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Judge Blocks DOJ Firing of Maurene Comey; Comey Faces New Prosecution Hurdles

A federal judge ruled the firing of Maurene Comey unlawful, while separate proceedings challenge a third criminal case against her father, former FBI Director James Comey.

8 publishers · 13 articles · first seen 27 Oct 2026 · updated 7d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

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The odds

How the odds moved · Yes
0%50%100%5%24 Sept, 15:13 UTCnowThe Guardian US: Maurene Comey ruling offers hope of check on Trump’s assault on rule of law · 31 Oct, 15:00 UTCpolitico.com: Judge mulls throwing out DOJ’s leak case against James Comey · 30 Oct, 19:24 UTCThe Hill: Comey lawyers fight for dismissal of third criminal prosecution · 30 Oct, 18:00 UTCThe Guardian US: James Comey lawyers seek to have third criminal case dismissed · 30 Oct, 12:26 UTCCBS News Politics: DOJ and Comey's lawyers to face off today over latest attempt to charge him · 30 Oct, 10:00 UTCThe Hill: Warren asks DOJ to investigate Bank of America over money laundering violations · 29 Oct, 18:57 UTCCBS News Politics: Lawyers question case against ex-FBI officials over Hunter Biden probe · 28 Oct, 21:24 UTCThe Hill: Judge criticizes Justice Department's handling of ex-FBI officials' charges over Hunter Biden investigation · 27 Oct, 22:24 UTCCBS News Politics: New charges filed ex-FBI officials related to Hunter Biden probe · 27 Oct, 13:25 UTCRoll Call: Hearing probes charges of FBI agents lying to Congress · 29 Oct, 22:46 UTCQuartz: Sen. Warren calls on DOJ to open criminal probe of Bank of America · 29 Oct, 15:23 UTCFortune: DOJ’s Hunter Biden laptop prosecution hits a snag after a federal judge questions department’s unorthodox filing · 28 Oct, 15:52 UTCFox News Politics: Judge who apologized to accused would-be Trump assassin lights up DOJ in Hunter Biden FBI case · 27 Oct, 20:43 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now5%
31 Oct, 22:43 UTC5%
31 Oct, 11:21 UTC5%
30 Oct, 18:03 UTC1%
29 Oct, 21:41 UTC10%
28 Oct, 23:11 UTC10%
28 Oct, 13:24 UTC9%
22 Oct, 02:54 UTC3%
21 Oct, 19:46 UTC10%
21 Oct, 04:59 UTC3%
20 Oct, 22:31 UTC5%
18 Oct, 03:30 UTC3%
9 Oct, 02:07 UTC10%
3 Oct, 23:22 UTC5%
26 Sept, 15:48 UTC11%
26 Sept, 02:24 UTC6%
25 Sept, 16:19 UTC3%
24 Sept, 15:13 UTC6%

The story so far

8 publishers have covered this in 13 articles since 27 Oct 2026. CBS News Politics published first, on 27 October at 13:25 UTC; Fox News Politics followed 7h 19m later. The most recent article, from The Guardian US, appeared on 31 October at 15:00 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: CBS News Politics (major outlet), The Hill (major outlet), The Guardian US (major outlet), politico.com (major outlet), Fox News Politics, Fortune, Quartz, Roll Call.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Yes — the market puts it at 5%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a sitting Supreme Court Justice is formally charged with a U.S. federal crime between now and January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about emergency docket use as the triggering event, but only a formal criminal charge counts.
  • Before Jan 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 30%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if the United States v. James Brien Comey, Jr. case is dismissed by the court with jurisdiction before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if the case remains active or is not dismissed within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a judge's ruling as the final resolution, but only an official dismissal of the entire case counts.
  • Before Jan 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 24%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the specific criminal case against James Brien Comey, Jr. is dismissed by the court with jurisdiction before January 1, 2027. The outcome depends solely on this legal dismissal, not on any other charges or the news headline about Judge Blocks DOJ Firing of Maurene Comey.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Yes at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. CBS News PoliticsNew charges filed ex-FBI officials related to Hunter Biden probe3%
  2. Fox News PoliticsJudge who apologized to accused would-be Trump assassin lights up DOJ in Hunter Biden FBI case3%
  3. The HillJudge criticizes Justice Department's handling of ex-FBI officials' charges over Hunter Biden investigation3%
  4. FortuneDOJ’s Hunter Biden laptop prosecution hits a snag after a federal judge questions department’s unorthodox filing9%▲6 points since the previous source
  5. CBS News PoliticsLawyers question case against ex-FBI officials over Hunter Biden probe9%
  6. QuartzSen. Warren calls on DOJ to open criminal probe of Bank of America10%▲1 points since the previous source
  7. The HillWarren asks DOJ to investigate Bank of America over money laundering violations10%
  8. Roll CallHearing probes charges of FBI agents lying to Congress10%
  9. CBS News PoliticsDOJ and Comey's lawyers to face off today over latest attempt to charge him10%
  10. The Guardian USJames Comey lawyers seek to have third criminal case dismissed10%
  11. Show 3 later sources
    1. The HillComey lawyers fight for dismissal of third criminal prosecution10%
    2. politico.comJudge mulls throwing out DOJ’s leak case against James Comey1%▼8 points since the previous source
    3. The Guardian USMaurene Comey ruling offers hope of check on Trump’s assault on rule of law5%▲4 points since the previous source
  12. Current odds5%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Maurene Comey ruling offers hope of check on Trump’s assault on rule of law The Guardian US ·
  2. Judge mulls throwing out DOJ’s leak case against James Comey politico.com ·
  3. Comey lawyers fight for dismissal of third criminal prosecution The Hill ·
  4. James Comey lawyers seek to have third criminal case dismissed The Guardian US ·
  5. DOJ and Comey's lawyers to face off today over latest attempt to charge him CBS News Politics ·
  6. Warren asks DOJ to investigate Bank of America over money laundering violations The Hill ·
Show 7 more sources
  1. Lawyers question case against ex-FBI officials over Hunter Biden probe CBS News Politics ·
  2. Judge criticizes Justice Department's handling of ex-FBI officials' charges over Hunter Biden investigation The Hill ·
  3. New charges filed ex-FBI officials related to Hunter Biden probe CBS News Politics ·
  4. Hearing probes charges of FBI agents lying to Congress Roll Call
  5. Sen. Warren calls on DOJ to open criminal probe of Bank of America Quartz
  6. DOJ’s Hunter Biden laptop prosecution hits a snag after a federal judge questions department’s unorthodox filing Fortune
  7. Judge who apologized to accused would-be Trump assassin lights up DOJ in Hunter Biden FBI case Fox News Politics

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Yes 5% $0 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Before Jan 1, 2027 30% $0 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Before Jan 1, 2027 24% $0 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • James Comey
  • Maurene Comey
  • Department of Justice
  • Judge Jesse Furman
  • Judge Trevor McFadden
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