Modi Faces Voter Backlash Despite Economic Growth
Rapid economic expansion fails to placate voters as unemployment remains a critical issue for the Indian prime minister.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 29 Oct, 04:07 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 12:06 UTC | 5% |
| 12 Oct, 20:03 UTC | 7% |
| 10 Oct, 15:41 UTC | 5% |
| 10 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Oct, 13:01 UTC | 8% |
| 10 Oct, 11:11 UTC | 6% |
| 9 Oct, 12:09 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 02:28 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Oct, 22:36 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 6% |
| 5 Oct, 00:11 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 02:53 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Sept, 13:58 UTC | 4% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 2 articles since 29 Oct 2026. The Economist published first, on 29 October at 11:17 UTC. The most recent article, from The Economist, appeared on 30 October at 09:58 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Narendra Modi — the market puts it at 3%, closing 2 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Narendra Modi officially announces his intention to leave office or actually leaves as Prime Minister of India before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a chipmaking investment for an announcement regarding his departure.
- Narendra Modi — the market puts it at 45%, closing 30 Apr 2030. The outcome is Yes if Narendra Modi becomes Prime Minister after the next Indian general election and satisfies all constitutional requirements before April 30, 2030. The outcome is No if he does not meet these conditions within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the deadline for the date of the election rather than the final date by which he must assume office.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Narendra Modi 3%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Narendra Modi 45%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Narendra Modi