UTC | 70% |
| 19 Sept, 16:05 UTC | 70% |
| 19 Sept, 15:56 UTC | 69% |
| 19 Sept, 15:14 UTC | 70% |
| 19 Sept, 14:01 UTC | 69% |
| 19 Sept, 13:54 UTC | 70% |
| 19 Sept, 10:52 UTC | 69% |
| 19 Sept, 10:21 UTC | 69% |
| 19 Sept, 08:09 UTC | 69% |
| 18 Sept, 05:25 UTC | 67% |
| 18 Sept, 04:07 UTC | 68% |
| 18 Sept, 03:59 UTC | 68% |
| 18 Sept, 03:13 UTC | 66% |
| 18 Sept, 01:36 UTC | 65% |
| 18 Sept, 01:23 UTC | 66% |
| 18 Sept, 00:57 UTC | 63% |
| 17 Sept, 04:04 UTC | 64% |
| 17 Sept, 03:53 UTC | 63% |
| 16 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 63% |
| 16 Sept, 18:43 UTC | 62% |
| 16 Sept, 16:05 UTC | 62% |
| 16 Sept, 13:57 UTC | 62% |
| 16 Sept, 09:26 UTC | 61% |
| 16 Sept, 05:12 UTC | 61% |
| 16 Sept, 04:12 UTC | 61% |
| 16 Sept, 03:13 UTC | 61% |
| 16 Sept, 02:07 UTC | 61% |
| 16 Sept, 01:31 UTC | 61% |
| 16 Sept, 01:24 UTC | 61% |
| 15 Sept, 23:54 UTC | 61% |
| 15 Sept, 18:46 UTC | 60% |
| 15 Sept, 16:18 UTC | 61% |
| 15 Sept, 15:26 UTC | 60% |
| 15 Sept, 14:09 UTC | 59% |
| 15 Sept, 13:18 UTC | 57% |
| 15 Sept, 12:37 UTC | 57% |
| 15 Sept, 12:29 UTC | 58% |
| 15 Sept, 11:55 UTC | 57% |
| 14 Sept, 11:55 UTC | 63% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 21 Sept 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 21 September at 16:01 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East? — the market puts it at 68%, with $273 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 18 Jan 2027. The market resolves based on which team is officially declared the AFC East division champion for the 2026 NFL regular season. If multiple teams tie for first place, the official NFL tiebreak procedure determines the winner. Readers often mistakenly focus on playoff performance or Super Bowl results instead of the regular-season division standings.
- Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? — the market puts it at 12%, with $4k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Apr 2027. The Yes outcome occurs if the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship. The No outcome applies if any other team wins or if the Bills are eliminated before winning. Readers often mistake the linked Week 2 game for the resolution event, but only the final league championship matters.
- Will Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? — the market puts it at 22%, with $23 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Apr 2027. The Yes outcome occurs if the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 AFC Championship game. The No outcome applies if any other team wins or if the Bills are eliminated from playoff contention before the championship game. Readers often mistake the linked Super Bowl odds for the resolution criteria, but only the actual winner of the AFC Championship game matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East? 68% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? 12%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? 22% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Bills
- Rams
- Bears