Mahomes Perfect on Play-Action Passes in Win vs. Dolphins
Patrick Mahomes completes all 14 play-action attempts for 201 yards and a touchdown to lead his team to victory over the Miami Dolphins.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 24% |
| 29 Sept, 06:12 UTC | 24% |
| 28 Sept, 10:35 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Sept, 11:33 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Sept, 07:12 UTC | 12% |
| 23 Sept, 16:19 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Sept, 15:40 UTC | 14% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 28 Sept 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 28 September at 12:10 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Patrick Mahomes — the market puts it at 24%, closing 8 Feb 2027. The outcome is Yes if Patrick Mahomes finishes the 2026-2027 regular season with the most passing touchdowns in the NFL. The outcome is No if he does not lead the league in this category. Readers often mistake the linked story about Travis Kelce as relevant to the resolution, but only Mahomes' official regular-season stats matter.
- Patrick Mahomes — the market puts it at 60%, with $18 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 2 Feb 2027. The outcome is Yes if Patrick Mahomes throws for at least 4,000 yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season. The outcome is No if he falls short of that total. Readers often mistake the linked game result as the deciding factor, but only his cumulative season yardage matters.
- Patrick Mahomes — the market puts it at 8%, with $55 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Patrick Mahomes finishes the 2026-2027 NFL regular season with the most passing yards among all quarterbacks. It resolves to No if he does not lead the league in this category. Readers often mistake a single game performance, like the linked win against the Dolphins, for the final season-long statistic.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Related prediction markets
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- Kalshi Patrick Mahomes 24%
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- Kalshi Patrick Mahomes 60% −1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Patrick Mahomes 8% −16
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In this story
- Patrick Mahomes
- Dolphins