Elon Musk settles lawsuits over $1 million voter giveaway
The billionaire and his America PAC agreed to settle two class-action lawsuits alleging fraud regarding a 2024 election lottery promise.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by News Feed, 29 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 17 Sept, 11:30 UTC | 0% |
| 17 Sept, 08:32 UTC | 0% |
| 16 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 0% |
| 12 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 0% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? respond.
The story so far
14 publishers have covered this in 27 articles since 12 Oct 2026. News Feed published first, on 12 October at 16:23 UTC; The Verge followed 30 min later. The most recent article, from Latest articles, appeared on 18 October at 01:27 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: News Feed (major outlet), The Verge (major outlet), The Hill (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), The Guardian (major outlet), Axios (major outlet), CBS News Politics (major outlet), Feed: All Latest (major outlet), South China Morning Post, Times of India, Quartz, Fortune and 2 more, all listed under Sources below.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — the market puts it at 0%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Nov 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Elon Musk wins and accepts the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, as confirmed by official party sources. It resolves to No in all other cases, including if he loses the nomination or if a different candidate replaces him before the election. Readers often mistake the resolution source for news reports rather than official Republican Party announcements.
- Above $800 billion — the market puts it at 69%, with $14 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Forbes reports Elon Musk's net worth exceeds $800 billion on December 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the source of truth, assuming any financial report counts instead of only Forbes.
- Elon Musk — the market puts it at 0%, with $916 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Nov 2028. The outcome is Yes if Elon Musk wins the Republican presidential nomination in 2028 and accepts it. The outcome is No otherwise. Readers often mistake the linked story about a Pentagon study for the actual nomination event.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- News FeedMusk injects $275mn into Republicans’ fight to retain Congress0%
- The VergeElon Musk has donated over $276 million to Republican midterm efforts0%
- South China Morning PostElon Musk becomes biggest known donor in midterm elections in bid to save Republicans0%
- The HillMusk throws $276M behind Republicans in midterms0%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraElon Musk spends $366m to bolster Republican Party in US midterm elections0%
- The Hill NewsMusk gives GOP a boost ahead of the midterms0%
- News FeedFirstFT: Mark Zuckerberg says Meta has reached AI ‘frontier’0%
- Times of IndiaElon Musk pours $276 million into Republican groups ahead of 2026 midterms0%
- QuartzElon Musk spendete 276 Millionen Dollar an republikanische Gruppen und wurde damit zum größten bekannten Spender der Zwischenwahlen.0%
- QuartzElon Musk gave $276 million to Republican groups, becoming the biggest known midterm donor0%
Show 17 later sources
- News FeedMusk becomes Republicans’ biggest donor for midterms0%
- The Guardian USElon Musk becomes biggest political donor of US midterms cycle with $366m spent0%
- The HillMusk jumps back into Trump's orbit ahead of midterms0%
- The HillMusk steps back into politics with redefined DC role0%
- AxiosScoop: Inside Elon Musk's massive Texas rescue mission0%
- The GuardianPaxton v Talarico: tens of millions of dollars pour into closely watched Texas Senate race0%
- Times of IndiaFrom Ambani to Zelenskyy, Musk mixes business with politics0%
- The HillMusk bankrolls PAC spending big on Paxton in Texas0%
- CBS News PoliticsMusk donates over $150 million to Senate GOP group, assisting Paxton0%
- FortuneElon Musk spent $158 million on GOP leadership. Dem candidate James Talarico says rallygoers are ‘my slingshot’ against the ‘Goliaths’ to win Texas0%
- Feed: All LatestElon Musk Is Almost Single-Handedly Funding the Republican Midterms Push0%
- The HillMusk settles election lottery lawsuits over $1 million voter giveaways0%
- The HillDemocrats rake in cash, Musk takes center stage for GOP: 5 takeaways from latest fundraising hauls0%
- The GuardianElon Musk agrees to settle lawsuits over 2024 election lottery0%
- All Content from Business InsiderElon Musk is pouring money into the midterms. Here's where he's giving the most.0%
- The VergeElon Musk settles lawsuits over $1 million voter giveaway0%
- Latest articlesMusk back in the spotlight, but politics dims the awe0%
- Current odds0%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Elon Musk settles lawsuits over $1 million voter giveaway The Verge ·
- Elon Musk agrees to settle lawsuits over 2024 election lottery The Guardian ·
- Democrats rake in cash, Musk takes center stage for GOP: 5 takeaways from latest fundraising hauls The Hill ·
- Musk settles election lottery lawsuits over $1 million voter giveaways The Hill ·
- Elon Musk Is Almost Single-Handedly Funding the Republican Midterms Push Feed: All Latest ·
- Musk donates over $150 million to Senate GOP group, assisting Paxton CBS News Politics ·
Show 21 more sources
- Musk bankrolls PAC spending big on Paxton in Texas The Hill ·
- Paxton v Talarico: tens of millions of dollars pour into closely watched Texas Senate race The Guardian ·
- Scoop: Inside Elon Musk's massive Texas rescue mission Axios ·
- Musk steps back into politics with redefined DC role The Hill ·
- Musk jumps back into Trump's orbit ahead of midterms The Hill ·
- Elon Musk becomes biggest political donor of US midterms cycle with $366m spent The Guardian US ·
- Musk becomes Republicans’ biggest donor for midterms News Feed ·
- FirstFT: Mark Zuckerberg says Meta has reached AI ‘frontier’ News Feed ·
- Musk gives GOP a boost ahead of the midterms The Hill News ·
- Elon Musk spends $366m to bolster Republican Party in US midterm elections Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Musk throws $276M behind Republicans in midterms The Hill ·
- Elon Musk has donated over $276 million to Republican midterm efforts The Verge ·
- Musk injects $275mn into Republicans’ fight to retain Congress News Feed ·
- Musk back in the spotlight, but politics dims the awe Latest articles
- Elon Musk is pouring money into the midterms. Here's where he's giving the most. All Content from Business Insider
- Elon Musk spent $158 million on GOP leadership. Dem candidate James Talarico says rallygoers are ‘my slingshot’ against the ‘Goliaths’ to win Texas Fortune
- From Ambani to Zelenskyy, Musk mixes business with politics Times of India
- Elon Musk spendete 276 Millionen Dollar an republikanische Gruppen und wurde damit zum größten bekannten Spender der Zwischenwahlen. Quartz
- Elon Musk gave $276 million to Republican groups, becoming the biggest known midterm donor Quartz
- Elon Musk pours $276 million into Republican groups ahead of 2026 midterms Times of India
- Elon Musk becomes biggest known donor in midterm elections in bid to save Republicans South China Morning Post
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? 0%
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Wrong market?
- Kalshi Above $800 billion 69%
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Wrong market?
- Kalshi Elon Musk 0%
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In this story
- Elon Musk
- America PAC