Nancy Pelosi To Retire After 2026 Midterms, Ending Nearly 40-Year Congressional Career
The former House speaker will conclude her tenure in Congress following the 2026 midterm elections.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 3 Nov, 02:37 UTC | 1% |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | 0% |
| 2 Nov, 20:37 UTC | 0% |
| 2 Nov, 15:11 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Nov, 23:57 UTC | 0% |
| 1 Nov, 20:14 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Nov, 17:27 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Nov, 16:36 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Nov, 16:15 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Nov, 05:54 UTC | 1% |
| 31 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 1% |
| 31 Oct, 06:29 UTC | 1% |
| 30 Oct, 20:44 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Oct, 18:21 UTC | 2% |
| 28 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 1% |
| 27 Oct, 22:37 UTC | 1% |
| 27 Oct, 20:03 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 22:37 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 02:14 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 20:51 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 19:12 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 11:48 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 04:17 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Oct, 00:36 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 23:20 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 22:18 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 22:02 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 2% |
| 18 Oct, 17:59 UTC | 2% |
| 18 Oct, 14:34 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Oct, 13:34 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Oct, 02:17 UTC | 2% |
| 16 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 1% |
| 16 Oct, 02:02 UTC | 2% |
| 15 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Oct, 21:43 UTC | 2% |
| 11 Oct, 13:51 UTC | 1% |
| 8 Oct, 16:01 UTC | 2% |
| 7 Oct, 21:04 UTC | 2% |
| 7 Oct, 17:02 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Oct, 18:21 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Oct, 16:40 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Oct, 15:21 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Oct, 14:38 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Oct, 14:17 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Oct, 04:13 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Oct, 16:05 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 08:04 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 05:35 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 03:25 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Oct, 15:44 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Oct, 02:49 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 02:44 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 19:10 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 2% |
| 28 Sept, 05:19 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Sept, 06:47 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Sept, 15:48 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Sept, 01:37 UTC | 3% |
| 25 Sept, 20:46 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Sept, 19:25 UTC | 3% |
| 25 Sept, 14:54 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Sept, 19:17 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Sept, 18:02 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Sept, 09:28 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Sept, 09:17 UTC | 2% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 23 Sept 2026. NPR Politics published first, on 23 September at 08:45 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Before election day 2026 — resolved “No” on 3 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if Nancy Pelosi resigns from her office or publicly announces her resignation before November 3, 2026. The outcome is No if she does not take either action by that date. Readers often mistake the election day itself for the deadline, but the resolution depends strictly on events occurring before November 3, 2026.
- Before election day 2026 — resolved “No” on 3 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if Nancy Mace resigns from her office or announces her resignation before November 3, 2026. The outcome is No if she does not take either action by that date. Readers often mistake the linked story about Nancy Pelosi for the relevant event, but only actions by Nancy Mace count toward resolution.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Before election day 2026 No 4d ago
The market favoured No at 100% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Before election day 2026 No 4d ago
The market favoured No at 100% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Nancy Pelosi