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NASA Issues Call to Industry for Private Space Stations

The agency seeks commercial partners to replace the International Space Station in low Earth orbit.

1 publisher · 1 article · first seen 9 Oct 2026 · updated 28d ago

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The odds

How the odds moved · Before 2027
0%50%100%1%26 Sept, 17:18 UTCnowArs Technica: NASA issues long-awaited call to industry for private space stations · 9 Oct, 21:34 UTC

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Price data
TimeChance of yes
now1%
8 Oct, 11:11 UTC1%
27 Sept, 18:27 UTC0%
26 Sept, 17:18 UTC1%

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 9 Oct 2026. Ars Technica published first, on 9 October at 21:34 UTC.

One prediction market prices this story:

  • Before 2027 — the market puts it at 1%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to "Yes" if an announcement confirms that a manned NASA mission landed on the Moon after the question was issued and by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to "No." Readers often mistake the deadline as January 1, 2027, but the cutoff is actually December 31, 2026.

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Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. NASA issues long-awaited call to industry for private space stations Ars Technica ·

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  • Kalshi Before 2027 1% $0 24hends 1 Jan 2027

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