Manchester United held to 1-1 draw by Leeds as winless run continues
Michael Carrick's side drew with Leeds after Bryan Mbeumo and Dominic Calvert-Lewin scored, extending their winless streak to six matches.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by The Guardian Sport, 6 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 10 Oct, 18:46 UTC | 1% |
| 9 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 2% |
| 9 Oct, 14:45 UTC | 2% |
| 8 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 22:12 UTC | 2% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Oct, 05:15 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 07:31 UTC | 1% |
| 2 Oct, 17:18 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Oct, 01:40 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Oct, 23:12 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 18:12 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Sept, 23:15 UTC | 2% |
| 29 Sept, 06:31 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 2% |
| 26 Sept, 00:08 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Sept, 07:35 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Sept, 00:52 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Sept, 06:15 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Sept, 04:17 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Sept, 15:54 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Sept, 13:09 UTC | 2% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Manchester United respond.
The story so far
5 publishers have covered this in 10 articles since 18 Oct 2026. The Guardian Sport published first, on 18 October at 15:08 UTC; SkySports followed 6 min later. The most recent article, from SkySports, appeared on 19 October at 14:45 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), www.espn.com (major outlet), SkySports, BBC Sport.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Manchester United — the market puts it at 1%, with $95 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 13 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Manchester United wins the 2026-27 English Premier League title. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline.
- Manchester United: 65+ Points — the market puts it at 42%, closing 13 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Manchester United earns 65 or more points during the 2026-27 English Premier League season. It resolves to No if they finish with fewer than 65 points. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it depends on the current season rather than the specific 2026-27 campaign.
- Manchester United — the market puts it at 4%, with $767 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 14 Jun 2027. Manchester United finishes the 2026-27 English Premier League season in first or second place for the outcome to be Yes. The resolution depends solely on the final league standings at the end of that specific season, not on individual match results like the one against Liverpool. Readers often mistake current performance or other competitions for the deciding factor.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Manchester United at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- The Guardian SportManchester United held as Calvert-Lewin’s Leeds leveller keeps pressure on Carrick1%
- SkySportsMan Utd held by Leeds as winless run continues1%
- Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraManchester United held at Leeds despite improved performance for Carrick1%
- BBC SportMan Utd showed 'unity' in draw with Leeds - Carrick1%
- The Guardian Sport‘Like a fresh start’: Michael Carrick relieved by Manchester United’s draw at Leeds1%
- BBC SportMbeumo offers Carrick solace as Man Utd winless run goes on1%
- www.espn.comSeven games, seven points: Man United are sleepwalking to another lost season1%
- SkySportsNeville delivers Carrick warning after Man Utd 'stepping stone' performance1%
- www.espn.comMan United situation 'doesn't look great' after latest draw, manager says1%
- SkySportsWhy Man Utd continue to divide opinion1%
- Current odds1%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Man United situation 'doesn't look great' after latest draw, manager says www.espn.com ·
- Seven games, seven points: Man United are sleepwalking to another lost season www.espn.com ·
- ‘Like a fresh start’: Michael Carrick relieved by Manchester United’s draw at Leeds The Guardian Sport ·
- Manchester United held at Leeds despite improved performance for Carrick Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera ·
- Manchester United held as Calvert-Lewin’s Leeds leveller keeps pressure on Carrick The Guardian Sport ·
- Why Man Utd continue to divide opinion SkySports
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Manchester United 1%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Manchester United: 65+ Points 42%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Manchester United 4% −3
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Manchester United
- Leeds
- Michael Carrick
- Dominic Calvert-Lewin
- Bryan Mbeumo