Manchester City beat London City Lionesses to extend WSL lead
Goals from Khadija Shaw and Lauren Hemp secure victory for Manchester City, extending their advantage over London City Lionesses in the Women's Super League.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 46% |
| 5 Nov, 07:45 UTC | 46% |
| 5 Nov, 03:51 UTC | 44% |
| 4 Nov, 17:05 UTC | 43% |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | 45% |
| 3 Nov, 19:42 UTC | 43% |
| 3 Nov, 06:15 UTC | 46% |
| 3 Nov, 01:54 UTC | 44% |
| 3 Nov, 00:05 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Nov, 23:30 UTC | 44% |
| 2 Nov, 23:23 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Nov, 22:09 UTC | 45% |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Nov, 20:37 UTC | 42% |
| 2 Nov, 17:49 UTC | 44% |
| 2 Nov, 15:56 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 44% |
| 2 Nov, 08:36 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Nov, 07:03 UTC | 44% |
| 2 Nov, 04:33 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Nov, 04:26 UTC | 41% |
| 1 Nov, 22:10 UTC | 43% |
| 1 Nov, 20:21 UTC | 40% |
| 1 Nov, 18:54 UTC | 43% |
| 1 Nov, 17:05 UTC | 38% |
| 31 Oct, 22:50 UTC | 39% |
| 31 Oct, 22:07 UTC | 38% |
| 31 Oct, 21:53 UTC | 41% |
| 31 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 33% |
| 31 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 24% |
| 31 Oct, 15:00 UTC | 37% |
| 31 Oct, 05:33 UTC | 34% |
| 31 Oct, 04:50 UTC | 33% |
| 31 Oct, 04:14 UTC | 35% |
| 31 Oct, 03:38 UTC | 33% |
| 31 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 31% |
| 30 Oct, 21:38 UTC | 34% |
| 30 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 31% |
| 30 Oct, 16:25 UTC | 34% |
| 30 Oct, 15:50 UTC | 32% |
| 30 Oct, 14:58 UTC | 32% |
| 30 Oct, 14:07 UTC | 32% |
| 29 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 34% |
| 28 Oct, 02:16 UTC | 30% |
| 26 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 32% |
| 26 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 31% |
| 26 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 33% |
| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 32% |
| 25 Oct, 22:45 UTC | 31% |
| 25 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 32% |
| 25 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 31% |
| 25 Oct, 16:21 UTC | 32% |
| 24 Oct, 20:37 UTC | 30% |
| 24 Oct, 13:45 UTC | 31% |
| 24 Oct, 09:29 UTC | 32% |
| 24 Oct, 07:17 UTC | 30% |
| 23 Oct, 20:42 UTC | 27% |
| 23 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 23% |
| 23 Oct, 01:18 UTC | 26% |
| 22 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 24% |
| 22 Oct, 09:54 UTC | 25% |
| 22 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 23% |
| 22 Oct, 02:19 UTC | 24% |
| 22 Oct, 00:38 UTC | 23% |
| 21 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 26% |
| 20 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 31% |
| 20 Oct, 08:03 UTC | 32% |
| 20 Oct, 07:49 UTC | 33% |
| 20 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 32% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 33% |
| 18 Oct, 20:34 UTC | 48% |
| 17 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 43% |
| 17 Oct, 20:18 UTC | 48% |
| 17 Oct, 17:14 UTC | 40% |
| 16 Oct, 22:37 UTC | 48% |
| 16 Oct, 14:38 UTC | 47% |
| 16 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 48% |
| 15 Oct, 19:28 UTC | 49% |
| 14 Oct, 20:18 UTC | 46% |
| 14 Oct, 16:00 UTC | 49% |
| 13 Oct, 17:14 UTC | 51% |
| 13 Oct, 14:35 UTC | 50% |
| 13 Oct, 11:20 UTC | 51% |
| 13 Oct, 07:01 UTC | 50% |
| 13 Oct, 05:22 UTC | 51% |
| 13 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 54% |
| 13 Oct, 01:01 UTC | 49% |
| 12 Oct, 23:08 UTC | 62% |
| 12 Oct, 22:01 UTC | 47% |
| 12 Oct, 21:54 UTC | 47% |
| 12 Oct, 08:15 UTC | 60% |
| 11 Oct, 17:30 UTC | 37% |
| 11 Oct, 12:22 UTC | 33% |
| 10 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 35% |
| 10 Oct, 11:41 UTC | 37% |
| 10 Oct, 10:24 UTC | 36% |
| 9 Oct, 19:03 UTC | 32% |
| 8 Oct, 15:53 UTC | 36% |
| 8 Oct, 12:31 UTC | 35% |
| 8 Oct, 07:00 UTC | 34% |
| 8 Oct, 06:53 UTC | 34% |
| 8 Oct, 04:08 UTC | 34% |
| 8 Oct, 03:08 UTC | 36% |
| 8 Oct, 02:15 UTC | 34% |
| 8 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 25% |
| 7 Oct, 22:25 UTC | 36% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 41% |
| 3 Oct, 18:15 UTC | 33% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Manchester City respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 1 Nov 2026. The Guardian Sport published first, on 1 November at 14:13 UTC; BBC Sport followed 3h 41m later. The most recent article, from The Guardian Sport, appeared on 3 November at 12:15 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), BBC Sport.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Manchester City — the market puts it at 46%, with $192 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 14 Jun 2027. Manchester City finishes in the top two of the 2026-27 English Premier League standings for Yes. Any other finish results in No. Readers often mistake this WSL match result for the EPL season outcome.
- Manchester City — the market puts it at 63%, with $124 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 14 Jun 2027. Manchester City must finish in the top half of the 2026-27 English Premier League table for the market to resolve as Yes. The outcome depends solely on their final league position at the end of that specific season. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of who wins the title or confuse it with other competitions like the Champions League.
- Manchester City — the market puts it at 65%, with $146 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 14 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Manchester City finishes in the top six of the 2026-27 English Premier League season. It resolves to No if they do not finish in that range. Readers often mistake the linked Women's Super League result for the deciding factor, but only the men's league standing matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Manchester City at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- The Guardian SportHemp strikes back as Manchester City edge out London City Lionesses in thriller39%
- BBC SportClinical Man City edge past London City in WSL thriller38%▼1 points since the previous source
- The Guardian SportManchester City win again and the Ballon d’Or comes to Bromley – Women’s Football Weekly podcast46%▲8 points since the previous source
- Current odds46%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Manchester City 46% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Manchester City 63% +2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Manchester City 65% +3
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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In this story
- Khadija Shaw
- Lauren Hemp
- Manchester City
- London City Lionesses
- Jana Fernández